This-Transom — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$38

$38 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 71% +$2

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	+138	$1	0¢	$1	$-0	05-05 15:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	Yes	+113	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 18:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	No	+11	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 08:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	05-05 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	Down	$-0	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	Up	$-0	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 6?	1	$1	138	0	+138	open	—	05-05 15:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	110	0	+110	open	—	05-06 03:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	1	$1	113	0	+113	open	—	05-05 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 02:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 11:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 11:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 08:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	1	$0	0	11	-11	open	—	05-05 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x3612df…
05-06 02:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x57f611…
05-05 18:22:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x2613a5…
05-05 17:34:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa8a0c9…
05-05 15:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xe4096f…
05-05 15:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x3ef477…
05-05 11:15:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x334df0…
05-05 11:15:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf50d89…
05-05 09:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x096d04…
05-05 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf57289…
05-05 08:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7d1d3d…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7a60e2…
05-05 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1a7ed6…
05-05 04:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x63d33f…
05-05 02:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcc7003…
05-05 02:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x654d71…
05-05 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd120fc…
05-05 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7f9298…
05-05 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf879c1…
05-04 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x24c7b4…
05-04 23:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x111963…
05-04 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x17e3a9…
05-04 20:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2f38bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$3.70K	91	05-06 03:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$799	28	05-06 03:14
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$786	7	05-06 03:14
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	3	$2.27K	3	05-06 03:14
Mortified-Syrup 0x7f1d…fbe2	3	$699	4	05-06 03:14
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	3	$564	10	05-06 03:14