Wicked-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

414 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$357

$9.67K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

43% 69% +$359

Politics

32% 64% -$30

Sports

25% 60% +$17

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+784	$13	1¢	$5	-$7	10-23 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	4	$782	484	484	+0	No	+$182	09-20 21:00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$559	680	680	+0	Yes	-$21	09-20 09:31
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$388	273	273	+0	Yes	+$26	01-22 14:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	9	$338	880	880	+0	open	—	10-30 00:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	6	$304	485	485	+0	Yes	+$24	05-28 13:30
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	12	$297	455	331	+125	Yes	-$76	01-22 15:11
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	4	$262	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	10-13 23:03
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$262	229	115	+115	Yes	+$37	07-15 00:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$256	479	479	+0	Yes	+$116	07-07 21:11
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	12	$222	263	263	+0	Yes	+$24	02-06 12:18
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	10	$220	215	162	+54	No	+$134	09-13 14:31
Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	4	$203	144	144	+0	open	—	10-12 13:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$200	318	318	+0	open	—	11-04 18:48
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	4	$180	102	102	+0	No	+$22	02-01 11:48
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$144	1,004	1,004	+0	No	-$20	07-03 11:13
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 50 and 52	2	$128	151	151	+0	Yes	+$54	02-08 20:53
FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5	2	$127	74	74	+0	Under	+$11	09-20 21:20
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	3	$126	225	140	+85	Yes	+$85	06-28 03:25
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	2	$124	75	75	+0	Yes	+$24	08-07 00:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$121	193	193	+0	open	—	10-27 23:04
will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	2	$117	76	76	+0	No	+$17	08-12 01:50
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	4	$116	87	87	+0	No	+$4	01-20 14:32
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$110	2,490	2,490	+0	No	+$10	07-05 18:28
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$107	61	61	+0	No	+$7	01-18 19:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$105	128	128	+0	Yes	+$5	09-25 16:04
will lus marques mendes win less than 16 of votes in the first round	4	$104	73	73	+0	Yes	+$4	01-18 19:53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30?	1	$100	123	0	+123	Yes	+$23	07-27 00:37
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$100	303	0	+303	Seahawks	-$100	02-08 20:55
Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100?	2	$100	122	0	+122	Yes	+$22	09-16 16:47
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	2	$100	55	55	+0	No	$0	01-20 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:48:46	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	318	31¢	$100	0x38b60d…
11-04 18:20:16	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0x4cde3f…
11-03 23:19:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x622320…
10-30 00:27:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	431	17¢	$72	0x6838ce…
10-29 13:09:59	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	449	18¢	$81	0xd34a7a…
10-27 23:05:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x6ae1c0…
10-27 23:04:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	96	39¢	$38	0x4f91bb…
10-27 19:49:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	96	24¢	$23	0x4e340b…
10-25 18:17:32	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x31b644…
10-23 12:50:54	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	674	1¢	$10	0x82722d…
10-22 22:14:50	Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x197ff4…
10-21 19:33:27	FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x2e29c7…
10-20 20:51:41	Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x2b55b0…
10-15 08:12:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x029a53…
10-14 04:04:56	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x73d6bb…
10-14 02:49:20	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x65743e…
10-14 00:40:49	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0xc2b28c…
10-14 00:40:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	193	31¢	$60	0x500fe1…
10-14 00:12:12	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x48496d…
10-13 23:03:28	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	350	13¢	$46	0xc52223…
10-13 22:46:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0xeb783f…
10-12 13:33:24	Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	54	72¢	$39	0x6663fc…
10-07 08:58:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	417	2¢	$9	0x8c86b4…
10-06 08:58:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	293	20¢	$60	0x355344…
10-06 06:22:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc49b49…
10-06 05:22:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xed3efd…
10-06 05:22:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x654b08…
10-06 05:22:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x106c1d…
10-01 18:48:56	Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x4582e3…
09-29 23:27:27	Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	72	69¢	$50	0x745660…
09-28 22:07:38	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x58519a…
09-28 11:45:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	280	21¢	$58	0xc0038f…
09-28 08:44:08	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x47fd3e…
09-28 08:43:56	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x4a5314…
09-25 23:53:32	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xdb42b2…
09-25 17:56:29	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0xf1e007…
09-25 16:04:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	128	43¢	$55	0x1544d4…
09-25 14:44:42	Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x5930ca…
09-25 14:43:42	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0xbeb2aa…
09-24 17:18:35	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,563	13¢	$200	0xca2c3c…
09-22 12:20:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	417	10¢	$40	0x49175e…
09-21 21:47:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xba2e29…
09-20 21:21:34	FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0xe8acaf…
09-20 21:20:23	FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	74	94¢	$69	0xabb9ec…
09-20 21:03:35	FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	74	78¢	$58	0x35d72b…
09-20 21:00:43	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	SELL	484	100¢	$482	0xe39060…
09-20 18:30:04	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x6d6686…
09-20 09:40:28	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x55b3ed…
09-20 09:39:31	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf6541e…
09-20 09:31:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	103	44¢	$45	0x4498f4…
09-17 18:16:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	98	43¢	$43	0x0f7d8a…
09-16 16:47:09	Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x1ff9a2…
09-16 13:45:36	Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xba775d…
09-14 12:33:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	193	40¢	$77	0x206191…
09-13 14:31:16	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0xc7ea71…
09-13 14:29:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x026402…
09-13 14:24:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$13	0x83e9f6…
09-13 14:23:58	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xc2447c…
09-13 14:17:00	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa40446…
09-13 14:14:51	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xa99731…
09-13 13:35:09	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	79	92¢	$73	0xc48606…
09-12 17:03:25	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe2a19e…
09-11 16:53:51	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	119	34¢	$40	0xce7cd2…
09-11 16:53:21	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x60f952…
09-09 20:45:58	Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8b6f93…
09-08 10:39:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	285	36¢	$104	0x7aa274…
09-08 10:38:52	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,053	1¢	$7	0x89b986…
09-08 10:38:49	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0x268c02…
09-06 11:10:25	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x22db08…
09-06 11:10:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	258	8¢	$21	0xf59ef5…
09-06 11:08:33	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x7d407a…
09-06 11:08:15	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	905	3¢	$26	0xb87f3e…
09-04 20:33:22	fl1 psg asm 2026 09 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x5c462c…
09-01 22:21:57	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x94494a…
08-30 06:59:39	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x2c8bad…
08-28 20:17:10	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x2d5cb4…
08-21 19:55:46	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe9b1c3…
08-21 16:26:34	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	905	3¢	$30	0x9e7713…
08-21 16:26:22	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x94d331…
08-19 16:37:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x25496c…
08-12 13:52:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x27e2b9…
08-12 13:52:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	258	8¢	$20	0x52e7f6…
08-12 13:52:22	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x0bbbaa…
08-12 01:50:22	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0xe2321f…
08-07 22:48:48	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xe813b0…
08-07 00:27:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x4fc7f9…
08-07 00:26:20	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x90736c…
07-31 16:29:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x8a6545…
07-31 16:28:47	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x31e768…
07-27 00:37:01	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x69593e…
07-21 09:42:49	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x60a1fc…
07-15 00:59:08	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	80¢	$92	0x32ecab…
07-07 21:11:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xcd97d5…
07-06 23:23:37	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	229	74¢	$170	0xc9502a…
07-06 23:22:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x3d8063…
07-06 23:21:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	336	13¢	$44	0xce07ab…
07-06 23:20:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	336	15¢	$50	0x291903…
07-06 09:48:46	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x63a1b8…
07-05 18:28:14	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,490	2¢	$60	0x0c4df3…
07-03 11:13:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,004	6¢	$62	0xb7e6d1…