Muted-Steel-Deodorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-13 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

85% 32% -$4

Crypto

7% 0% -$4

Tech

4% 0% -$3

Politics

3% 0% -$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 09:17
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	3	$6	11	11	+0	No	-$2	05-03 12:23
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 23:12
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$4	55	0	+55	No	-$4	05-06 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 14:12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-03 16:14
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 08:01
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 17:01
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-03 17:01
Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?	2	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	05-03 15:52
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	2	$2	85	0	+85	Yes	-$2	05-05 20:45
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-13 08:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-03 12:56
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-13 08:01
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	14	14	+0	No	$0	05-13 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-06 08:57
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 08:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-04 08:49
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$1	13	13	+0	No	-$1	05-05 22:06
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	2	$1	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 09:16
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	05-05 09:16
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	05-05 20:59
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 4?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	05-04 14:34
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$3	05-04 19:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	+$6	05-05 20:59
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	05-04 19:29
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	05-05 20:59
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-04 20:37
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	05-04 20:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	05-03 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:01:54	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x448c8c…
05-13 08:01:45	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x5aabf9…
05-13 08:01:40	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x342ae5…
05-13 08:01:36	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xe45934…
05-13 08:01:34	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xf59c0f…
05-12 09:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0cb9d…
05-11 14:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfc1680…
05-11 14:38:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb82063…
05-11 14:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xae0307…
05-11 14:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa7154d…
05-11 14:38:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7da8d1…
05-10 15:27:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0x2db80c…
05-10 14:57:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x2701e2…
05-10 14:56:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xea6ae1…
05-10 14:02:01	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x60230e…
05-10 14:02:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xde6dda…
05-10 13:56:27	Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x871761…
05-10 13:56:27	CS Huancayo vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0cc18b…
05-10 13:33:00	Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2665fc…
05-10 13:32:58	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd2dc20…
05-10 13:32:58	Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa11bb3…
05-10 13:32:58	SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7c775f…
05-10 13:32:58	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x49355b…
05-10 12:59:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xfa5388…
05-10 12:59:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd55c56…
05-10 12:59:52	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xaab1da…
05-10 12:59:52	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 54m and 58m?	Yes	BUY	369	0¢	$1	0x6dd7bd…
05-10 12:56:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xeaa78f…
05-10 12:56:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xa78b0b…
05-10 12:56:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x9459e8…
05-10 12:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd9aa8a…
05-10 12:48:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x68b0a7…
05-07 08:05:08	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe68def…
05-07 08:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x224203…
05-07 08:04:33	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x603189…
05-07 08:04:31	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe84645…
05-07 08:04:31	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x536e12…
05-07 07:20:08	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc047fb…
05-07 07:20:08	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x6a8deb…
05-07 07:20:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $161 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xffc51e…
05-07 07:20:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $160 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6bbe1b…
05-07 07:20:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x7135d5…
05-06 14:29:35	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa1341b…
05-06 14:28:55	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0fcfa9…
05-06 13:23:14	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa72171…
05-06 08:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x5abef3…
05-06 08:43:32	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcc7efd…
05-05 23:13:12	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x420342…
05-05 23:12:18	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0b7803…
05-05 22:06:24	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xaf7a8b…
05-05 21:00:34	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9aae1e…
05-05 20:59:52	DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8781ac…
05-05 20:59:52	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x10b37b…
05-05 20:59:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc737dc…
05-05 20:45:16	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xf40964…
05-05 17:54:16	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca4a24…
05-05 17:54:16	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x91d6ee…
05-05 17:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x16d68e…
05-05 09:16:18	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc7c181…
05-05 09:16:08	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa43617…
05-04 20:37:08	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0ce827…
05-04 20:37:08	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x01bb55…
05-04 20:36:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87c5ae…
05-04 19:29:34	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xaaa364…
05-04 19:29:34	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x983673…
05-04 19:29:34	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x961ee7…
05-04 19:29:32	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x70e757…
05-04 19:29:32	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x694e85…
05-04 14:40:42	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 4?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22f6ec…
05-04 14:34:32	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 4?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xac8efc…
05-04 14:34:32	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 4?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3e8b5f…
05-04 14:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xdab3bf…
05-04 08:49:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x523fde…
05-03 17:27:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcbcf24…
05-03 17:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4c352f…
05-03 17:01:28	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb4c418…
05-03 17:01:24	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xae9ed8…
05-03 16:46:04	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae0937…
05-03 16:46:02	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1bf78a…
05-03 16:14:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3fdf71…
05-03 15:52:48	Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e98f4…
05-03 13:50:14	Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd25059…
05-03 13:50:14	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x01e4e2…
05-03 13:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc9725c…
05-03 12:56:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x90bc80…
05-03 12:56:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaaf9d8…
05-03 12:23:56	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xdcc7c0…
05-03 10:58:02	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe30fb5…
05-03 10:56:40	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x102c52…