Realized P&L
-$507
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
3,324
Trades
7,595
lifetime
Volume
$48.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$191
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-16 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$246
Sports
22% 49% -$238
Crypto
16% 53% -$172
Politics
5% 68% +$165
Tech
0% 50% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -108 -$73 86¢ $-92 -$19 05-06 23:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -28 -$25 96¢ $-27 -$2 05-06 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -24 -$22 98¢ $-23 -$1 05-06 23:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 -$13 80¢ $-13 $0 05-06 23:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -73 -$22 15¢ $-11 +$11 05-06 23:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -9 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 05-06 23:07
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 05-06 23:07
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-06 23:07
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 05-06 23:07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-06 23:07
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 23:06