Numb-Innovation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

955

Trades

1,380

lifetime

Volume

$50.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-08 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

44% 20% -$5,787

Crypto

25% 85% +$115

Sports

18% 9% +$309

Politics

13% 0% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.2K	6,947	0	+6,947	Under	-$6,200	07-19 17:25
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	1	$5.5K	5,978	0	+5,978	Over	+$478	07-14 17:58
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$4.8K	5,112	0	+5,112	No	+$312	07-11 21:24
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	4	$1.4K	701	701	+0	No	-$3	07-20 16:17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$790	397	397	+0	open	—	07-12 18:16
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	4	$789	787	787	+0	cancelled	-$1	07-27 08:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$768	387	387	+0	No	$0	02-23 15:00
Iran leadership change by July 31?	2	$728	377	377	+0	No	-$2	07-21 14:12
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$713	360	360	+0	open	—	07-18 20:44
over 100m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325661 891	2	$713	383	383	+0	No	-$45	07-13 19:53
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$700	352	352	+0	open	—	07-21 08:53
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	2	$654	327	327	+0	No	$0	07-22 15:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	2	$646	325	325	+0	No	+$0	07-23 13:05
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?	2	$634	321	321	+0	No	-$6	07-14 10:49
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$632	625	625	+0	cancelled	-$6	07-22 10:55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$626	314	314	+0	No	$0	07-24 14:52
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$590	349	349	+0	open	—	07-21 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:25 UTC	2	$576	327	324	+2	Down	+$62	02-27 21:29
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$568	284	284	+0	No	$0	07-23 23:13
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$562	282	282	+0	open	—	07-24 22:05
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$498	249	249	+0	No	$0	07-25 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:15 UTC	2	$497	280	279	+1	Up	+$23	02-27 21:18
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$468	35	436	-401	open	—	06-20 17:13
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$440	220	220	+0	No	$0	02-26 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:35 UTC	2	$435	456	170	+286	Down	+$85	02-27 21:39
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$431	216	216	+0	No	$0	02-27 18:13
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	02-25 16:18
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	02-23 22:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$376	194	194	+0	No	$0	02-23 18:43
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$356	181	181	+0	No	$0	07-30 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 01:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0xfccd77…
09-08 01:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xf1a5e9…
09-08 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xab5933…
09-08 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x59173e…
09-08 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0xc9d347…
09-08 00:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0xbf1f03…
09-08 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	76	54¢	$41	0xef213c…
09-08 00:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xd606d2…
09-08 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0x7a7174…
09-08 00:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xb58d89…
09-08 00:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x54239f…
09-08 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x400f39…
09-08 00:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x043b61…
09-08 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x552927…
09-08 00:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3e659c…
09-08 00:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2c279a…
09-08 00:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6e1504…
09-08 00:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x7d411b…
09-08 00:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x02c877…
09-08 00:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7d1301…
09-08 00:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6289a2…
09-08 00:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x88aded…
09-08 00:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x4ac96f…
09-08 00:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x2eb8c1…
09-08 00:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xa1da98…
09-08 00:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x90b471…
09-08 00:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6b3f98…
09-08 00:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xccd754…
09-08 00:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa1899f…
09-07 23:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1dec7a…
09-07 23:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xd71645…
09-07 23:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4ac6d2…
09-07 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x89a478…
09-07 23:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf9f108…
09-07 23:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xcc2b3f…
09-07 23:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xf4d45e…
09-07 23:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x037823…
09-05 13:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x9be45a…
09-05 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xa16a96…
09-05 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0xe186c8…
09-05 07:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x5702f5…
09-04 23:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	62¢	$14	0x82a636…
09-04 23:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x5bd0e9…
09-04 23:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xf2de9a…
09-04 23:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x7b34f5…
09-04 23:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x1d909e…
09-04 23:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x17f42a…
09-04 23:34:12	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7644eb…
09-04 23:33:45	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xe4a306…
09-04 23:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0xce1a39…
09-04 23:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7d8320…
09-04 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x951526…
09-04 22:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0xed5edc…
09-04 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x87e81b…
09-04 22:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0x3bdae1…
09-04 22:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x9c4553…
09-04 22:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x226342…
09-04 22:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x2d14f2…
09-04 22:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x6e4cb2…
09-04 22:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x49d8bb…
09-04 22:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0d161e…
09-04 22:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	39	70¢	$27	0x5409da…
09-04 22:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa6ac89…
09-04 22:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x03d698…
09-04 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf73666…
09-04 22:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0x38c7b2…
09-04 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb802a8…
09-04 22:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0xe168b6…
09-04 22:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x6a1a7e…
09-04 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x2c389a…
09-04 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x08ad95…
09-03 22:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x54c67a…
09-03 22:37:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x9398f8…
09-03 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xde5c5c…
09-03 22:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x06a677…
09-03 22:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x7a686b…
09-03 22:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x0382b3…
09-03 22:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x06ab71…
09-03 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6cff9a…
09-03 22:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x40337d…
09-03 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x72860d…
09-03 22:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	54	65¢	$36	0x109220…
09-03 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa8ae5b…
09-03 22:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xdfedb6…
09-03 22:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x68fb61…
09-03 21:59:33	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xc8d9b2…
09-03 21:59:24	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbfa82f…
09-03 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xf872b1…
09-03 21:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x2077ff…
09-03 21:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x9c1fbb…
09-03 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x5697f7…
09-03 21:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x3f83eb…
09-03 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb39338…
09-03 21:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	57¢	$24	0x0c96c5…
09-03 21:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x114f41…
09-03 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x15d4c5…
09-03 21:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xd6a9b7…
09-03 21:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x398b1d…
09-03 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x88d55b…
09-03 15:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xc3118f…