Tidy-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-10 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$1

Other

23% 100% +$16

Sports

12% 100% +$3

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$587	295	295	+0	open	—	04-05 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$296	148	148	+0	open	—	05-04 09:31
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$295	148	148	+0	open	—	04-25 04:08
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	04-23 08:39
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	03-17 03:51
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$290	145	145	+0	open	—	04-24 08:50
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$288	144	144	+0	open	—	03-24 03:47
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	03-17 04:18
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	03-18 03:25
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$285	143	143	+0	open	—	03-24 04:08
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$282	141	141	+0	open	—	04-21 06:02
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	03-08 07:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$167	167	0	+167	open	—	05-15 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$166	167	0	+167	open	—	05-14 07:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$165	165	0	+165	open	—	05-17 12:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$163	163	0	+163	open	—	05-18 06:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$162	163	0	+163	open	—	05-19 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$158	158	0	+158	open	—	05-23 07:45
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$157	167	0	+167	No	+$10	05-12 19:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	05-20 08:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$155	155	0	+155	No	+$0	05-10 06:03
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $235?	1	$154	155	0	+155	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:14
will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	06-19 11:57
msft above 440 on june 26 2026	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	06-26 06:25
will abnb reach 160 by july 6 2026	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	07-10 05:01
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 115 139	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	03-02 05:47
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	04-04 07:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	05-11 08:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-26 12:43
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 3	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	04-03 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 05:01:05	will abnb reach 160 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x47b5f9…
06-26 06:25:08	msft above 440 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x44aba7…
06-19 11:57:10	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xde48fb…
05-31 11:56:23	T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Gloucestershire	Gloucestershire	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xeea8d4…
05-30 06:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xa0832a…
05-29 07:39:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x4c7b1f…
05-28 09:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x911e50…
05-27 07:20:21	Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd9648a…
05-26 12:43:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc5e540…
05-26 12:33:25	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb5b7cb…
05-25 03:12:28	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf6bdab…
05-24 12:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbb0972…
05-23 07:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xc6bb6c…
05-20 08:41:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x09eec7…
05-20 08:25:29	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa8bb04…
05-19 09:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xc5eb8a…
05-19 09:12:43	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko	Varvara Lepchenko	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe4ab4e…
05-18 06:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xaf7aff…
05-18 05:19:07	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x57d660…
05-17 12:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x077a7d…
05-16 07:09:55	Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4f921b…
05-15 10:57:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x05f628…
05-14 07:20:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0xcc5560…
05-14 06:51:30	LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5bd2f5…
05-12 19:41:14	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0xac11ac…
05-11 08:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x386200…
05-11 08:20:54	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x328dbf…
05-10 06:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x598426…
05-08 04:14:35	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $235?	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x2c39bb…
05-07 12:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x8eda85…
05-07 12:16:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa30e6e…
05-06 12:09:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x36951d…
05-06 12:06:14	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd9f862…
05-04 09:35:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 4?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x5fe3ec…
05-04 09:31:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x7a9e6a…
04-30 06:37:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xc2b178…
04-28 10:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xc0af14…
04-27 03:52:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x7a0b7a…
04-26 07:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xb48637…
04-25 04:16:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x479737…
04-25 04:08:04	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$147	0x311452…
04-25 03:26:24	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xb843d3…
04-24 09:00:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x85254f…
04-24 08:54:02	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x46390f…
04-24 08:50:10	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x87d3b8…
04-24 07:49:44	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x5ed548…
04-23 08:48:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xfd4a03…
04-23 08:42:06	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	GIANTX	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcd4470…
04-23 08:39:06	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x83aa94…
04-23 08:09:00	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x576401…
04-22 04:03:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xb9105a…
04-21 06:06:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 21	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x18f459…
04-21 06:02:32	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xc8cbd2…
04-21 04:52:42	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2b717a…
04-21 04:49:28	Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc90629…
04-20 07:51:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x430d23…
04-19 03:04:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x24b8b0…
04-17 03:17:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x638bfa…
04-16 07:20:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x7831d8…
04-15 12:18:00	ethereum above 2500 on april 15	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xc8264e…
04-14 02:29:11	ethereum above 2600 on april 14	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0xd00bd4…
04-13 01:14:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 13	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x74efa2…
04-10 08:28:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x82d095…
04-09 03:58:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 9	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xd43309…
04-08 12:21:57	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x03b447…
04-08 12:12:13	atp tu gray 2026 04 07	Alastair Gray	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf34a10…
04-07 10:47:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x23b740…
04-06 02:12:27	xrp above 1pt1 on april 6	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x6ae728…
04-05 04:05:11	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x8585ba…
04-05 04:02:21	atp monfils grieksp 2026 04 06	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x4424ff…
04-05 04:01:55	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0x0da7b9…
04-05 03:45:43	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x8583c6…
04-04 07:06:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x96b803…
04-03 04:55:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 3	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa3b41d…
04-02 06:41:19	ethereum above 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x065536…
04-01 04:03:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x2f9e7e…
03-31 05:02:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x50a5fb…
03-30 03:23:16	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x32fd07…
03-29 08:55:00	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xcaeae1…
03-29 08:04:38	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x23846f…
03-28 12:22:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 28	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x539875…
03-28 12:19:03	nba det min 2026 03 28	Pistons	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x35a5dd…
03-27 12:26:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xdb837a…
03-26 14:35:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xdc187c…
03-25 07:24:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x34a8ac…
03-24 04:11:21	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x710992…
03-24 04:08:25	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x3f2f54…
03-24 03:51:39	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x8c70e2…
03-24 03:48:25	atp dodig langmo 2026 03 24	Christian Langmo	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4c0bf9…
03-24 03:47:01	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x3d4932…
03-24 03:24:01	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x8a2bfd…
03-22 07:21:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x80c5b8…
03-21 12:33:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xfbddcb…
03-20 07:43:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xf46431…
03-18 03:57:53	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xe2b4c1…
03-18 03:46:49	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x4d9a0f…
03-18 03:27:11	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$144	0xf26923…
03-18 03:25:13	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x1a1e11…
03-18 03:06:39	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xce0fcd…
03-17 04:23:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x1e5cd8…