Extra-Large-Gale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$132

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Politics

29% 67% +$0

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+137	$128	96¢	$132	+$4	06-22 11:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	7	$259	246	246	+0	open	—	03-20 09:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$238	124	124	+0	No	$-0	05-10 16:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$183	161	161	+0	No	+$0	05-08 17:45
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$176	90	90	+0	open	—	04-26 02:47
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	04-10 09:14
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	3	$128	137	0	+137	open	—	06-22 11:34
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	03-19 01:49
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	2	$121	80	80	+0	open	—	03-18 15:07
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	5	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-29 05:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	3	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	03-18 06:08
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	04-07 03:13
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-23 09:26
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$99	180	180	+0	open	—	03-30 19:20
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 07:49
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	2	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	04-20 16:26
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 23:16
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	04-11 17:50
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	04-20 06:44
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$93	47	47	+0	open	—	04-27 01:12
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$93	47	47	+0	open	—	04-27 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	3	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	04-26 08:27
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	2	$90	48	48	+0	open	—	03-24 13:08
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	4	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	03-25 03:39
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	03-24 08:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$89	47	47	+0	open	—	03-31 07:26
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	3	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	03-25 15:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	04-15 07:19
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$89	46	46	+0	open	—	04-03 01:02
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	3	$89	66	66	+0	open	—	03-25 23:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	2	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	03-28 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 19:27:43	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x9964ca…
06-22 11:34:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0xb9a06d…
06-22 11:34:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x786317…
06-22 11:34:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x42e006…
05-19 12:17:33	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x1d43b0…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe0d19…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xaacc29…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$6	0xd3bc07…
05-13 02:20:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	168	2¢	$4	0x634b5b…
05-13 00:39:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0x208184…
05-12 04:21:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0xc2fda5…
05-12 01:32:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x5a6537…
05-11 21:30:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x0d858c…
05-11 17:57:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x29c455…
05-11 12:33:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xd334b0…
05-11 10:05:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xd39767…
05-10 22:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xd9706b…
05-10 19:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x1141ca…
05-10 16:35:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xf99701…
05-10 12:32:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9b7063…
05-10 07:04:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x8f4102…
05-10 05:18:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x707b3c…
05-09 18:06:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xdb59b2…
05-09 18:05:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x945b9e…
05-08 21:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x0c73a2…
05-08 17:45:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x87a5df…
05-08 15:04:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x9417a4…
05-08 07:01:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x0f53e5…
05-08 07:01:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x160cda…
05-08 02:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x7c85af…
05-06 23:44:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x14400b…
05-06 21:09:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0xff42f8…
05-06 18:01:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x49c432…
05-06 16:42:25	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x944925…
05-06 12:46:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xdf0c78…
05-06 08:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x21887c…
05-06 05:03:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xaacbfc…
04-30 19:11:22	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xead78e…
04-30 19:11:20	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x9ab940…
04-30 15:13:54	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x44f254…
04-30 15:13:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2383f3…
04-30 13:57:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x956e17…
04-30 12:27:00	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x11a945…
04-29 19:12:36	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x4457d6…
04-29 15:54:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x501f36…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x2aa5de…
04-27 06:28:02	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xcbbfc4…
04-27 01:12:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x0e078a…
04-26 22:57:40	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x055522…
04-26 08:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xb7a816…
04-26 08:27:56	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0xb8a6f3…
04-26 08:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7edf10…
04-26 02:47:38	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x06d6e6…
04-26 00:36:52	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x157bfa…
04-24 23:45:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf9a9b9…
04-24 23:45:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x333ecf…
04-24 22:21:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x7552ef…
04-24 18:12:32	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xa2c7be…
04-24 18:12:32	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8492d9…
04-24 14:09:04	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x3ea473…
04-24 10:32:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x901ab1…
04-24 10:32:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x88b346…
04-24 10:32:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x49cd5a…
04-24 07:19:04	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x184cca…
04-24 05:53:46	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x39529d…
04-24 00:22:58	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf9ee66…
04-23 12:12:36	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x2e1cd0…
04-23 08:35:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xb2c9e8…
04-22 21:53:08	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc666c4…
04-22 21:53:08	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5d6ebf…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x89785a…
04-21 17:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xf0b2ca…
04-21 15:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x1574ee…
04-21 05:01:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0xecdc90…
04-21 00:54:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x71e76c…
04-20 16:26:04	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0xfd84b1…
04-20 12:32:20	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xa6732f…
04-20 06:44:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x6f4a18…
04-20 05:37:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xfc823e…
04-18 22:36:02	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xc894b4…
04-18 22:36:02	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x2f8436…
04-18 18:42:36	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x6204f3…
04-16 11:22:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xdc9ee3…
04-16 06:46:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa9333d…
04-15 07:19:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x130b49…
04-15 07:19:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x086273…
04-15 07:10:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x281e69…
04-12 18:02:59	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x791f10…
04-12 16:12:13	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x5fb01e…
04-12 01:31:45	will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x99eed1…
04-11 20:25:31	will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x5b994f…
04-11 17:50:45	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xff219c…
04-11 17:50:45	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xc5e505…
04-11 17:49:59	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x74d8eb…
04-11 07:48:23	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x77e457…
04-11 04:36:55	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8e2074…
04-11 04:36:55	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x272c59…
04-10 21:18:45	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4074ad…
04-10 21:17:59	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe3d4b8…
04-10 09:14:09	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x19fe55…