(anonymous) 0x86ab76…cdb0a4 Create alert
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
1
493 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$9
$32.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$1.15K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-03
last 11-07 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
83% 90% -$3,492
Politics
16% 50% -$1,119
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? No +110 $102 94¢ $103 +$2 11-04 08:42
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +111 $100 90¢ $100 -$1 11-04 08:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 11-01 09:08
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +90 $77 92¢ $83 +$6 11-06 04:55
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $77 100¢ $80 +$3 11-01 09:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +90 $77 88¢ $80 +$2 11-06 06:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +70 $64 98¢ $68 +$4 11-04 08:31
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +65 $58 88¢ $58 $0 11-05 04:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +60 $55 92¢ $56 +$1 11-05 15:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +50 $42 99¢ $49 +$7 11-04 08:46
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +50 $47 97¢ $48 +$2 11-05 04:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 11-06 18:34
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +49 $44 74¢ $37 -$7 11-05 09:55
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +40 $34 92¢ $37 +$3 11-06 04:58
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +37 $33 89¢ $33 +$0 11-06 06:01
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +25 $22 96¢ $24 +$2 11-04 09:00
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +25 $22 93¢ $23 +$1 11-05 11:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +23 $21 97¢ $22 +$1 10-27 09:48
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-30 17:58
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +20 $18 91¢ $18 +$0 11-05 04:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +93 $20 18¢ $17 -$3 10-27 13:58
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $18 84¢ $17 -$1 11-05 09:53
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 11-05 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +12 $9 79¢ $9 +$0 11-07 17:33
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +21 $4 20¢ $4 +$0 11-05 04:05
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Yes +25 $3 11¢ $3 $0 11-05 13:25
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$1 11-05 12:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +104 $90 1¢ $1 -$89 10-30 05:20