Realized P&L
+$848
Unrealized P&L
+$997
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
2,614
Trades
6,610
lifetime
Volume
$84.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 11-05 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
59% 56% +$2,854
Crypto
26% 41% -$558
Politics
13% 58% -$1,444
Tech
1% 40% -$66
Sports
0% 50% +$62
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +953 $497 70¢ $672 +$175 11-05 20:47
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +657 $502 84¢ $555 +$53 11-05 19:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +627 $354 76¢ $473 +$119 11-05 08:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +403 $359 100¢ $403 +$44 11-04 00:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +275 $240 98¢ $270 +$30 11-03 18:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +228 $183 93¢ $212 +$29 11-03 22:50
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over — +201 $118 100¢ $200 +$82 11-05 20:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +240 $158 76¢ $182 +$25 11-05 13:55
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5 Over +181 $78 98¢ $177 +$100 11-05 20:17
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? Yes +150 $78 99¢ $149 +$70 11-03 10:03
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 8, 2026? No +126 $120 98¢ $123 +$3 11-05 20:56
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +138 $120 88¢ $122 +$2 11-05 17:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $100 59¢ $118 +$18 10-08 04:39
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 4 Winner Natus Vincere — +106 $79 100¢ $106 +$27 11-05 22:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +133 $80 76¢ $102 +$22 11-04 05:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +668 $126 12¢ $83 -$43 09-15 16:38
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +91 $80 88¢ $80 +$0 11-05 17:18
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +89 $80 90¢ $80 +$0 11-05 16:47
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +132 $78 60¢ $80 +$2 11-05 17:19
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? No +87 $80 91¢ $79 -$1 11-05 22:37
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: SC União Torreense O/U 2.5 Over — +95 $39 83¢ $79 +$40 11-05 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6? Yes +127 $78 60¢ $77 -$1 11-05 21:21
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 1°C or below on November 5? No — +75 $39 98¢ $73 +$34 11-04 21:52
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +112 $16 47¢ $53 +$37 09-27 21:03
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +249 $38 19¢ $48 +$9 10-11 14:44
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $40 97¢ $47 +$7 11-04 01:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +78 $39 60¢ $47 +$7 11-05 15:23
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes +47 $40 99¢ $46 +$7 11-03 11:06
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +46 -$53 96¢ $45 +$97 11-04 02:38
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$3 11-05 18:53