Awkward-Date — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

453

Trades

1,078

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-31 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

78% 61% +$17

Sports

9% 27% -$25

Crypto

7% 62% -$17

Politics

6% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$90	523	523	+0	No	+$20	05-14 03:29
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	8	$73	512	512	+0	Yes	-$3	05-19 05:50
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$48	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-18 04:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$47	29	29	+0	No	-$1	05-20 09:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$45	39	39	+0	No	-$3	05-14 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$43	129	129	+0	No	+$11	05-14 03:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$42	388	388	+0	No	-$8	05-16 06:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$41	322	322	+0	open	—	05-14 11:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$41	30	30	+0	No	-$2	05-19 16:53
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$41	274	274	+0	No	+$8	05-14 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 18?	6	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$1	07-19 02:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-18 07:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	4	$36	287	287	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$4	05-16 14:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$34	28	28	+0	No	-$2	05-21 10:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$33	269	269	+0	No	-$1	05-14 12:00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	18	$29	290	290	+0	Yes	-$3	05-11 16:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	4	$28	16	16	+0	No	+$4	07-09 02:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30?	3	$27	14	14	-0	No	+$1	07-30 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 9?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$2	08-09 16:54
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$26	15	15	+0	No	+$2	05-16 19:45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-15 20:13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-20 23:51
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	3	$22	39	39	+0	Athletics	-$1	05-20 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 12?	3	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	08-13 03:46
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$20	148	91	+57	No	-$6	05-22 15:45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	2	$20	13	13	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$4	05-13 04:05
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	4	$20	214	214	+0	No	-$4	05-15 08:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 04:57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	2	$20	38	38	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$2	05-20 02:43
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$20	16	16	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$5	05-13 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 14:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc7c9ff…
08-31 14:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x96471a…
08-31 14:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb07343…
08-31 14:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdfe687…
08-31 14:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x02073c…
08-31 13:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcfc83a…
08-31 13:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ce21e…
08-31 13:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc2296e…
08-31 13:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9eab8c…
08-31 13:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb93afb…
08-31 13:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd44515…
08-31 13:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbe4411…
08-31 13:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x082ee7…
08-31 13:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfa97c5…
08-31 13:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x978634…
08-31 12:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7749d5…
08-31 12:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e4162…
08-31 12:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x963439…
08-31 12:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb6add2…
08-31 12:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa6d9f8…
08-31 12:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x3e0f7a…
08-31 12:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x23952d…
08-31 12:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd95003…
08-31 12:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa2c485…
08-31 11:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x345a89…
08-31 11:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0b66bc…
08-31 11:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9293a7…
08-31 11:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc982a5…
08-31 11:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xafbaae…
08-31 11:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x50f8ba…
08-31 11:02:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x96928c…
08-31 10:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x193c4a…
08-31 10:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x32e435…
08-31 10:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7cf1ec…
08-31 10:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8de0b9…
08-17 11:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x4fd62d…
08-17 08:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6f1f30…
08-16 22:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe7ae85…
08-16 16:25:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe85a29…
08-16 08:35:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xade4f4…
08-16 06:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa1446f…
08-15 19:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f0987…
08-15 14:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4a6740…
08-15 13:56:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x38396d…
08-15 13:56:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x07592a…
08-15 10:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9b9cd0…
08-15 09:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf805a2…
08-15 09:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfd1494…
08-15 06:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x968f10…
08-15 03:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x779fc3…
08-15 03:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb8a6bf…
08-15 03:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0d2498…
08-15 03:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5ca33e…
08-15 02:01:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd308ef…
08-14 23:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb54e99…
08-14 20:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa3fbcb…
08-14 20:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9c4a38…
08-14 19:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xeef822…
08-14 18:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8bd582…
08-14 18:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa60269…
08-14 18:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x95c75d…
08-14 17:57:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x79a71d…
08-14 16:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc9e2e7…
08-14 16:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x72ccc8…
08-14 14:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa6bd2a…
08-14 12:47:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x32a951…
08-14 12:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 14?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x40df85…
08-14 10:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcfddc5…
08-14 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9cad89…
08-14 06:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x357054…
08-14 04:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd8df55…
08-13 20:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa4284c…
08-13 20:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 13?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8b2a4e…
08-13 19:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x960672…
08-13 19:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x908445…
08-13 17:03:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x02efc1…
08-13 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xc50924…
08-13 16:52:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x368de2…
08-13 16:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbb3c27…
08-13 16:40:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xa60ace…
08-13 15:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 13?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x03d3b2…
08-13 15:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x470438…
08-13 14:50:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x629684…
08-13 14:41:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6fc93d…
08-13 14:41:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb8abcb…
08-13 14:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6aa81f…
08-13 14:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfd33a8…
08-13 13:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xff77d0…
08-13 13:02:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcd7802…
08-13 12:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa4002c…
08-13 11:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 13?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf85925…
08-13 10:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 13?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x744a29…
08-13 09:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 13?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xeabdde…
08-13 05:18:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6955b6…
08-13 05:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 13?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x5893b0…
08-13 03:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3de692…
08-13 03:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4ecb72…
08-13 03:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xebe22c…
08-13 03:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9ea284…
08-12 22:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x59eadd…