Realized P&L
-$306
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
372
Trades
1,258
lifetime
Volume
$99.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$17
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 09-23 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
96% 94% -$175
Tech
3% 50% -$132
Politics
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-19 11:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 -$4 87¢ $-4 $0 08-03 07:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$2 06-19 12:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$1 58¢ $-3 -$2 07-23 07:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 06:35
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:54
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 07-23 07:45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:53
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-03 07:53
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 07:45
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 16:45
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 01:46
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-18 08:25
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +0 -$2 93¢ $0 +$2 07-01 19:19
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-26 08:27
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:35
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:31
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 15:39
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 01:47
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-18 08:25
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-08 15:32
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-07 06:36
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-16 00:39
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 07:54
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-18 08:25