Stupendous-Hemp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.7%

Resolved

210

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$518

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-01 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

43% 4% -$2

Politics

29% 11% -$1

Crypto

21% 28% $0

Tech

5% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	9	$10	5	5	-0	Yes	$0	01-14 03:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 04:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 10:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-14 03:20
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 08:33
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-26 10:08
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 06:07
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 10:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 06:47
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 07:28
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-26 04:20
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 07:59
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 03:36
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 07:13
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-24 07:57
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 07:03
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-07 09:15
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-31 07:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 08:03
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 07:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 06:51
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 03:33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 06:47
Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.65B?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 07:00
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-05 06:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-01 07:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 06:12
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:25:38	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8fe26e…
08-01 09:19:08	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe52929…
07-31 07:35:54	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd39301…
07-31 07:31:02	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5fe6b3…
07-31 07:17:59	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdd2a77…
07-31 07:11:33	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65ae6b…
07-30 08:37:32	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe95a72…
07-30 08:23:45	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee6f5d…
07-30 08:18:23	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xab6bfa…
07-30 08:13:53	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x084dbd…
07-29 08:19:57	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2bd58f…
07-29 08:17:11	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4fc8b4…
07-29 08:13:32	Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0465f5…
07-29 08:01:48	Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7213d…
07-28 10:18:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb9a05b…
07-28 10:06:40	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd06ffe…
07-28 10:02:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x62f05a…
07-28 07:40:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a15ea…
07-27 06:51:03	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x24e525…
07-27 06:44:42	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddb216…
07-27 06:40:45	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x708207…
07-27 06:34:42	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x340125…
07-25 07:58:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0baef6…
07-25 07:51:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x62942a…
07-25 07:47:57	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x453f69…
07-25 07:42:27	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x91d6ce…
07-24 07:51:36	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x73d35c…
07-24 07:46:45	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa47efe…
07-24 07:41:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x775847…
07-24 07:28:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b0847…
07-23 07:48:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ec849…
07-23 07:41:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8096b9…
07-23 07:36:45	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1f3332…
07-23 07:29:28	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x97c23a…
07-22 07:28:42	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x632680…
07-22 07:20:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa5b317…
07-22 07:13:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf20c63…
07-22 07:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7aa1b2…
07-21 06:54:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x332374…
07-21 06:49:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a4f14…
07-21 06:45:04	Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x45eaec…
07-21 06:36:24	Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x657c4c…
07-20 07:51:51	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5a3010…
07-20 07:41:22	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x599b0a…
07-20 07:36:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeb9b0f…
07-20 07:30:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x211034…
07-18 07:37:55	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x95893e…
07-18 07:25:51	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4e330f…
07-18 07:21:10	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x316503…
07-18 07:14:40	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdaff28…
07-17 07:03:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a1bac…
07-17 06:57:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x009c15…
07-17 06:52:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9179ce…
07-17 06:43:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe29af4…
07-16 08:11:52	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3a9e11…
07-16 07:38:44	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8749b…
07-16 07:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0500c7…
07-16 07:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0975e…
07-15 08:00:55	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06c2e7…
07-15 07:51:46	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa4b2d…
07-15 07:47:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa9c1d0…
07-15 07:39:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe1d8d3…
07-14 07:37:58	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25363b…
07-14 07:28:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0eb79…
07-14 07:17:20	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6ec140…
07-14 07:04:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x17c576…
07-13 07:44:02	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0185d…
07-13 07:41:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb8b3e0…
07-13 07:29:02	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0e2e2a…
07-13 07:20:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc7e9e…
07-11 07:53:41	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf136d8…
07-11 07:46:56	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a90b2…
07-11 07:39:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe47873…
07-11 07:34:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d0674…
07-10 08:02:25	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0458ec…
07-10 07:51:25	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb36e20…
07-10 07:45:46	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x13e8c4…
07-10 07:37:43	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81e223…
07-09 07:06:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe8def…
07-09 06:54:52	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x357a27…
07-09 06:50:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x021fb7…
07-09 06:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce2f57…
07-08 07:20:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd78f6e…
07-08 07:10:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x08d074…
07-08 07:07:10	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2fbe18…
07-08 06:58:41	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35b565…
07-07 07:41:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b2673…
07-07 07:33:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58ba7a…
07-07 07:30:38	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x34ea8a…
07-07 07:21:50	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc62b1d…
07-06 07:59:52	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0800b…
07-06 07:48:53	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c173b…
07-06 07:47:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2c6821…
07-06 07:41:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xff89af…
07-04 07:03:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0a6db5…
07-04 06:56:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe5ff06…
07-04 06:53:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xeff85d…
07-04 06:49:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x39a00b…
07-03 08:46:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x655f4b…
07-03 08:41:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8890f6…