Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$342

Unrealized P&L

-$405

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$100.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$350

Open exposure

$8.60K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-16 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

53% 66% -$1,271

Politics

47% 78% +$929

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-9,005	-$8,195	96¢	$-8600	-$405	09-16 04:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$22.3K	7,500	16,505	-9,005	open	—	09-16 04:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$17.0K	9,519	9,519	+0	No	+$318	03-26 18:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$8.5K	0	9,263	-9,263	No	-$787	03-09 10:48
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	7	$6.7K	7,325	0	+7,325	No	+$598	02-18 14:01
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$6.1K	6,145	0	+6,145	No	+$43	02-17 16:38
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$5.6K	5,625	0	+5,625	No	+$28	02-16 20:49
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$5.5K	5,600	0	+5,600	No	+$50	02-14 22:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$3.8K	3,454	3,454	+0	Yes	+$213	02-20 23:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$3.1K	1,940	1,940	+0	Yes	+$194	02-14 21:45
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$2.1K	1,285	1,285	+0	Yes	+$299	02-14 21:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$29	02-03 18:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	No	+$11	02-11 19:03
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$4	02-09 18:12
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	7	$1.2K	1,360	1,360	+0	Yes	-$43	02-21 06:29
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$1.2K	1,161	0	+1,161	No	+$10	02-11 18:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$1.1K	809	809	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 13:44
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week february 10	16	$1.1K	1,184	0	+1,184	Yes	+$106	02-08 07:38
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$951	913	913	+0	Yes	-$1	02-17 13:58
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$944	701	701	+0	Yes	+$94	02-14 21:49
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	1	$912	923	0	+923	No	+$11	02-07 07:32
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$902	910	0	+910	No	+$8	02-06 14:22
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	5	$870	500	500	+0	No	+$110	02-14 21:39
will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	6	$781	1,187	0	+1,187	Yes	-$781	02-13 19:40
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$699	729	0	+729	No	+$30	02-09 18:14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	33	$670	628	628	+0	No	-$29	08-22 03:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$568	661	0	+661	No	-$568	07-03 16:32
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$495	523	0	+523	No	+$28	01-31 15:13
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	1	$485	571	0	+571	Yes	+$86	06-26 12:16
will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	6	$234	122	122	+0	No	-$6	08-21 07:32
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$198	205	0	+205	No	+$7	01-29 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 04:53:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7,427	92¢	$6,833	0xb350c5…
09-12 10:34:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0xf28468…
09-09 17:12:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0xc00a9b…
09-09 01:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb9740…
09-08 21:01:28	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfd48c3…
09-08 16:29:55	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C on September 9?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf498a2…
09-08 11:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x62c6da…
09-06 17:10:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbcd5b0…
09-06 17:10:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x950adb…
09-06 17:10:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x10087d…
09-06 17:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 6?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x5f83d6…
09-06 17:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 6?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xfa1f61…
09-06 11:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x189271…
09-06 08:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7a891…
09-06 08:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6335ae…
09-05 21:24:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	250	93¢	$232	0x578d00…
09-05 16:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$18	0x30671f…
09-05 15:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb8f9ab…
09-05 10:30:04	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 5?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf3fe32…
09-05 08:48:45	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 5?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x516cba…
09-04 19:51:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 4?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x0da418…
09-04 19:49:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 4?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd8ba0c…
09-04 19:26:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x9465a1…
09-04 18:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe6c2b2…
09-04 18:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0x9c7fd8…
09-04 10:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xfccf7f…
09-04 10:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf2e524…
09-04 10:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a68d8…
09-04 10:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x354880…
09-04 10:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x281d0a…
09-04 10:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x71dd17…
09-04 10:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x920eb8…
09-04 10:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x6c8732…
09-04 09:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4648e6…
09-04 09:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe55753…
09-04 09:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x4a8853…
09-04 09:42:01	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x6982bd…
09-04 09:41:58	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x3211d3…
09-04 09:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8e4029…
09-04 09:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x80743e…
09-04 09:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xed9713…
09-04 09:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2cee60…
09-04 09:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xfec9a3…
09-04 09:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xb76bf2…
09-04 09:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x70aad7…
09-04 08:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd0f168…
09-01 19:06:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x25e38b…
09-01 11:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7f4ebc…
09-01 10:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 2?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x7392bc…
09-01 06:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb0d350…
09-01 05:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x046472…
09-01 04:35:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 2?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3df041…
09-01 04:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaf96a4…
08-31 16:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9e6af9…
08-31 04:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5f84d1…
08-30 23:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 31?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd62ee6…
08-30 22:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 31?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1eb9db…
08-30 20:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf4406a…
08-30 16:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4926d1…
08-29 16:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x4e7c64…
08-29 14:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xc2cff8…
08-29 08:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x276db7…
08-29 05:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5f2c2b…
08-28 10:21:13	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x448f38…
08-28 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7c73ec…
08-28 05:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 28?	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x984671…
08-27 22:39:54	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xf235c5…
08-27 20:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 28?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2c6c1d…
08-27 20:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 28?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x5df726…
08-27 09:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 27?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xaf092b…
08-27 05:58:01	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4b6704…
08-26 21:31:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd7d96e…
08-26 14:27:46	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x50a174…
08-26 03:29:33	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x788b28…
08-26 03:26:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 26?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x87a826…
08-26 03:22:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 26?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xec1c67…
08-26 00:55:09	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeaedc9…
08-26 00:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4c37bf…
08-22 19:57:57	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on August 23?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xda4605…
08-22 08:45:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23?	No	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xb199ed…
08-22 03:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xdd8c3c…
08-21 23:02:25	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x77c20f…
08-21 22:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xa814cc…
08-21 22:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x1d8c49…
08-21 22:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	54¢	$33	0x649d0a…
08-21 22:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x9d8be5…
08-21 22:00:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1a0c91…
08-21 22:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1c75d9…
08-21 21:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xc9ed29…
08-21 21:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x464ed7…
08-21 21:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xfc3978…
08-21 21:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xce2683…
08-21 21:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	58¢	$40	0x4b8a94…
08-21 21:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xf79a83…
08-21 21:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x4d0655…
08-21 21:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xddc022…
08-21 21:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x9f6456…
08-21 21:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x1aebb7…
08-21 21:49:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xadf513…
08-21 21:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x79d985…