Affectionate-Raise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

751

Trades

2,250

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-27 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

70% 71% -$222

Politics

21% 58% +$33

Sports

9% 55% -$27

Crypto

0% 86% +$5

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+21	$16	82¢	$17	+$2	07-01 03:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+0	-$1	94¢	$0	+$1	06-20 01:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$782	467	467	+0	No	+$4	06-20 13:47
Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	33	$666	891	149	+742	No	-$206	09-27 02:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	38	$462	914	914	+0	Yes	+$4	06-15 12:12
Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	22	$440	404	152	+253	Yes	+$78	09-26 19:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	26	$427	340	340	+0	Yes	+$7	06-15 01:37
Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	27	$417	498	50	+448	Yes	-$97	09-27 14:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	29	$355	278	261	+18	Yes	+$17	06-15 02:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	19	$266	200	200	+0	No	-$3	06-19 19:18
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	6	$254	206	206	+0	Yes	+$12	07-01 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$224	198	198	+0	No	+$0	06-28 11:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$219	123	123	+0	No	-$1	06-12 18:41
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	6	$189	107	157	-50	BIG	+$27	06-05 19:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	17	$186	129	129	+0	Yes	+$9	06-18 03:18
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	5	$186	142	139	+3	Yes	+$27	06-26 19:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$185	362	362	+0	No	-$10	06-17 08:34
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	9	$179	111	111	+0	No	-$16	06-21 07:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	13	$177	123	123	+0	Yes	+$11	06-15 16:25
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	4	$166	113	113	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 13:30
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	3	$162	92	92	+0	No	+$0	06-26 03:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$155	122	75	+47	No	+$10	07-01 06:39
cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13	8	$152	106	106	+0	Natus Vincere	+$5	06-13 11:03
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	12	$149	123	123	+0	Yes	-$6	06-17 17:54
cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	5	$145	201	0	+201	Spirit	+$56	06-06 05:30
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	9	$134	89	89	+0	Yes	+$5	06-17 18:46
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	9	$133	74	74	+0	No	+$3	06-23 13:53
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05 game2	4	$130	136	91	+45	NRG	+$19	06-05 18:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$127	125	38	+87	Yes	+$16	06-29 03:34
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	3	$127	139	139	+0	Over	-$19	07-01 01:00
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 0pt5	4	$113	90	90	+0	Over	+$18	07-02 00:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	6	$110	76	76	+0	No	+$17	06-19 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 14:56:50	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x14d51f…
09-27 14:56:38	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4aaf3e…
09-27 14:34:14	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xbfb3fc…
09-27 14:33:56	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc6b759…
09-27 14:33:56	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x5b37df…
09-27 02:00:56	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xa5ab0f…
09-26 19:29:44	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0406d8…
09-26 18:49:00	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x79d7f2…
09-26 18:08:17	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x89ba08…
09-26 17:27:29	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x61db91…
09-26 16:46:47	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x6666d2…
09-26 16:06:02	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x010836…
09-26 15:25:20	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x67eb34…
09-26 14:44:38	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3b1c39…
09-26 14:24:17	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x07d746…
09-26 14:03:56	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x43d878…
09-26 05:47:56	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xcaf5c5…
09-26 03:45:15	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$0	0x5d935b…
09-26 00:56:47	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x551caa…
09-25 20:38:48	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$22	0xa5e998…
09-25 05:43:57	Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x49edc4…
09-20 15:23:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x1f019d…
09-20 10:53:15	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd0adf2…
09-19 19:08:21	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xbc1344…
09-19 18:56:44	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0xc83fdb…
09-19 18:56:44	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$3	0xb80bef…
09-18 14:08:54	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x9758d3…
09-18 10:37:24	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x52fbe4…
09-17 01:08:21	will resident evil score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x0d9e43…
09-16 11:02:37	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x4ee273…
09-16 11:01:58	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x91ca42…
09-16 04:43:18	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0xe5445e…
09-16 04:43:18	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xceeab3…
09-16 03:56:48	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x501cd9…
09-16 03:10:21	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x69d478…
09-15 23:56:57	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x887a92…
09-15 22:33:57	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xde2170…
09-15 15:51:33	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x3cc03a…
09-15 15:51:18	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6af4da…
09-15 14:15:42	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x42a909…
09-15 11:11:22	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0x56fc39…
09-15 08:26:28	will primetime score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa46385…
09-15 02:44:28	will primetime score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xa2c950…
09-10 20:16:36	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x005ce6…
09-10 19:17:33	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xf96feb…
09-10 17:50:46	Will "Resident Evil" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x9fe73f…
09-09 16:07:25	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	64	65¢	$41	0x5dff5a…
09-09 16:07:18	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0x4954cc…
09-09 15:18:52	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$33	0xe7807e…
09-09 14:56:54	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6dbcf3…
09-09 14:28:51	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x5bb17a…
09-09 14:28:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x950701…
09-09 09:20:15	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x87076c…
09-09 09:20:12	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b7612…
09-08 17:11:16	Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xfd3412…
09-08 04:22:48	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xa5f55b…
09-08 04:19:33	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2d7fdc…
09-08 04:19:09	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x45f209…
09-07 19:43:12	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	47	80¢	$37	0x7ff3ad…
09-07 19:39:58	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x166142…
09-07 19:39:49	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa59061…
09-07 19:30:37	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x2ac506…
09-07 19:30:36	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc0ad8e…
09-07 19:30:36	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x220e60…
09-07 18:16:03	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfa9349…
09-07 18:15:25	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6429c1…
09-07 18:15:24	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x378845…
09-07 18:08:34	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x063c1c…
09-07 07:14:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2f67be…
09-07 07:13:39	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x424e63…
09-07 03:20:00	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x71d800…
09-07 03:13:33	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x79740e…
09-07 02:38:22	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb69057…
09-07 02:36:06	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2add90…
09-07 02:35:10	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x65c506…
09-06 09:22:09	Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x7bddb2…
09-06 00:23:28	Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x9f4f04…
09-05 22:26:06	Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2ad777…
09-05 16:29:10	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x614415…
09-05 15:30:43	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xecf5cd…
09-05 14:49:12	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x074752…
09-05 14:47:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd6df68…
09-05 14:47:37	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x839aa6…
09-05 14:47:28	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x8f658c…
09-05 14:47:19	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x1448a7…
09-05 14:47:10	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x33aa07…
09-04 11:34:27	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8e7dfc…
09-04 02:36:21	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9c522e…
09-03 01:38:10	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x874cc2…
09-01 22:00:33	Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x4c1959…
08-31 16:40:52	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	47	78¢	$37	0x40b460…
08-29 08:11:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0xc57986…
08-27 20:44:58	Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x592553…
08-27 20:42:51	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x86ed51…
08-26 08:07:30	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x209242…
08-26 01:06:39	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	181	77¢	$139	0xe150e0…
08-25 19:26:48	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xd159fe…
08-25 18:54:54	Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xc47b8b…
08-25 02:49:45	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x741c40…
08-25 02:31:21	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x61270f…