Realized P&L (90d)
-$102
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved (90d)
326
Trades (90d)
1,006
1,244 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$82.7K
$99.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$16
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 09-23 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
96% 94% -$175
Tech
3% 50% -$132
Politics
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-19 11:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 -$4 85¢ $-4 $0 08-03 07:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 06-19 12:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$1 56¢ $-3 -$2 07-23 07:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 06:35
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:54
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 07-23 07:45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:53
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 07:45
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:53
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 16:45
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-18 08:25
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 01:46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +0 -$2 92¢ $0 +$2 07-01 19:19
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-26 08:27
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-18 08:25
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 01:46
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 07:44
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:35
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 15:39
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:32
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 15:37
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:38
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 01:47