Villainous-Lifestyle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

3,154

Trades

3,299

lifetime

Volume

$9.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 09-13 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 79% -$121

Other

8% 78% -$14

Politics

2% 97% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$1	06-13 09:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$0	07-06 12:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	+$0	07-06 06:32
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$7	26¢	$3	-$5	07-06 01:05
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-26 11:08
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-27 02:52
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	09-02 14:47
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-16 15:06
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-16 15:06
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-16 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 05:30 UTC	11	$21	32	16	+16	Up	-$7	04-06 05:40
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-13 09:34
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	06-13 09:28
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	06-13 09:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 05:00 UTC	10	$12	30	0	+30	Up	+$3	04-06 05:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	04-12 07:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 08:30 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	04-12 08:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:45 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 05:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 06:45 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	04-12 06:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	-$10	04-12 05:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 07:37
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	04-12 05:37
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:30 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	04-12 07:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 06:30 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	04-12 06:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 08:45 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	04-12 08:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 06:45 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	04-12 06:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:20 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 05:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 09:30 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	04-12 09:36
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 09:45 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	04-12 09:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 09:00 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	04-12 09:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$10	04-12 05:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 07:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 05:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	04-12 05:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:15 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-12 06:18
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 09:00 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	04-12 09:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 08:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 08:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 09:45 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	04-12 09:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 07:30 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	04-12 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 08:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	04-12 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 08:41:34	Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8757ad…
09-13 00:07:33	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa02ee8…
09-13 00:07:31	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c9f44…
09-12 17:24:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x415c04…
09-11 22:27:12	Will gas hit $4.30 (High) by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf59161…
09-11 21:08:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bb2d2…
09-11 21:08:55	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7c1f64…
09-11 13:03:22	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0077b…
09-11 12:47:49	houthis seize an oil tanker by september 15 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x454eeb…
09-11 12:16:00	Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8bfe93…
09-11 07:35:04	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6bfab2…
09-11 06:32:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x699a6b…
09-11 05:29:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x55c8ae…
09-11 04:11:40	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x84e29b…
09-11 04:11:40	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4edd16…
09-11 04:11:39	US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb732f6…
09-11 04:11:36	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f73e5…
09-11 00:18:04	Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0dcaa…
09-11 00:02:31	Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf70c88…
09-11 00:02:30	Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd73e4c…
09-11 00:02:28	Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f73c3…
09-11 00:02:27	Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcbaa84…
09-11 00:02:25	Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe63353…
09-11 00:02:24	Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5debb…
09-11 00:02:22	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% in September?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed8348…
09-10 21:41:22	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.73% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8065cc…
09-10 21:10:10	Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc07468…
09-10 19:19:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9450e6…
09-10 18:48:31	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ebb81…
09-10 18:48:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc3ed8…
09-10 17:13:06	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x10a72a…
09-10 17:13:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0d487…
09-10 17:13:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x995de9…
09-10 16:41:37	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc9157…
09-10 15:53:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8663fb…
09-10 15:53:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x64fffc…
09-10 12:05:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62d43f…
09-10 12:05:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2c6f9c…
09-10 00:07:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90d031…
09-09 21:31:21	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x04f698…
09-09 05:45:52	Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x631e2c…
09-09 05:45:51	Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa47f7b…
09-07 17:37:27	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe740a9…
09-07 02:59:00	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x73f385…
09-05 02:30:27	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf304f9…
09-05 01:58:42	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x84beaa…
09-04 10:20:27	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x283f60…
09-02 22:25:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x874673…
09-02 14:47:16	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x238790…
09-02 05:44:40	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc41697…
09-01 22:42:48	Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1716d2…
09-01 18:05:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9fbec…
09-01 09:43:25	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27f4dd…
09-01 06:40:01	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x491b44…
09-01 06:06:45	Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f07c7…
09-01 06:06:43	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86fdcd…
09-01 06:06:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc2a9be…
09-01 06:06:40	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb30570…
09-01 06:06:34	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3d3e1…
09-01 06:06:33	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d95c0…
09-01 06:06:31	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf5164…
08-31 00:09:57	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47d4bf…
08-30 23:22:48	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b8ab6…
08-30 18:55:54	Will Kyle Joseph win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1de0b…
08-30 15:27:09	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45c109…
08-30 15:27:04	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb66c9a…
08-30 02:54:43	Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7cd9e7…
08-27 04:14:21	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e3adc…
08-26 08:11:07	Will Masahiro Sueyoshi win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5eb903…
08-25 19:15:24	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x721abc…
08-25 19:15:21	Will Shun Kaneshima win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49b3af…
08-25 19:15:19	Will Mikio Shimoji win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9fd60…
08-24 00:37:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d6596…
08-22 23:18:40	will us crude oil reserves fall to 300m by may 1 20260714141931931	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x028ec3…
08-22 16:28:55	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 26 2026 20260722225036950	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x621d64…
08-22 06:09:04	will us crude oil reserves fall to 325m by may 1 20260714141931930	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25ff2d…
08-22 06:08:58	Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x19f7c3…
08-20 14:15:04	Will Naomi Davison win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71e740…
08-20 12:37:58	Will Gerald Auger win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc871f…
08-20 12:37:52	Will Sean Conroy win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe81131…
08-20 12:37:51	Will David Ghobrial win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22d732…
08-20 12:37:43	Will Bobby Nikmard win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86c1ec…
08-20 07:52:16	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x489e6b…
08-20 02:35:00	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x666fae…
08-20 01:00:55	will gas hit 3pt50 low by august 31 20260728213741799	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9e75e…
08-19 11:40:52	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4cb5aa…
08-18 23:27:42	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0141a…
08-18 20:53:04	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd249f4…
08-18 09:38:40	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x315028…
08-18 08:34:54	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 27 2026 20260722225036951	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x890294…
08-17 21:50:06	will gas hit 3pt00 low by august 31 20260728213741801	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x204399…
08-17 18:27:28	Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35db12…
08-17 08:23:09	brazil bans discord by august 31 2026 20260807130012953	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcf49d3…
08-17 07:36:13	will gas hit 5pt00 high by august 31 20260728213741793	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46eefa…
08-17 04:26:31	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 23 2026 20260722225036947	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa561e4…
08-17 00:12:54	Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc19445…
08-17 00:12:49	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x780686…
08-17 00:12:48	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97f37d…
08-17 00:12:46	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3cac13…
08-16 21:50:42	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f8357…