(anonymous) 0x86ab76…cdb0a4 Create alert
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.44K
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved (90d)
66
Trades (90d)
464
464 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$31.6K
$31.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$3.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-03
last 11-02 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
84% 91% -$3,443
Politics
15% 100% +$5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +547 $533 97¢ $529 -$4 10-31 07:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,823 $539 26¢ $483 -$56 10-31 01:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,836 $470 6¢ $431 -$39 10-31 08:13
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +542 $369 66¢ $355 -$14 10-31 21:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +320 $298 94¢ $302 +$5 10-29 16:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +365 $226 64¢ $232 +$5 10-30 14:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +244 $168 74¢ $182 +$13 10-30 12:03
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +654 $142 22¢ $141 -$2 11-01 08:25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 11-01 09:08
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +104 $90 88¢ $92 +$2 10-30 05:20
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $79 97¢ $78 -$1 10-31 07:00
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +115 $52 52¢ $59 +$7 10-30 17:07
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-30 17:02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +52 $49 94¢ $49 +$0 11-01 08:27
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +47 $46 98¢ $46 +$0 11-01 09:14
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 $0 11-01 08:44
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +40 $39 97¢ $39 $0 10-30 17:16
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +54 $35 64¢ $35 $0 10-31 19:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +152 $30 22¢ $33 +$2 10-31 17:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +106 $34 30¢ $32 -$2 10-30 12:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +93 $20 34¢ $31 +$11 10-27 13:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +40 $25 64¢ $26 +$1 10-30 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +79 $29 32¢ $25 -$4 11-01 00:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +23 $21 96¢ $22 +$1 10-27 09:48
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $0 10-30 17:58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $13 30¢ $18 +$5 10-31 13:10
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +55 $12 30¢ $17 +$5 10-31 12:17
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +149 $15 11¢ $16 +$1 10-31 12:35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $13 52¢ $15 +$2 10-31 13:19
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 10-31 06:59