Sticky-Comment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

3,402

Trades

6,077

lifetime

Volume

$69.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$235

21 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-30 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

47% 52% +$68

Crypto

29% 71% -$585

Politics

17% 67% -$1,006

Sports

6% 44% -$49

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+123	$114	97¢	$119	+$5	09-15 17:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+53	$12	48¢	$25	+$14	10-30 06:33
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+72	$31	34¢	$24	-$7	10-21 07:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	+100	$22	16¢	$16	-$5	10-29 20:20
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+9	$7	94¢	$9	+$1	09-04 12:25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$8	7¢	$7	$0	10-24 23:19
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$10	14¢	$7	-$3	10-03 05:42
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+150	$6	4¢	$6	+$0	10-23 11:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+101	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	09-20 19:58
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	07-01 19:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	07-01 05:57
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+4	$3	82¢	$3	+$0	07-14 03:25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	+3	$1	92¢	$3	+$2	07-01 20:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+7	$3	30¢	$2	-$1	07-01 14:58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	34¢	$2	$0	07-02 19:55
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+49	$1	1¢	$1	$0	06-15 12:33
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+33	$1	2¢	$1	$0	06-09 06:56
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+2	$2	11¢	$0	-$2	07-03 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+101	$76	0¢	$0	-$75	10-27 18:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+0	-$13	52¢	$0	+$13	10-30 05:28
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+42	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-09 01:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$3.9K	4,992	4,992	+0	No	-$49	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.4K	2,380	2,380	+0	No	-$143	05-24 22:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$3.4K	2,194	2,194	+0	open	—	05-11 03:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,556	1,556	+0	No	-$688	05-25 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,686	2,686	+0	Yes	-$27	05-01 16:27
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$1.0K	538	538	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$10	05-26 03:29
atp burruch paul 2026 04 05	3	$880	1,000	0	+1,000	Tommy Paul	+$120	04-05 20:25
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	5	$790	1,129	0	+1,129	No	+$339	04-15 20:28
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	5	$625	404	404	+0	Colorado Rockies	-$135	05-30 03:40
lol vit mkoi 2026 04 06 game2	1	$600	1,000	0	+1,000	Movistar KOI	+$400	04-06 18:40
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$530	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$470	04-14 18:48
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$444	310	243	+67	No	-$69	05-30 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 10:20 UTC	5	$347	369	257	+112	Down	-$5	06-26 10:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	14	$325	302	302	+0	open	—	10-27 04:53
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	10	$285	250	250	+0	No	+$5	09-29 02:51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	2	$237	300	300	+0	JD Gaming	-$3	05-22 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$222	158	80	+78	No	-$1	06-02 14:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	19	$222	450	450	+0	No	-$11	09-26 20:41
cs2 bcg voc 2026 04 06	2	$220	594	0	+594	BC.Game Esports	-$220	04-06 16:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$207	106	107	-1	Yes	$0	03-21 18:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$199	203	0	+203	No	+$4	05-30 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?	4	$199	122	122	+0	No	-$35	06-11 07:59
elc swe lei 2026 04 06 lei	5	$194	461	0	+461	No	-$194	04-06 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	1	$189	197	0	+197	Yes	+$8	06-01 03:59
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	1	$189	190	0	+190	Up	+$1	05-28 20:31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$186	194	0	+194	No	+$8	05-30 17:58
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 20 be between 85 and 90?	1	$186	186	0	+186	Yes	+$0	05-28 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	2	$183	140	140	+0	Yes	-$89	05-31 11:45
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 28?	1	$182	182	0	+182	No	+$0	05-28 15:35
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	1	$176	178	0	+178	No	+$2	05-30 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x1a3fe4…
10-30 05:28:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x6aec12…
10-30 05:21:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	52	60¢	$31	0xa3b92f…
10-29 20:20:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x21998f…
10-27 18:25:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xf54982…
10-27 06:24:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfc5a93…
10-27 04:53:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xdd9851…
10-25 22:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xa7d476…
10-25 20:37:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x0dd7bc…
10-25 17:41:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x88b7ab…
10-24 23:19:11	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x726b50…
10-24 09:54:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x225b13…
10-24 09:38:35	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5376e9…
10-23 19:40:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x76b0ff…
10-23 11:41:54	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xe97bef…
10-23 09:28:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xd0f2f3…
10-23 08:18:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x057c67…
10-22 08:08:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x8c9914…
10-21 22:02:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xd6ecf1…
10-21 22:01:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x5e56f4…
10-21 19:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xaa58e9…
10-21 16:50:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x515288…
10-21 16:38:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xa39a4c…
10-21 12:28:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x1aa080…
10-21 12:17:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x695344…
10-21 08:28:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xea9274…
10-21 07:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa3bcf2…
10-21 07:06:08	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0x20a61b…
10-20 12:29:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x4436a8…
10-20 11:20:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0xb23b4c…
10-20 05:45:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xf81488…
10-20 01:14:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x22961f…
10-19 09:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x1a508f…
10-16 12:19:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2083f4…
10-16 11:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xda2044…
10-16 00:55:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x582b76…
10-15 22:37:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x93fdbd…
10-15 21:01:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x109986…
10-15 10:51:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x72847c…
10-14 10:24:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xf75fc2…
10-14 09:56:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x8078d0…
10-14 02:29:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbbd36…
10-12 12:36:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x2f1870…
10-10 18:19:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x35809f…
10-10 07:21:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xd8c382…
10-09 06:29:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x154b8f…
10-09 00:19:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xfd9a38…
10-08 12:13:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xb5949d…
10-08 11:59:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0x3d3a89…
10-07 18:02:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x992ead…
10-07 11:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xc16474…
10-07 10:43:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0x1a6037…
10-07 09:43:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xc0c0d8…
10-07 09:11:32	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xb9688e…
10-07 08:25:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x509372…
10-07 07:25:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	42	56¢	$24	0x1aa1cf…
10-07 03:09:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x85b5e6…
10-06 21:20:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xe277fd…
10-06 17:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x889002…
10-06 17:30:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xb616a0…
10-06 16:45:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xdb0446…
10-06 15:58:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xc8995d…
10-06 15:52:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x5bd4db…
10-06 14:52:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xd9a5cb…
10-06 13:58:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x7740f2…
10-06 11:48:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xd5189e…
10-05 21:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x009354…
10-05 18:45:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xfe7534…
10-05 15:19:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x0c8905…
10-05 13:16:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xc9e2f3…
10-05 06:55:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9fe961…
10-04 19:38:55	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xf38940…
10-03 05:42:08	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x973fd1…
10-02 18:39:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xa41d2c…
10-02 14:34:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xf00eb5…
10-02 07:16:53	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x263ef9…
10-02 00:06:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x33328b…
10-01 21:01:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xef7131…
10-01 20:08:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0x47c0e3…
10-01 01:37:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x0be073…
09-30 21:08:50	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x3f83d7…
09-29 02:51:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb98833…
09-28 05:25:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xc15320…
09-28 02:38:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x66f5e0…
09-27 11:25:53	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x696830…
09-27 01:43:18	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x762afc…
09-27 01:33:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x573ea2…
09-26 20:41:29	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x08f1b2…
09-26 12:38:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x1f31a6…
09-26 12:38:14	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xfdd5dc…
09-26 12:37:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x121f7a…
09-26 10:25:48	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x645c76…
09-26 02:28:17	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0xed3527…
09-25 18:12:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5b4bcc…
09-25 17:51:05	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x90067f…
09-25 15:20:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xb835b5…
09-25 11:18:50	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xb04977…
09-25 11:11:00	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x02d6f7…
09-25 08:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x02b365…
09-24 09:30:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8e0a97…