Zany-Skiing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$890

Unrealized P&L

-$232

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved (90d)

393

Trades (90d)

777

5,723 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$71.3K

$385.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$69

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-16 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

95% 82% +$3,731

Politics

3% 75% -$59

Tech

2% 68% -$535

Sports

0% 89% -$10

Crypto

0% 65% -$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+2,329	$301	3¢	$69	-$232	07-09 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 29?	10	$4.4K	2,208	2,208	+0	No	+$26	08-29 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?	13	$2.6K	1,698	1,012	+686	No	+$45	05-29 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 1?	6	$2.1K	1,236	916	+320	No	+$7	05-01 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?	4	$1.9K	1,932	0	+1,932	No	+$2	05-12 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?	4	$1.8K	1,844	0	+1,844	No	+$4	05-13 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?	9	$1.7K	1,143	643	+500	Yes	-$91	07-07 13:53
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	18	$1.6K	1,388	1,094	+293	Yes	-$317	04-16 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 16?	5	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	No	+$3	05-16 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 1?	4	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$4	07-01 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 27?	6	$1.5K	1,205	301	+904	No	+$33	08-27 06:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 21c	3	$1.5K	730	730	+0	No	+$1	04-21 00:38
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 20c	6	$1.4K	692	692	+0	No	+$2	04-22 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?	9	$1.3K	681	681	+0	No	+$14	06-12 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 19?	7	$1.3K	1,296	0	+1,296	No	+$6	07-19 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12?	3	$1.2K	861	361	+500	No	+$1	06-12 06:08
highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 20c	12	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$5	04-13 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 10?	6	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	No	+$3	05-10 03:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 19c	4	$1.2K	618	616	+1	No	+$24	04-16 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	7	$1.2K	717	706	+11	No	+$212	04-27 03:12
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 21c	34	$1.2K	1,135	733	+402	Yes	+$32	04-18 07:04
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 22c	17	$1.2K	937	451	+486	Yes	-$124	04-15 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?	16	$1.1K	1,698	710	+988	Yes	-$133	06-27 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 23?	9	$1.1K	1,151	0	+1,151	No	+$24	05-23 03:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 11 2026 23c	6	$1.1K	579	577	+2	No	+$43	04-11 03:39
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	7	$1.1K	1,203	0	+1,203	Yes	+$130	05-22 11:44
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3?	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$1	07-02 15:36
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 5?	5	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$3	06-05 14:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 19c	11	$1.1K	537	536	+1	No	+$15	04-15 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 5?	4	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	No	+$2	05-05 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?	4	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$25	05-04 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 14:40:30	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x51a44a…
10-16 09:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x623d7b…
10-16 07:47:31	where will it rain on october 16 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$15	0xe78689…
10-16 07:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x9f79da…
10-16 07:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x379d4a…
10-16 07:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x208332…
10-16 07:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	202	0¢	$1	0x4af1e8…
10-16 07:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xac85ae…
10-16 07:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x8f20f7…
10-16 07:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc2acf6…
10-16 07:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x32e79f…
10-16 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xede9a3…
10-16 05:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfbbfb3…
10-16 04:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	81	28¢	$23	0x260559…
10-16 04:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x11bdf5…
10-15 16:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	331	21¢	$69	0x9c0d7f…
10-15 16:05:55	where will it rain on october 16 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x61e504…
10-15 16:05:47	where will it rain on october 16 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3486f8…
10-15 16:05:46	where will it rain on october 16 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x62a2e5…
10-15 15:57:13	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 15?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x1f4a68…
10-15 15:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x366a31…
10-15 15:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	81	17¢	$14	0x4da847…
10-15 14:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x222556…
10-15 14:04:29	Will it rain in New York, NY on October 15?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x016c10…
10-15 14:03:38	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 15?	Yes	BUY	39	82¢	$31	0x0688a3…
10-15 06:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x49bf46…
10-15 05:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$16	0xa33ea0…
10-15 01:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x1e645e…
10-15 01:25:05	where will it rain on october 15 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0xbc9110…
10-14 17:03:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x77f93b…
10-14 16:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cd7cc…
10-14 15:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x814cc3…
10-14 15:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe6bcf4…
10-14 15:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x807e00…
10-14 13:58:29	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x7164d3…
10-14 06:54:14	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	151	28¢	$42	0xe2fef8…
10-14 04:04:53	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	SELL	301	20¢	$61	0x1d96cf…
10-14 02:16:26	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6c618b…
10-14 02:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x12f1f3…
10-14 00:40:51	Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0xc3a6f8…
10-14 00:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x089aba…
10-14 00:38:48	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	245	18¢	$44	0xca26d1…
10-14 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xed513e…
10-14 00:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2ac2d4…
10-13 23:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf3fe57…
10-13 23:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x8d69dd…
10-13 17:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x03f7e2…
10-13 14:08:34	where will it rain on october 13 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x38100a…
10-13 14:08:25	where will it rain on october 13 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x317183…
10-13 14:04:32	where will it rain on october 13 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x94a378…
10-13 03:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	132	7¢	$9	0x1d5704…
10-13 02:48:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xb54c6b…
10-13 01:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbd5fd4…
10-13 01:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09c958…
10-13 01:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x8408ad…
10-13 01:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3385b6…
10-13 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8f31ed…
10-12 17:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6e31e7…
10-12 17:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x0c96c2…
10-12 17:06:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x461bfa…
10-12 15:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x15a66b…
10-12 15:04:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x076aa6…
10-12 11:39:56	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 12?	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xa51890…
10-12 11:18:18	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x0c76fc…
10-12 11:17:12	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb05a3c…
10-12 11:17:12	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5ef595…
10-12 05:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xb85e01…
10-12 04:42:45	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 12?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x5c5869…
10-12 04:42:32	Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xf5d0df…
10-12 04:42:18	Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12?	Yes	BUY	41	38¢	$16	0x74fc05…
10-12 03:40:57	Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 12?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x87f0ca…
10-12 03:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb9f486…
10-12 02:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf96973…
10-12 02:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2e09f…
10-12 02:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x20526b…
10-12 02:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x445c01…
10-12 02:18:17	Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x9cf4e7…
10-12 01:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc61ceb…
10-11 22:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ccc86…
10-11 15:03:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa9387e…
10-11 02:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x994ebc…
10-11 02:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc69761…
10-11 02:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89a687…
10-11 02:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ac54e…
10-11 02:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x38f1d5…
10-11 02:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd43114…
10-11 02:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcc7702…
10-11 01:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0x3d0fc7…
10-11 01:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x2bc322…
10-10 17:33:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 11?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xba9a29…
10-10 15:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe37386…
10-10 15:03:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x705f2c…
10-10 14:26:42	Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x2a8b84…
10-10 14:21:49	Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec2e84…
10-10 14:20:31	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 10?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8e7b1e…
10-10 14:18:46	Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 10?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xb54589…
10-10 14:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5a7e41…
10-10 14:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x5d0133…
10-10 14:15:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x83b0f3…
10-10 14:15:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5e9fc1…