Harmless-Collection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

259

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$141

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Politics

45% 74% -$834

Other

43% 64% -$177

Sports

10% 68% -$112

Tech

2% 100% +$41

Crypto

1% 50% -$65

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+76	$50	88¢	$66	+$16	08-04 22:52
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-61	-$55	96¢	$-58	-$4	05-16 07:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+16	$15	95¢	$15	+$0	08-04 22:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-15	-$1	5¢	$-1	+$0	08-04 22:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$826	507	507	+0	No	+$84	03-27 20:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$417	572	0	+572	Yes	-$417	03-27 20:41
will john cornyn win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	7	$344	196	196	+0	Yes	+$37	03-05 16:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$310	522	0	+522	Yes	-$310	03-27 20:42
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	4	$293	179	179	+0	Yes	+$40	03-04 05:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$245	163	129	+35	No	+$16	01-31 16:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$238	175	195	-19	Yes	+$38	04-28 04:48
Nothing Ever Happens: April	4	$232	180	180	+0	Nothing	+$55	04-13 06:39
will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	4	$220	141	141	+0	No	+$34	07-19 21:39
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$220	117	117	+0	No	+$11	03-06 19:12
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$202	108	108	+0	No	+$12	02-28 07:04
minneapolis border patrol shooter firedresigns by march 31	5	$199	116	116	+0	No	+$25	03-03 16:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	5	$198	112	112	+0	No	+$22	03-13 14:50
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	10	$195	413	403	+10	No	+$47	04-15 07:17
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$193	0	510	-510	Yes	-$317	01-25 09:55
will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	4	$191	104	104	+0	No	+$16	07-19 19:22
will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	4	$177	110	110	+0	No	+$31	07-19 20:37
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	3	$170	132	131	+1	No	-$17	01-08 13:42
will ken paxton win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	3	$167	151	151	+0	No	-$113	03-04 05:09
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	6	$167	101	101	+0	No	+$32	02-27 14:44
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$150	172	0	+172	Paraguay	-$150	06-29 06:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$149	99	99	+0	No	+$27	04-08 03:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$138	78	78	+0	No	+$14	03-12 04:31
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 february 1 be less than 14250000	5	$132	108	100	+8	Yes	-$40	01-30 19:52
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	1	$128	206	0	+206	Yes	-$128	01-02 21:27
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$125	424	0	+424	No	-$125	05-19 21:02
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$115	70	70	+0	No	+$8	02-23 22:37
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 be less than 2200000	8	$115	134	0	+134	Yes	+$19	01-27 06:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$113	68	68	+0	No	+$13	05-28 04:45
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$113	136	0	+136	No	+$23	07-05 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 22:55:00	will russia enter ternuvate again by august 31	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xde60dd…
08-04 22:54:33	will russia enter moskovka by august 31	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x426bde…
08-04 22:52:35	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x9e2ed4…
08-04 22:49:51	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	84	77¢	$65	0x4f7a33…
08-04 22:48:53	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	37	82¢	$31	0x43b516…
08-04 22:48:30	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x34ab7c…
08-04 22:47:35	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5110af…
08-04 22:47:12	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x1a0b84…
07-22 22:32:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	117	76¢	$89	0xc61f90…
07-22 22:31:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x6ff35c…
07-22 22:31:18	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x617634…
07-20 08:23:33	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x6e1492…
07-19 21:39:01	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x123f1b…
07-19 21:30:28	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xe48e7e…
07-19 21:21:10	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0x51926d…
07-19 21:11:07	will a goal be scored during 76 90 minute 20260716181534261	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x9c5c3f…
07-19 20:53:37	will a goal be scored during 76 90 minute 20260716181534261	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbadaa1…
07-19 20:52:24	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd19ce5…
07-19 20:46:39	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x447231…
07-19 20:37:25	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	SELL	86	95¢	$81	0x57d7fb…
07-19 20:37:18	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x843794…
07-19 19:55:09	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8f19a4…
07-19 19:54:54	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x0a70f1…
07-19 19:54:40	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x8903f5…
07-19 19:36:42	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcb7815…
07-19 19:24:00	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf3c67d…
07-19 19:22:18	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe18122…
07-19 19:17:39	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xe9024e…
07-19 19:12:27	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7b802d…
07-19 19:12:21	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x786fdf…
07-17 22:18:31	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0xa3ad04…
07-15 08:26:38	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xbfdc7d…
07-11 14:58:16	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x11a6f0…
07-11 14:57:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x606339…
07-05 20:56:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xe94dd9…
07-05 20:55:53	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x34e224…
07-05 20:51:38	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	136	83¢	$113	0xdc85e5…
07-05 20:46:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x952b86…
07-05 20:43:59	will ant man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259197	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x92f9e2…
06-30 21:06:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xfd5c78…
06-30 06:29:41	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbb5834…
06-30 06:27:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd22e6d…
06-30 06:24:37	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0x4dff1c…
06-30 06:23:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xddcd2f…
06-29 06:42:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x78f6aa…
06-29 06:41:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9628af…
06-24 22:37:35	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x12f5b2…
06-24 22:36:58	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd849bd…
06-24 22:35:46	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x7cb737…
06-24 22:25:41	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x1869c2…
06-19 17:59:01	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x4fedb0…
06-19 15:59:37	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x4f90cf…
06-19 15:47:59	will kylian mbappe score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023004	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x01fc7b…
06-13 16:16:24	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf08002…
06-12 23:12:12	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5724b6…
06-12 23:08:13	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x990492…
06-12 23:07:52	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfa83c6…
06-12 23:07:36	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2052dd…
06-12 05:36:24	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb07f00…
06-12 05:32:36	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5a633e…
06-12 05:31:18	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6f0e08…
06-12 05:23:13	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xc61a78…
06-12 05:22:31	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xebc704…
06-12 01:14:22	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa5c176…
06-12 01:14:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc989bf…
06-12 01:12:01	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x085ce8…
06-12 01:09:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6a6a57…
06-11 05:04:22	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2a419b…
06-11 05:01:10	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4bba59…
06-11 04:58:46	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xcfab68…
06-11 04:57:10	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x2163fe…
06-11 04:56:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0xa817fc…
06-11 04:55:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	57	89¢	$50	0x612f76…
06-08 21:38:43	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x23107e…
06-08 21:19:57	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4190ff…
05-30 05:42:20	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa70d67…
05-28 06:36:51	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x86f499…
05-28 06:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xfd818f…
05-28 04:45:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x3e47fb…
05-26 23:28:19	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xe52097…
05-26 23:26:11	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xaf8e68…
05-26 07:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x15fae8…
05-26 05:22:48	Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 3 and 4 days?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x74470f…
05-26 05:06:30	Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 3 and 4 days?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x73db62…
05-24 03:13:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x48c817…
05-20 01:12:04	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xbc57e6…
05-19 21:02:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf5a320…
05-19 21:00:01	Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 3 and 4 days?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xf195c8…
05-16 07:18:59	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x4cbc25…
05-16 07:18:27	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	267	3¢	$9	0x29896b…
05-16 07:18:10	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf6de1e…
05-16 07:10:37	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xe8bb81…
05-16 07:10:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x54d5cd…
05-16 07:08:34	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x54e818…
05-08 04:00:53	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe4cd69…
05-04 06:49:00	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Knights	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xac4339…
05-03 02:52:42	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf6296d…
05-03 02:50:16	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x75f98f…
05-03 02:49:38	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xffcdda…
04-30 21:43:58	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x29cde3…