Worrisome-Dime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$235

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$590

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-26 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

88% 39% +$2,056

Politics

11% 25% +$7

Sports

1% 9% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+1,546	$644	28¢	$433	-$211	10-13 18:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+308	$111	29¢	$88	-$23	10-06 20:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	+625	$50	10¢	$59	+$9	08-31 11:05
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+523	$20	2¢	$10	-$10	09-10 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	23	$6.0K	3,808	3,807	+1	No	+$1,262	09-06 18:59
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	19	$1.6K	2,587	0	+2,587	No	+$947	05-27 07:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$678	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	09-12 14:33
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	10	$644	1,546	0	+1,546	open	—	10-13 18:17
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	3	$202	394	0	+394	open	—	10-13 18:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$111	308	0	+308	open	—	10-06 20:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$105	500	500	+0	open	—	08-27 20:05
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$88	210	210	+0	open	—	08-27 20:05
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$80	292	292	+0	No	-$80	07-19 22:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$72	503	503	+0	open	—	06-29 18:56
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	1	$55	108	0	+108	No	-$55	09-18 17:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	1	$50	625	0	+625	open	—	08-31 11:05
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$50	576	0	+576	open	—	09-10 10:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	3	$45	73	73	+0	open	—	09-15 20:20
will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	1	$31	240	0	+240	No	-$31	08-15 04:31
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	2	$31	37	37	+0	Under	+$21	09-20 17:57
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	5	$30	42	33	+9	Argentina	-$3	07-07 17:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	4	$28	614	614	+0	No	-$10	07-14 17:47
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$27	525	25	+500	Yes	+$23	07-07 19:45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$25	57	0	+57	No	-$25	07-19 19:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$11	04-29 17:53
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$20	39	39	+0	Spain	+$0	07-10 20:41
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	1	$20	110	0	+110	Yes	-$20	09-15 17:14
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$20	523	0	+523	open	—	09-10 11:00
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	3	$19	1,024	11	+1,013	open	—	09-14 13:29
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	1	$17	33	0	+33	Yes	+$16	09-13 20:54
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	1	$17	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 19:53
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$15	750	0	+750	open	—	09-10 11:10
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$15	34	0	+34	Spain	+$19	07-14 18:24
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$15	32	0	+32	Argentina	+$17	07-15 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:53:44	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x1d87a1…
10-13 18:20:39	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0xabc294…
10-13 18:17:31	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xf5289a…
10-13 18:14:36	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x94609a…
10-11 20:08:00	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x141374…
10-08 19:57:42	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	218	23¢	$50	0xc53170…
10-06 20:25:35	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	308	36¢	$111	0xaa3a4d…
10-06 20:13:41	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	230	64¢	$147	0xfc96da…
10-05 06:47:31	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xc0b3ef…
09-29 20:56:15	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x269199…
09-29 19:33:20	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa88b5d…
09-29 15:01:56	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0x91ae78…
09-20 17:57:06	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xc23014…
09-18 17:46:13	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x8567e4…
09-16 16:59:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x131eab…
09-16 16:33:11	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x0543cf…
09-15 20:20:28	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0xf8dcd1…
09-15 19:16:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x490926…
09-15 17:15:07	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x9c98ec…
09-15 17:14:31	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x1af656…
09-15 16:29:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x1cfdaf…
09-14 13:29:13	Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x6a7039…
09-14 05:59:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x56b9ec…
09-13 20:54:37	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x3f2973…
09-13 20:54:10	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x97e552…
09-12 14:33:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	625	15¢	$94	0x668be3…
09-12 08:30:22	Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	174	1¢	$1	0xe11590…
09-11 10:14:21	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	104	55¢	$57	0x575d06…
09-10 17:06:45	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	104	62¢	$65	0x8bbaeb…
09-10 16:02:39	Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x28a6b1…
09-10 16:02:28	Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x256d4f…
09-10 16:02:21	Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x899629…
09-10 16:01:36	Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x7e9170…
09-10 16:01:06	Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	209	1¢	$3	0x564fb1…
09-10 15:42:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x081888…
09-10 15:16:58	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	Grüne	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf4fc7a…
09-10 15:12:22	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?	SPD	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x94ed5f…
09-10 11:10:39	Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0x12c429…
09-10 11:09:09	Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	850	2¢	$17	0x94d373…
09-10 11:00:03	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	523	4¢	$20	0x85b236…
09-10 10:59:13	Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	576	9¢	$50	0xc1f7d1…
09-10 08:32:34	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	539	56¢	$300	0xcfa3a2…
09-06 18:59:39	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	3,587	99¢	$3,551	0x5faebd…
09-02 20:27:57	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	878	74¢	$645	0x6917f0…
08-31 11:06:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xc35a0e…
08-31 11:05:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xdeed86…
08-27 20:07:07	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	173	75¢	$130	0xe81b5f…
08-27 20:05:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	310	12¢	$37	0xe99241…
08-27 20:05:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xb4fdb1…
08-27 20:05:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	11¢	$23	0xba141a…
08-15 04:31:12	will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	Yes	BUY	240	13¢	$31	0xaec0c0…
07-27 11:19:30	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xc686c6…
07-26 17:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa3c30a…
07-26 17:31:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x47fb4e…
07-26 17:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa24f4f…
07-26 17:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x73992c…
07-26 17:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0496f4…
07-25 16:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x31e83e…
07-25 16:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x35e0e8…
07-25 16:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xae2693…
07-25 16:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa9d784…
07-25 16:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0e8cf…
07-23 19:40:13	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x25dffb…
07-23 19:38:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	335	30¢	$101	0xa3de59…
07-23 19:18:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x38e9a4…
07-23 19:01:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	210	31¢	$65	0x6d6732…
07-23 18:58:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x105ec8…
07-22 18:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 23?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7fec50…
07-22 18:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x34a780…
07-22 18:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9803a7…
07-22 18:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x641961…
07-22 18:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7d45bb…
07-22 18:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8c8e49…
07-22 18:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcf080…
07-22 18:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x08ab3a…
07-22 18:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4112dc…
07-22 18:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x87e030…
07-21 13:19:42	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	91	59¢	$54	0xb4d02b…
07-21 13:19:12	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x631067…
07-20 23:14:12	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x63032a…
07-20 20:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x32000c…
07-20 20:23:28	wnba min sea 2026 07 20	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1b20a4…
07-20 20:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xd5f88c…
07-20 20:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa6dfc7…
07-20 20:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xdba96c…
07-20 20:21:13	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 20	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x38a2c6…
07-20 10:49:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	375	23¢	$86	0x3e97c3…
07-19 22:02:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	292	0¢	$0	0x465efb…
07-19 21:44:09	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x8f0294…
07-19 19:38:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8b0461…
07-19 19:17:24	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb27ff6…
07-19 18:50:42	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xe7a3d7…
07-19 18:38:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x7a3b5f…
07-19 18:29:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x679274…
07-19 18:25:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x95b9e5…
07-19 18:19:24	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa2767a…
07-18 13:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb9e3c4…
07-18 13:51:42	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe9941c…
07-18 13:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x297614…
07-18 13:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x005e98…