Fearless-Reparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

223 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.92K

$34.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$107

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 93% +$97

Other

9% 86% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 November 9-15?	No		+107	$107	100¢	$107	$0	11-14 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k september 14 20 2026	2	$511	257	257	+0	No	+$1	09-19 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	2	$508	254	254	+0	No	+$0	09-09 11:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 5?	2	$507	254	254	+0	No	-$1	09-04 05:31
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	2	$483	243	243	+0	No	+$1	07-23 13:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	2	$483	247	247	+0	No	-$9	07-06 13:22
bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	2	$480	240	240	+0	No	+$0	06-05 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	2	$476	241	241	+0	No	+$4	07-16 00:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$472	237	237	+0	No	+$0	05-27 00:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$471	236	236	+0	No	+$1	05-20 05:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	3	$440	221	221	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 14:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	2	$393	199	199	+0	No	$0	02-25 01:51
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	2	$392	197	197	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 15:33
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	5	$389	198	198	+0	No	-$6	03-02 16:46
bitcoin above 60k on february 21	3	$374	188	188	+0	Yes	+$1	02-21 01:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$372	187	187	+0	No	+$0	02-20 05:56
bitcoin above 74k on february 19	2	$371	186	186	+0	No	+$1	02-18 23:16
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	2	$369	188	188	+0	No	$0	02-13 18:32
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	2	$363	184	184	+0	No	+$4	02-11 02:01
bitcoin above 82k on february 10	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	+$0	02-10 13:37
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	2	$355	180	180	+0	No	+$2	02-02 07:15
bitcoin above 88k on february 1	2	$351	176	176	+0	No	+$0	02-01 04:51
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$351	176	176	+0	No	+$0	01-31 11:57
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	+$0	01-30 05:08
bitcoin above 80k on january 28	2	$350	175	175	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 07:11
bitcoin above 98k on january 22	2	$348	175	175	+0	No	+$0	01-22 02:41
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	2	$346	174	174	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 13:59
bitcoin above 96k on january 12	2	$341	172	172	+0	No	+$2	01-12 07:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$315	162	162	+0	No	+$8	10-17 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$304	164	164	+0	No	-$18	10-20 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:28:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 November 9-15?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x005cd6…
11-12 21:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xb649ee…
11-08 05:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0xcffb16…
11-04 10:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x7c17b8…
11-03 13:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc4c125…
10-31 21:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x6128e5…
10-30 12:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbe51d4…
10-30 05:01:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0xfd0ae6…
10-29 10:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb1d409…
10-29 10:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x825c28…
10-29 10:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x455f46…
10-29 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3e5e6f…
10-29 10:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x9f9d20…
10-27 04:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0xdbbe22…
10-25 08:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0xf97a64…
10-25 05:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x6d3eab…
10-24 10:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xef6ba6…
10-24 00:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0x6e6273…
10-24 00:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8cb0b6…
10-23 23:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xea1d5f…
10-22 00:50:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xaa8e1d…
10-21 10:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x7e402b…
10-20 00:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	164	87¢	$142	0xe8023e…
10-20 00:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xfcaf98…
10-17 12:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	164	98¢	$161	0x1919bb…
10-17 09:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0x8d0365…
10-16 00:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0x261aa5…
10-15 13:06:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0xb64c9c…
10-15 00:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x7b24dd…
10-15 00:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x18dfff…
10-13 13:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xdd7d2d…
10-13 05:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xba005f…
10-09 04:50:06	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x091581…
10-06 01:50:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x7ea337…
10-01 23:58:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0x066a66…
09-26 01:34:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xf51b31…
09-23 02:07:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x86460a…
09-21 05:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xec8001…
09-20 00:31:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x82064e…
09-19 19:10:38	will bitcoin reach 90k september 14 20 2026	No	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0xdcfe5b…
09-18 00:34:43	will bitcoin reach 90k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x21bce8…
09-17 02:15:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x79dd25…
09-15 00:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x38dd00…
09-14 00:44:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x313847…
09-11 14:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xa84ce8…
09-09 11:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xec60e5…
09-09 00:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xa58502…
09-07 00:02:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xb7415a…
09-04 05:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 5?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0xab22e0…
09-03 00:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 5?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xb2f41e…
08-30 00:04:04	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xc4ac93…
08-27 15:09:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x4153d2…
08-25 03:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x32d341…
08-18 00:58:06	will ethereum dip to 1500 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x9f0316…
08-17 04:25:55	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x948741…
08-15 16:34:49	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0xcb2565…
08-14 08:39:24	ethereum above 2000 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	251	98¢	$247	0x2cd779…
08-13 08:41:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x3f6a6c…
08-12 03:48:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xee9eff…
08-11 08:46:18	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x48b21a…
08-08 00:11:25	will bitcoin dip to 56k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xe79a95…
08-05 19:09:59	ethereum above 2100 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xca1d2b…
08-05 19:09:59	ethereum above 2100 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x0d4c22…
08-05 19:04:45	ethereum above 2100 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xab0974…
08-05 19:02:57	ethereum above 2100 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2040ee…
08-05 05:31:02	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x292567…
08-03 04:32:53	ethereum above 1600 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xf44db8…
08-01 10:21:41	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x3bfead…
07-25 00:39:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0xe23592…
07-23 15:54:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xdf7245…
07-23 13:16:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	243	99¢	$242	0x7689ba…
07-20 04:20:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0x6ddb8c…
07-17 17:01:45	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xa4218a…
07-16 01:38:41	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0xa19452…
07-16 00:17:25	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	241	99¢	$240	0xdf5d59…
07-11 04:34:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	241	98¢	$236	0x40f889…
07-08 11:13:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x0fe8eb…
07-06 13:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	SELL	247	96¢	$237	0x6657b4…
07-05 23:38:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0xd7375f…
07-03 12:53:37	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xef0fd2…
07-01 06:45:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xa8a72e…
06-19 09:19:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	245	99¢	$244	0x541473…
06-14 23:36:48	bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x71ab8b…
06-13 01:49:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	243	99¢	$242	0xef5bda…
06-10 02:11:10	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x52d48d…
06-09 09:05:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x7eed25…
06-05 12:11:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x982aba…
06-05 12:11:19	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0xe586b0…
06-03 23:39:10	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xea9d41…
06-01 12:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x5b540e…
05-27 04:18:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	239	99¢	$236	0xadbefd…
05-27 00:43:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$236	0xb6d86a…
05-22 00:39:26	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3f6047…
05-21 02:05:44	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcb1dab…
05-20 10:48:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0xfaa728…
05-20 05:46:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xaa6b90…
05-19 14:05:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xb50b0f…
05-18 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf4318a…
05-18 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x94636c…
05-18 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ce9bf…