Knowing-Dot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.94K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

1,863

Trades

2,661

lifetime

Volume

$53.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-01 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

84% 79% +$2,993

Crypto

16% 94% -$49

Sports

0% 74% -$2

Politics

0% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-31 13:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No	+5	$4	100¢	$5	+$1	11-01 06:25
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-31 00:53
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-20 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$3.5K	1,867	1,867	+0	No	+$260	10-24 22:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	26	$2.3K	1,612	1,612	+0	No	+$0	10-08 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	26	$2.0K	1,453	1,453	+0	No	$0	10-08 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,103	1,103	+0	No	+$256	10-08 19:31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$1.9K	2,049	143	+1,906	No	+$267	10-25 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,219	1,219	+0	No	+$167	10-08 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	5	$1.7K	2,073	0	+2,073	open	—	10-29 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	26	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$2	10-07 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	15	$1.6K	929	929	+0	No	+$10	10-21 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$1.3K	763	762	+0	No	+$0	10-21 17:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$1.3K	710	710	+0	No	+$146	10-08 01:13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	12	$1.1K	664	664	+0	open	—	10-30 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	5	$1.0K	1,241	0	+1,241	No	+$199	10-13 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$869	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$141	10-23 20:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	5	$801	1,027	0	+1,027	No	+$226	09-25 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$763	444	444	+0	No	+$0	10-24 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	8	$743	864	0	+864	No	+$121	10-23 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	9	$738	923	0	+923	No	+$185	09-29 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	11	$661	404	364	+40	No	+$6	10-24 12:31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$653	396	341	+55	No	+$9	10-26 19:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$627	364	364	+0	No	+$0	10-25 08:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	7	$549	317	317	+0	No	+$3	10-24 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$536	487	162	+325	No	+$62	06-12 21:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	40	$532	306	306	+0	No	+$79	10-08 05:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	5	$528	487	162	+325	No	+$63	06-12 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$440	278	220	+58	No	+$58	05-17 00:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$416	502	0	+502	No	+$85	10-09 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$383	222	208	+14	No	+$47	07-07 01:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	8	$376	342	103	+239	No	+$68	08-18 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	5	$295	197	129	+68	No	+$31	08-11 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x43c5fd…
11-01 13:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	93	85¢	$79	0x95804a…
11-01 13:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8b834f…
11-01 06:39:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1002c2…
11-01 06:25:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdf3b84…
10-31 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x666d9e…
10-31 13:49:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b9ad0…
10-31 10:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x3aa842…
10-31 10:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0xb343e7…
10-31 04:09:03	elon musk of tweets november 3 november 10 2026 360 379	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x8e37cf…
10-31 00:53:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebc566…
10-30 17:30:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xe913dc…
10-30 17:30:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f5fe3…
10-30 16:05:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x89b52e…
10-30 08:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	480	84¢	$403	0x442d27…
10-30 08:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x7a1297…
10-30 08:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x78e5f7…
10-30 08:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x5b61bd…
10-30 08:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0xd9cc08…
10-30 07:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x6947a3…
10-30 07:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xbae2cc…
10-30 07:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x32d6e4…
10-30 06:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0xe6f49e…
10-30 06:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5e32bd…
10-30 00:19:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x938a89…
10-29 21:45:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5ab585…
10-29 21:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f0bab…
10-29 20:42:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa97766…
10-29 17:51:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfaebdc…
10-29 14:32:37	Will Solana reach $110 in October?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3976b…
10-29 14:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,737	83¢	$1,442	0x9527cf…
10-29 12:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	278	82¢	$228	0xd63547…
10-29 11:36:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x686c50…
10-29 09:15:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a532e…
10-29 02:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0x69a7f5…
10-29 02:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	377	84¢	$317	0x714228…
10-29 01:48:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3e933…
10-29 00:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xa9324c…
10-28 23:59:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa60fe4…
10-28 23:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x74607b…
10-28 23:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	208	84¢	$175	0xf4da80…
10-28 18:41:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3550a9…
10-28 18:40:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec3242…
10-28 18:26:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3744ac…
10-28 18:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cbf16…
10-28 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0575ea…
10-27 21:32:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfda7d5…
10-27 07:05:20	elon musk of tweets october 30 november 6 2026 340 359	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6abbe1…
10-26 19:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	341	89¢	$303	0x303c95…
10-26 13:35:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x3b4302…
10-26 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x340e7d…
10-26 09:28:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09113f…
10-26 08:47:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa98c5b…
10-26 08:41:05	will ethereum reach 2550 on october 26 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d382b…
10-26 06:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x885350…
10-26 01:44:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3244f6…
10-25 22:01:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc3f8d8…
10-25 14:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0767fa…
10-25 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18507f…
10-25 11:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,896	86¢	$1,631	0x29482d…
10-25 10:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50c66b…
10-25 08:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	364	86¢	$313	0xb4b52c…
10-24 22:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,867	100¢	$1,865	0xb52ff6…
10-24 19:44:23	Spread: Indiana (-6.5)	Indiana	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc92ba8…
10-24 17:14:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x635df3…
10-24 16:11:17	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x58a7aa…
10-24 15:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	299	87¢	$260	0xb64030…
10-24 15:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	425	86¢	$366	0xb5ee27…
10-24 15:15:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x565fde…
10-24 14:51:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd9f35e…
10-24 14:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	141	86¢	$121	0xdebf50…
10-24 14:17:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6359a1…
10-24 14:16:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x867f7d…
10-24 14:16:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0fc9f3…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xe5cf64…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xbd8e52…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xf6c594…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xaefad0…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x9a6183…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x448da3…
10-24 13:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x229592…
10-24 12:54:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	357	86¢	$307	0xddc6d8…
10-24 12:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	179	86¢	$154	0xb01900…
10-24 12:35:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x1b72ae…
10-24 12:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	143	86¢	$123	0x2c4729…
10-24 12:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2eae07…
10-24 12:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xfb6df4…
10-24 12:12:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x0a5d19…
10-24 12:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	132	86¢	$113	0xbbc8ca…
10-24 12:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	357	86¢	$307	0xbb9f06…
10-24 11:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xed7901…
10-24 10:40:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x615d5c…
10-24 10:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc43f9e…
10-24 10:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	194	86¢	$167	0xb1afe0…
10-24 10:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x30ee5a…
10-24 09:05:47	elon musk of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 240 259	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x6bb73b…
10-24 09:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x6f529d…
10-24 03:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3077d7…
10-23 22:58:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x708c27…
10-23 22:53:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0a321f…