Harmless-Collection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$43

Other

44% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No		+36	$22	62¢	$22	$-0	07-15 08:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$826	507	507	+0	open	—	03-27 20:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$417	572	0	+572	open	—	03-27 20:41
will john cornyn win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	7	$344	196	196	+0	open	—	03-05 16:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$310	522	0	+522	open	—	03-27 20:42
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	4	$293	179	179	+0	open	—	03-04 05:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$245	163	129	+35	open	—	01-31 16:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$238	175	195	-19	Yes	+$38	04-28 04:48
Nothing Ever Happens: April	4	$232	180	180	+0	open	—	04-13 06:39
will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	4	$220	141	141	+0	open	—	07-19 21:39
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$220	117	117	+0	open	—	03-06 19:12
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$202	108	108	+0	open	—	02-28 07:04
minneapolis border patrol shooter firedresigns by march 31	5	$199	116	116	+0	open	—	03-03 16:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	5	$198	112	112	+0	open	—	03-13 14:50
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	10	$195	413	403	+10	open	—	04-15 07:17
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$193	0	510	-510	open	—	01-25 09:55
will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	4	$191	104	104	+0	open	—	07-19 19:22
will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	4	$177	110	110	+0	open	—	07-19 20:37
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	3	$170	132	131	+1	open	—	01-08 13:42
will ken paxton win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	3	$167	151	151	+0	open	—	03-04 05:09
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	6	$167	101	101	+0	open	—	02-27 14:44
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$150	172	0	+172	open	—	06-29 06:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$149	99	99	+0	open	—	04-08 03:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$138	78	78	+0	open	—	03-12 04:31
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 february 1 be less than 14250000	5	$132	108	100	+8	open	—	01-30 19:52
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	1	$128	206	0	+206	open	—	01-02 21:27
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$115	70	70	+0	open	—	02-23 22:37
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 be less than 2200000	8	$115	134	0	+134	open	—	01-27 06:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$113	68	68	+0	open	—	05-28 04:45
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$113	136	0	+136	open	—	07-05 20:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$106	361	361	+0	open	—	02-28 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 22:31:18	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x617634…
07-19 21:39:01	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x123f1b…
07-19 21:30:28	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xe48e7e…
07-19 21:21:10	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0x51926d…
07-19 21:11:07	will a goal be scored during 76 90 minute 20260716181534261	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x9c5c3f…
07-19 20:53:37	will a goal be scored during 76 90 minute 20260716181534261	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbadaa1…
07-19 20:52:24	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd19ce5…
07-19 20:46:39	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x447231…
07-19 20:37:25	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	SELL	86	95¢	$81	0x57d7fb…
07-19 20:37:18	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x843794…
07-19 19:55:09	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8f19a4…
07-19 19:54:54	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x0a70f1…
07-19 19:54:40	will a goal be scored during 46 60 minute 20260716181534259	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x8903f5…
07-19 19:36:42	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcb7815…
07-19 19:24:00	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf3c67d…
07-19 19:22:18	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe18122…
07-19 19:17:39	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xe9024e…
07-19 19:12:27	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7b802d…
07-19 19:12:21	will a goal be scored during 16 30 minute 20260716181534257	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x786fdf…
07-17 22:18:31	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0xa3ad04…
07-15 08:26:38	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xbfdc7d…
07-11 14:58:16	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x11a6f0…
07-11 14:57:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x606339…
07-05 20:55:53	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x34e224…
07-05 20:51:38	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	136	83¢	$113	0xdc85e5…
07-05 20:46:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x952b86…
07-05 20:43:59	will ant man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259197	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x92f9e2…
06-30 06:29:41	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbb5834…
06-30 06:27:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd22e6d…
06-30 06:24:37	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0x4dff1c…
06-30 06:23:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xddcd2f…
06-29 06:42:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x78f6aa…
06-29 06:41:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9628af…
06-24 22:37:35	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x12f5b2…
06-24 22:36:58	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd849bd…
06-24 22:35:46	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x7cb737…
06-24 22:25:41	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x1869c2…
06-19 17:59:01	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x4fedb0…
06-19 15:47:59	will kylian mbappe score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023004	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x01fc7b…
06-12 23:12:12	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5724b6…
06-12 23:08:13	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x990492…
06-12 23:07:52	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfa83c6…
06-12 23:07:36	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2052dd…
06-12 05:32:36	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5a633e…
06-12 05:31:18	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6f0e08…
06-12 01:14:22	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa5c176…
06-12 01:14:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc989bf…
06-12 01:12:01	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x085ce8…
06-12 01:09:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6a6a57…
06-11 05:01:10	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4bba59…
06-11 04:56:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0xa817fc…
06-11 04:55:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	57	89¢	$50	0x612f76…
06-08 21:38:43	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x23107e…
06-08 21:19:57	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4190ff…
05-28 06:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xfd818f…
05-28 04:45:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x3e47fb…
05-26 07:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x15fae8…
05-20 01:12:04	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xbc57e6…
05-04 06:49:00	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Knights	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xac4339…
04-30 21:40:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe519a4…
04-28 06:38:20	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x00aed3…
04-28 06:38:02	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x884efa…
04-28 06:31:50	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xf54160…
04-28 04:49:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x660c80…
04-28 04:48:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	195	71¢	$138	0x63bb30…
04-25 17:56:12	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x589004…
04-25 17:56:02	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa2cffb…
04-25 17:54:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xc8bba7…
04-25 17:54:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x2dc550…
04-25 04:41:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x3ec934…
04-25 04:24:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x63eff7…
04-22 02:39:42	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8a987…
04-22 02:11:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x551210…
04-22 02:11:10	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f33ba…
04-20 04:59:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x526de5…
04-20 04:57:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7daf70…
04-20 04:34:50	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	13¢	$6	0x77dcf8…
04-20 04:33:36	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x560931…
04-20 04:32:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavs	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd2b4a7…
04-20 04:32:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb9383e…
04-19 13:38:00	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd1fc1a…
04-19 13:37:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x9458d2…
04-16 06:40:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x8c881e…
04-15 07:17:38	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	Yes	SELL	312	10¢	$31	0x973139…
04-15 06:12:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7d9770…
04-15 06:11:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x6fd569…
04-15 06:04:26	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	Yes	BUY	322	2¢	$6	0x5f26ae…
04-15 06:00:24	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x4030e0…
04-15 02:53:20	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x4334d5…
04-15 01:42:38	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3158ca…
04-15 01:36:34	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x8fc04e…
04-15 01:33:26	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x372b53…
04-15 01:24:52	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3b3868…
04-15 01:12:40	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x212019…
04-15 00:42:52	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xdd9778…
04-15 00:33:12	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xd8a8fa…
04-15 00:32:58	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xd229e8…
04-15 00:31:34	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6941b5…
04-15 00:18:54	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x93dbf4…
04-13 06:41:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x204edd…