(anonymous) 0x8a1480…bfb0b5
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
550
lifetime
Volume
$747
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$51
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 21:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54% 0% $-3
Other
39% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -23 $-20 86¢ $-20 +$0 06-17 05:43
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 06-30 18:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-27 11:20
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-30 04:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-17 10:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-21 15:11
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-30 04:20