Sorrowful-Hint — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$706

Hit rate

23.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4,543 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.70K

$634.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$155

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-01 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

68% 47% -$7,651

Politics

24% 34% +$614

Sports

8% 42% +$1,429

Crypto

1% 56% -$530

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-885	$551	18¢	$-155	-$706	08-02 10:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	66	$15.8K	39,742	14,742	+25,000	Yes	-$1,105	04-28 10:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	71	$15.6K	33,032	33,916	-885	open	—	08-02 10:32
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	97	$14.3K	31,781	30,796	+985	No	-$1,995	08-01 00:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	53	$10.5K	16,510	16,510	+0	open	—	07-06 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	63	$8.2K	29,626	29,626	+0	No	-$677	06-27 21:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	85	$6.8K	11,129	11,129	+0	Yes	+$891	06-16 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$6.6K	8,551	8,551	+0	No	-$364	04-21 14:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$6.3K	17,465	17,465	-0	No	+$42	07-16 18:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$5.9K	10,232	9,031	+1,200	No	-$33	07-14 20:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	23	$5.4K	5,049	5,049	+0	No	+$611	04-21 23:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$5.2K	4,855	4,855	+0	No	-$161	05-23 21:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	32	$4.7K	19,853	19,853	+0	No	-$459	05-19 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$4.5K	5,733	5,733	+0	No	-$291	05-30 12:44
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	22	$4.2K	9,761	9,761	+0	No	-$1,109	08-06 18:12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	32	$4.1K	4,029	4,029	+0	No	-$141	07-04 00:04
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	7	$3.8K	2,441	2,441	+0	Argentina	+$1,107	07-07 18:09
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$3.4K	3,892	3,892	+0	Yes	+$398	06-12 19:04
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$3.2K	22,312	22,312	+0	No	-$78	07-03 01:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$3.1K	4,351	4,351	+0	No	+$98	06-26 11:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	5	$3.1K	3,347	250	+3,097	No	+$479	04-20 21:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$3.0K	4,899	4,899	+0	No	+$1,317	05-23 15:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	6	$2.9K	2,428	2,090	+338	Spain	-$182	07-19 22:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	23	$2.8K	3,693	3,693	+0	No	-$338	04-21 08:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.7K	2,456	2,456	+0	Yes	+$296	06-16 17:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	24	$2.7K	8,587	8,587	+0	No	-$60	09-17 18:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	20	$2.7K	16,015	18,034	-2,019	No	-$38	06-11 18:27
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	5	$2.6K	1,490	1,490	+0	Yes	-$29	04-27 18:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$2.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	Yes	+$121	04-05 04:30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$2.5K	11,037	11,037	+0	No	-$12	06-24 20:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	21	$2.5K	18,324	18,324	+0	No	-$252	07-30 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:08:46	Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x42dc45…
11-01 21:05:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	630	9¢	$57	0xcc3bbb…
11-01 13:24:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	630	10¢	$63	0x5f498c…
11-01 10:10:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	168	38¢	$64	0xfa39ea…
10-28 18:48:46	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	314	98¢	$309	0x09537e…
10-28 18:47:50	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1fcc9e…
10-28 13:21:04	Will Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x0f20ca…
10-28 13:20:53	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xfb04e1…
10-28 11:28:46	Will Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	90	43¢	$39	0xa1eb73…
10-28 11:28:32	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x3e251c…
10-28 11:28:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	168	44¢	$74	0xa132f7…
10-28 11:27:46	Will Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	41¢	$28	0x66078f…
10-28 11:27:22	Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	305	10¢	$30	0x182ddd…
10-28 11:20:47	Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	45¢	$37	0x6a232b…
10-28 11:19:32	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Kashima Antlers O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	104	46¢	$48	0x93e06e…
10-28 11:19:02	Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	221	42¢	$93	0xc83a3c…
10-28 11:18:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x84b634…
10-27 23:10:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0xfe0ad0…
10-27 23:08:29	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x47e2a8…
10-27 22:58:32	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	245	57¢	$140	0xf2d96a…
10-27 22:58:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	337	41¢	$138	0x078a91…
09-17 18:04:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,391	3¢	$48	0xe69702…
09-17 18:04:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,125	12¢	$255	0x02473e…
09-14 10:00:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,125	16¢	$340	0x7ba4a1…
09-14 09:59:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,340	6¢	$77	0x0b9d46…
09-14 09:58:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x3f4a4a…
09-14 09:58:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x13cc02…
08-13 20:15:36	Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0xcde6ed…
08-13 20:14:34	FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xed4569…
08-13 20:14:33	FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	SELL	55	64¢	$35	0xdd5e5e…
08-13 20:09:55	FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x11b747…
08-13 20:09:27	FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe6d169…
08-13 20:07:46	Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x06c14b…
08-13 20:07:04	FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xaffa42…
08-13 20:00:06	Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	248	49¢	$121	0x048ad3…
08-13 19:58:18	Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?	Yes	SELL	162	78¢	$126	0xbc3da4…
08-13 18:20:18	Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?	Yes	BUY	162	42¢	$68	0xc35511…
08-13 10:52:36	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xfed819…
08-13 10:52:04	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x2bc1b2…
08-13 10:52:03	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x03c32f…
08-13 10:51:37	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	94	28¢	$26	0x9d0037…
08-13 10:51:36	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0xb83818…
08-13 10:51:36	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x14e345…
08-13 10:50:45	col aus bei 2026 08 13 team to advance	MH Beitar Jerusalem	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb97308…
08-09 17:30:16	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x633a57…
08-09 14:42:52	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x560138…
08-09 14:42:36	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	405	3¢	$11	0x858280…
08-09 14:31:55	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	350	45¢	$157	0x8e9210…
08-09 14:31:54	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xbdaf59…
08-09 14:31:19	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c4ae3…
08-09 14:12:55	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	753	6¢	$45	0x73856d…
08-09 13:57:57	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0xd3358a…
08-09 13:57:25	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x834e05…
08-09 13:57:24	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xc1c4d7…
08-09 13:57:21	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x966880…
08-09 13:43:15	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x01186b…
08-09 13:43:13	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0xb1706c…
08-09 13:40:51	Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0xb620f0…
08-09 13:34:45	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xee35bf…
08-09 12:48:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa580e7…
08-09 12:48:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ebade…
08-09 12:48:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0x42998d…
08-09 12:48:01	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	146	54¢	$79	0x2f63ad…
08-09 12:37:49	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	250	29¢	$71	0x57428c…
08-09 11:34:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	250	62¢	$154	0x1b5146…
08-09 11:24:30	clf mci atm 2026 08 09 btts	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x7eb93a…
08-09 10:47:49	clf mci atm 2026 08 09 btts	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x18299e…
08-09 10:47:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	500	62¢	$312	0xec25ff…
08-08 15:40:58	Will Stabaek IF vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x0b91e7…
08-08 15:40:06	Will Stabaek IF vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	188	58¢	$109	0xe92a64…
08-08 15:39:18	Will Stabaek IF vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	295	55¢	$162	0xef8f87…
08-08 15:39:18	Will Stabaek IF vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2a3647…
08-08 15:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,250	9¢	$202	0xf863f8…
08-08 15:29:42	Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	435	100¢	$434	0x6274e7…
08-08 14:01:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,250	9¢	$202	0x5a6f02…
08-08 13:40:01	Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	435	37¢	$161	0x3be735…
08-08 13:09:15	Orgryte IS vs. AIK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0xcfa8b0…
08-08 12:59:49	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x26e386…
08-08 12:59:43	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xc95146…
08-08 12:59:43	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x400698…
08-08 12:59:43	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x31d6e8…
08-08 12:59:42	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xdc3740…
08-08 12:59:42	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xd8075c…
08-08 12:59:42	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x93e3b0…
08-08 12:59:25	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x0a4047…
08-08 12:48:15	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x51c337…
08-08 12:44:45	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	430	53¢	$228	0x475845…
08-08 12:44:07	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0xf73ced…
08-08 12:43:07	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x734bcf…
08-08 00:25:45	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xfa2c45…
08-08 00:25:45	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7f131f…
08-08 00:25:45	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x3d5a27…
08-08 00:25:43	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x69a158…
08-08 00:25:43	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x472607…
08-08 00:25:42	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x048abf…
08-08 00:25:40	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x260267…
08-08 00:25:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,111	4¢	$44	0xcae823…
08-08 00:25:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,073	10¢	$107	0x56d2ef…
08-08 00:24:39	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xb7972f…
08-08 00:19:12	Will Operário Ferroviário EC vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	77¢	$79	0xdb4343…