Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$268

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

128

Trades

514

lifetime

Volume

$5.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$168

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-26 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

75% 71% +$196

Sports

13% 56% +$21

Other

13% 58% +$54

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+126	$77	86¢	$108	+$31	05-04 18:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+45	$30	82¢	$36	+$6	05-04 18:28
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	+24	$20	97¢	$23	+$3	05-11 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	47	$713	546	586	-40	No	-$17	03-26 20:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$542	334	334	+0	No	+$29	03-21 23:17
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	6	$522	276	276	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 21:18
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	27	$425	253	268	-15	No	+$57	03-31 16:30
will uae strike iran by march 31	17	$279	140	211	-71	No	+$34	03-31 16:30
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	20	$279	168	168	+0	No	+$9	03-14 00:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$214	284	219	+65	Yes	-$34	04-01 17:37
will qatar strike iran by march 31	8	$175	91	101	-10	No	+$14	03-31 14:52
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$172	109	109	+0	No	+$42	04-24 17:16
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	9	$165	209	0	+209	No	+$44	04-04 15:02
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	11	$142	204	0	+204	No	+$61	03-27 16:39
us forces enter iran by march 7	10	$132	147	147	+0	No	+$42	03-05 04:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$127	82	82	+0	No	+$17	03-21 23:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	10	$114	67	67	+0	No	+$15	03-27 16:37
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	7	$95	52	52	+0	No	+$6	03-09 14:11
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$92	63	63	+0	No	+$6	03-12 20:49
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	9	$90	87	87	+0	No	-$4	03-23 20:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$77	126	0	+126	open	—	05-04 18:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$74	118	0	+118	No	-$74	05-16 02:41
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$70	83	0	+83	No	+$13	05-27 02:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$61	38	38	+0	No	+$4	03-19 20:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$59	130	130	+0	Yes	+$12	03-16 14:55
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	5	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	03-08 03:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$51	51	51	+0	Yes	+$5	03-06 18:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$48	1,797	0	+1,797	Yes	-$48	03-10 12:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$43	32	32	+0	Yes	+$6	03-21 23:17
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	05-27 18:48
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 16:44
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	5	$38	25	25	+0	No	+$10	03-26 18:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	8	$37	37	37	+0	Yes	+$3	03-08 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 17:01:58	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xefa6a4…
06-25 16:34:56	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x506601…
06-23 03:20:46	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Jordan	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x51d06d…
06-23 03:20:26	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x593da5…
06-23 03:00:16	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1a58f2…
06-23 00:06:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,623	1¢	$18	0x7add4d…
06-14 03:37:22	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x14d60c…
05-27 18:48:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x46f407…
05-27 02:38:23	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd3cd77…
05-27 00:33:26	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x20b098…
05-25 20:41:23	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcc6a97…
05-25 15:34:44	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x19953e…
05-18 22:02:32	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc305a8…
05-18 21:18:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	276	95¢	$262	0x1027a9…
05-18 21:10:33	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xaa3b54…
05-18 21:10:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x110aeb…
05-18 21:10:18	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xa6b784…
05-18 21:09:57	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x97e35f…
05-18 21:09:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x20b9a0…
05-18 21:04:10	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf27a18…
05-18 21:04:03	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb1d5c7…
05-18 20:11:37	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc64e36…
05-16 18:12:50	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xbc6b18…
05-16 13:41:49	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x6fdeba…
05-16 02:41:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xebfad5…
05-16 02:40:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x9b300e…
05-16 01:49:52	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x244a31…
05-15 18:44:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xc0a489…
05-15 17:14:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe9e358…
05-15 03:52:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfcb1dd…
05-15 03:50:17	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x474a25…
05-15 03:50:17	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x281f0a…
05-15 03:45:19	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbba3db…
05-15 03:38:21	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7c03d0…
05-15 03:33:04	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x539f71…
05-15 03:31:14	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe19047…
05-11 20:55:16	Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x77335d…
05-11 20:53:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x070d9e…
05-11 16:57:13	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x472fdc…
05-07 17:38:22	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0x4420ac…
05-07 01:49:45	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x330499…
05-04 18:47:42	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x35fdd7…
05-04 18:47:32	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5bde8e…
05-04 18:47:16	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	61¢	$65	0x0a750b…
05-04 18:43:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3c91ac…
05-04 18:28:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe8454c…
05-04 18:28:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x598dbd…
05-01 15:44:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x454111…
04-27 19:09:20	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x463186…
04-27 18:57:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5f5183…
04-27 10:26:36	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb1bb7e…
04-27 10:15:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x38026e…
04-24 17:16:50	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xac10ce…
04-04 15:55:33	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x8a9404…
04-04 15:42:47	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x38863a…
04-04 15:02:15	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x48a431…
04-04 09:12:37	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x195282…
04-04 05:04:41	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x564cf2…
04-04 03:04:33	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb4ca71…
04-04 01:08:17	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x947c6f…
04-03 05:51:51	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x30afb1…
04-03 03:55:51	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6b71a6…
04-02 18:32:01	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x576bc6…
04-01 20:34:43	will trump say objective or goal 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x546474…
04-01 20:31:25	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9309e4…
04-01 20:31:19	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe5649…
04-01 17:37:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x7a38be…
04-01 05:59:13	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b4484…
03-31 21:03:15	fif aut kor1 2026 03 31 aut	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02fa72…
03-31 21:03:13	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x457cbc…
03-31 21:03:09	fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	Japan	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc93253…
03-31 21:03:07	fif alg ury 2026 03 31 ury	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x897546…
03-31 17:15:37	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf55290…
03-31 17:09:41	fif alg ury 2026 03 31 ury	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xffd1b6…
03-31 17:09:03	fif wal nir 2026 03 31 wal	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x37d79d…
03-31 17:08:51	fif ire mac 2026 03 31 ire	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x85e42a…
03-31 17:08:39	fif aut kor1 2026 03 31 aut	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31336a…
03-31 17:08:25	fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xed156c…
03-31 16:30:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x9c4bd3…
03-31 16:30:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0x0fccdc…
03-31 14:52:15	will dr congo qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x019d2c…
03-31 14:52:03	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xabc472…
03-28 23:49:26	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x91f9eb…
03-27 16:39:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x612ce2…
03-27 16:37:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xb9ca57…
03-26 20:54:57	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x62791e…
03-26 20:54:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0x1ff146…
03-26 18:57:39	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xa79f0a…
03-26 18:24:49	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf17249…
03-26 01:43:53	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc7fbc3…
03-26 00:24:23	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x01f1a7…
03-25 20:12:07	will dr congo qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5d3882…
03-25 19:11:47	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x0a8076…
03-25 18:20:09	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x40de16…
03-23 21:09:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb2feb0…
03-23 20:19:29	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	No	SELL	34	51¢	$18	0xb6899e…
03-23 13:25:49	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe1fb89…
03-23 05:57:29	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5a6fc8…
03-23 04:21:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	219	41¢	$90	0x84b881…
03-22 17:22:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc2c75a…