Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

568

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$2

Crypto

37% 98% -$1

Politics

12% 97% -$4

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	10-27 23:57
Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	$0	10-27 23:57
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$0	11-08 04:56
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	$0	11-10 04:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$0	10-25 23:57
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	97¢	$2	$0	10-30 03:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2	$2	94¢	$2	$0	10-28 03:57
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	+2	$2	95¢	$2	$0	11-09 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 07:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06ebca…
11-10 04:56:31	Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6977e1…
11-10 03:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5fb035…
11-10 00:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaea620…
11-09 20:57:01	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x842e43…
11-09 18:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb31c87…
11-09 15:56:46	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47b8a8…
11-09 10:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x84c641…
11-09 09:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x13a0b2…
11-09 07:56:57	XRP Up or Down - November 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdab316…
11-09 07:56:36	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x979d21…
11-09 05:57:03	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73eb16…
11-09 05:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25b58b…
11-09 05:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe699c6…
11-09 04:56:49	Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9cb115…
11-09 04:56:18	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa9b900…
11-09 01:55:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94c3c5…
11-08 23:56:22	Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e9502…
11-08 08:56:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x533e0a…
11-08 06:56:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 8, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae8750…
11-08 06:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36831e…
11-08 04:56:40	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xee3ca6…
11-07 23:57:13	Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c87a5…
11-06 08:57:03	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1bde7…
11-06 08:56:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6c453…
11-06 08:56:04	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc875a…
11-06 06:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8c4dbf…
11-06 05:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4fb680…
11-06 04:57:09	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf056d…
11-06 03:57:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x215691…
11-05 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b6333…
11-05 12:57:13	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeba3e9…
11-05 12:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0af30…
11-05 09:56:42	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6691a…
11-05 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x91300f…
11-04 13:56:33	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8e947…
11-02 13:57:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec846b…
11-02 08:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85faa8…
11-02 07:56:58	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4aa43b…
11-02 07:56:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e0712…
11-02 05:57:03	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2b99b…
11-02 00:56:33	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb845b…
11-01 23:56:33	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5e5f94…
11-01 03:56:25	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b4ff5…
10-31 22:56:18	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91b127…
10-31 16:58:57	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd55fc0…
10-30 09:56:49	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa774fa…
10-30 05:56:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bf1d4…
10-30 05:56:30	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad8acc…
10-30 03:56:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd1c94…
10-30 03:56:04	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47a765…
10-29 08:56:04	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49caa0…
10-29 07:56:47	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09c739…
10-29 07:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1c55d1…
10-29 06:57:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31af56…
10-28 23:56:43	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e2aba…
10-28 14:57:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93c883…
10-28 06:56:53	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a6d1d…
10-28 06:56:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43386b…
10-28 05:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x466ec8…
10-28 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcef446…
10-28 03:57:34	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0677aa…
10-28 02:56:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb3a28e…
10-28 00:57:20	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4fbc1…
10-28 00:56:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5ea9e…
10-27 23:57:29	Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e50f0…
10-27 23:57:17	Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x667868…
10-27 15:58:12	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ec825…
10-27 10:58:48	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd653ef…
10-27 09:57:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1f3189…
10-27 05:58:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b29b2…
10-27 01:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3a47be…
10-27 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1de01a…
10-26 10:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f37c9…
10-26 09:56:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x504ccd…
10-26 07:56:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b4789…
10-26 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x593045…
10-26 02:56:59	Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4dafa8…
10-26 02:56:39	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc6a4d…
10-26 02:56:03	Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb99bd5…
10-25 23:59:02	Will Maliha K. Ahmed win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2d0a7…
10-25 23:57:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef0931…
10-25 07:56:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0773f4…
10-25 03:56:32	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde7718…
10-25 02:56:30	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd3aa7…
10-24 08:56:24	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x60ee86…
10-23 23:56:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0b594…
10-23 19:58:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa91e77…
10-23 15:57:32	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc232f4…
10-23 15:57:08	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3fdcb3…
10-23 13:57:02	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb21ba2…
10-23 13:56:39	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa69823…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c1876…
10-22 07:57:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85c489…
10-22 07:56:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18df10…
10-22 07:56:38	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaca10c…
10-21 07:57:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x315146…
10-21 06:56:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe23272…
10-21 05:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x21920e…
10-21 03:56:23	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58ff6c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say china during the state of the union address	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	02-23 23:55
will trump say reza or pahlavi during the state of the union address 692	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-23 23:55
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 23:57
Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-16 08:57
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-15 11:57
XRP Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-15 01:56
Solana Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-15 12:57
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 19:58
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 19:57
Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-15 12:57
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 11:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 03:58
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 11:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 1AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-15 05:57
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	09-16 01:58
lol big1 g2nord 2026 03 06	1	$2	2	+2	Berlin International Gaming	+$0	03-07 21:55
cricss que wes 2026 03 04 match to day 4	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-11 22:55
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-08 05:55
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 70 and 80	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-12 23:55
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-08 19:55
Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-10 13:01
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-17 23:55
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-03 23:55
lol sec ban2 2026 02 17 game3	1	$2	2	+2	The Bandits	+$0	02-17 21:55
dota2 liquid ty 2026 02 17	1	$2	2	+2	Team Liquid	+$0	02-17 17:55
rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-28 11:55
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-17 11:55
zuffa ajagb marti 2026 02 15	1	$2	2	+2	Ajagba	+$0	02-16 04:55
will national citizen party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-11 23:55