Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$982
$65 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,047
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 03:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $222 | $222 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $20 | $642 | $621 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $41 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $16 | $20 | $4 |
| Median | 7 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $79 | $76 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $204 | $204 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $231 | $230 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $306 | $306 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | +352 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Scratchy-Trader 0x5689…6d85 | No | +305 | $302 | $302 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | +238 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 05-15 09:10 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +208 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 05-15 03:00 |
| Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | Yes | +94 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 21:13 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +77 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 05-16 03:26 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:46 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 21:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 05-15 14:29 |
| Steep-Petitioner 0xb5f8…8e32 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 00:45 |
| Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 11:49 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 10:50 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-15 19:24 |
| Quick-Witted-Opposite 0xa6cf…66c3 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:38 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 11:24 |
| Marvelous-Meaning 0x88ae…66bb | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 07:34 |
| Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:37 |
| Finished-Hurt 0x02b6…e113 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Melodic-Foray 0x0506…bc49 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 23:50 |
| Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 02:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 03:38:55 | Which-Morbidity 0x7c35…b650 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8bd4a5… |
| 05-16 03:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x825f…f123 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x14d0aa… |
| 05-16 03:38:52 | Quick-Witted-Opposite 0xa6cf…66c3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe20eea… |
| 05-16 03:38:52 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x9a52a0… |
| 05-16 03:26:00 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x95d2b7… |
| 05-16 03:19:21 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf4773f… |
| 05-16 03:00:46 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88efd0… |
| 05-16 02:59:27 | Marvelous-Meaning 0x88ae…66bb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xbf30cf… |
| 05-16 02:59:15 | Scratchy-Trader 0x5689…6d85 | No | BUY | 305 | 99¢ | $302 | 0xd2aa93… |
| 05-16 02:39:16 | Common-Rose 0x01e7…3484 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42565f… |
| 05-16 02:30:59 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x053f46… |
| 05-16 02:11:08 | Nautical-Fellow 0xfddd…cab9 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x93c9ba… |
| 05-16 01:29:15 | Sinful-Understanding 0x805e…27f9 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x754193… |
| 05-16 00:45:51 | Steep-Petitioner 0xb5f8…8e32 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x88deb6… |
| 05-16 00:38:35 | Steep-Petitioner 0xb5f8…8e32 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46ab4e… |
| 05-15 23:50:45 | Melodic-Foray 0x0506…bc49 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3d75e3… |
| 05-15 21:13:50 | Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | Yes | BUY | 94 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbb5acd… |
| 05-15 21:03:51 | Forsaken-Trolley 0xbb1a…1e6d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfed407… |
| 05-15 21:03:48 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x97ce03… |
| 05-15 19:24:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2a17f4… |
| 05-15 15:46:21 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x50efa4… |
| 05-15 14:29:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x24c5fa… |
| 05-15 14:29:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xae1136… |
| 05-15 13:37:49 | Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe85afb… |
| 05-15 13:34:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4958b… |
| 05-15 11:49:27 | Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x3d59ac… |
| 05-15 11:24:35 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x36bac9… |
| 05-15 10:50:24 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x27019d… |
| 05-15 10:15:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x275ec2… |
| 05-15 09:36:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x470b33… |
| 05-15 09:31:53 | Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | BUY | 175 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x240c4b… |
| 05-15 09:10:00 | Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | BUY | 238 | 97¢ | $231 | 0x139d6a… |
| 05-15 08:59:27 | Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | BUY | 178 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x830168… |
| 05-15 07:34:41 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x44db2d… |
| 05-15 06:59:45 | Finished-Hurt 0x02b6…e113 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd9c552… |
| 05-15 04:59:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9ba235… |
| 05-15 03:00:28 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 208 | 98¢ | $204 | 0xa9320d… |
| 05-15 02:55:20 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9b85f4… |
| 05-14 17:19:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xd2c57e… |
| 05-14 17:19:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7586a8… |
| 05-14 17:19:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x31f6ef… |
| 05-14 16:11:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe22e98… |
| 05-14 16:11:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x58b11a… |