Last-Expectancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$517

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-21 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

67% 82% -$17

Sports

32% 51% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-16 09:04
Will the match end in a draw?	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-27 20:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	07-21 14:57
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:13
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	-$20	05-16 11:15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	4	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	06-20 21:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$12	29	0	+29	Yes	+$17	07-17 20:34
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-21 09:40
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-22 19:33
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	07-06 08:34
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-16 09:12
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-16 09:13
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-07 14:12
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-23 20:07
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-23 20:10
Databricks IPO before 2027?	2	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	06-22 19:33
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-12 11:55
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-20 12:59
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-15 09:17
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-03 20:24
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-06 08:53
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-27 21:55
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-23 20:19
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-03 20:23
Will the match end in a draw?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-12 11:55
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	06-07 14:39
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-16 11:21
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 11:22
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-16 11:20
Will the match end in a draw?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-23 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:57:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xdbd84e…
07-21 14:57:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0xd749fe…
07-17 20:35:22	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb4bec3…
07-17 20:34:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe06fcb…
07-17 20:25:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xcfcdc2…
07-09 11:13:41	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb5fb8f…
07-09 11:13:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd0dda3…
07-09 11:05:56	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x7ca0ce…
07-09 11:05:08	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x7e5b1a…
07-07 15:19:17	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3f0dc6…
07-07 15:18:19	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x023cde…
07-06 08:53:13	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa9612d…
07-06 08:53:08	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x60dd4a…
07-06 08:51:53	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0xecd747…
07-06 08:45:53	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8f5473…
07-06 08:34:19	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x6cc067…
07-06 08:29:05	Canva IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x6e6f94…
07-05 12:06:32	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbb727d…
07-04 15:13:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xdc7048…
07-03 08:45:58	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe7e6cc…
07-01 17:52:16	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8b2d14…
07-01 17:30:23	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb38580…
07-01 12:08:59	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x066b65…
06-28 11:57:13	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1c7068…
06-28 11:51:02	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf16645…
06-28 11:50:46	will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdde486…
06-28 11:43:41	will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe5bdc8…
06-28 11:41:58	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18fed5…
06-27 21:55:44	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xf06d83…
06-27 20:16:25	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x35e795…
06-24 14:55:10	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x6ba4b7…
06-23 10:07:59	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4704e9…
06-23 09:48:23	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6104dd…
06-22 19:37:01	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf61de5…
06-22 19:33:50	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb0e207…
06-22 19:33:05	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x66fc1a…
06-22 19:31:47	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x118820…
06-22 19:29:41	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa14321…
06-22 08:24:32	Will Toulouse win?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x000b76…
06-21 09:46:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xffa8c9…
06-21 09:40:23	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xfa0dd9…
06-21 09:37:46	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x674f63…
06-21 09:37:23	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1bb7ff…
06-20 21:57:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x9f5bbe…
06-20 21:57:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc310a8…
06-20 21:57:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xee001e…
06-20 21:56:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x97fad6…
06-20 21:53:10	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x02540b…
06-20 18:33:41	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf0afa4…
06-20 18:33:10	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x077210…
06-20 18:17:08	wta arango parks 2026 06 20	Emiliana Arango	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xb344c1…
06-20 18:13:38	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x580c1d…
06-20 12:59:23	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa396cf…
06-18 09:17:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9c81b5…
06-18 09:13:34	Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcf0217…
06-17 18:15:50	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcd38b3…
06-17 18:15:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x4946e2…
06-17 17:08:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2ccb8c…
06-16 09:21:19	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfa41dd…
06-16 09:13:06	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2ed919…
06-16 09:12:58	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcb413c…
06-16 09:04:45	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x2676cb…
06-15 09:19:13	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefaa32…
06-15 09:19:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x27787f…
06-15 09:18:55	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x465e21…
06-15 09:18:39	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c5945…
06-15 09:17:10	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe64592…
06-14 09:02:30	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5d9603…
06-14 09:02:21	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9ef420…
06-14 09:00:06	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbcbf79…
06-14 08:59:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x187936…
06-14 08:59:07	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1e601b…
06-13 18:22:37	Will Northampton Saints/Leicester Tigers win?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x867dc1…
06-12 11:55:55	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcb5832…
06-12 11:55:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x45c375…
06-12 11:54:58	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa040ed…
06-12 11:54:45	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x183445…
06-10 21:04:51	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x16dea9…
06-10 21:03:28	Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xd43490…
06-10 21:03:10	Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa259c7…
06-10 21:02:49	Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x422b73…
06-10 21:02:31	Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xca2d40…
06-10 21:01:58	Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x3ddec8…
06-10 21:01:40	Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x694b62…
06-10 20:54:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb5e909…
06-10 20:54:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xa5e920…
06-10 11:56:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf4d8d2…
06-09 15:34:54	Canva IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x418147…
06-07 14:39:31	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x41acfb…
06-07 14:18:24	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d2f4d…
06-07 14:12:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xeb5173…
06-07 14:12:31	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4ea774…
06-07 14:12:00	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xddeaa9…
06-03 20:26:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x91d91f…
06-03 20:26:09	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x521b17…
06-03 20:25:40	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x461ca7…
06-03 20:25:25	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x691e18…
06-03 20:25:07	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa37f11…
06-03 20:24:34	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe61dd7…
06-03 20:24:27	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61dc43…