Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$252
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,032
lifetime
Volume
$52.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$1.36K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 07-21 19:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82%
Other
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -458 $-195 99¢ $-453 $-258 05-29 16:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -285 $-66 62¢ $-177 $-111 07-08 22:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +180 $110 88¢ $159 +$50 07-19 09:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +375 $90 38¢ $142 +$52 07-12 21:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +140 $92 76¢ $107 +$15 06-10 00:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -109 $-103 84¢ $-91 +$12 05-31 21:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-52 66¢ $-66 $-14 06-02 21:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +244 $41 22¢ $52 +$11 06-11 11:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -54 $-30 78¢ $-42 $-13 06-20 16:28
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $18 10¢ $28 +$10 07-10 20:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +21 $15 78¢ $16 +$2 07-03 18:03
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +132 $18 11¢ $14 $-5 07-07 18:14
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +68 $15 18¢ $12 $-3 06-05 17:50