Negligible-Census — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,407

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-30 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
cs2 cw nsn1 2026 04 05	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 17:22
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:49
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:32
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:11
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:37
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	10	0	+10	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:19
nba min den 2026 04 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 22:38
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 13:14
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:53
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 08:56
mlb stl wsh 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 03:11
atp bueno casanov 2026 04 10 first set winner Bueno vs Casanova	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:18:34	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccd355…
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c413a…
06-30 19:06:04	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 assists nicolas pepe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeddaa5…
06-30 18:00:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72b536…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2379e…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1568bd…
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23851d…
06-29 20:31:50	atp wu djokovi 2026 06 29 set 3 winner Wu vs Djokovic	Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14f8a6…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40914…
06-29 19:15:50	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd46005…
06-29 19:11:22	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd35479…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc91a96…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad7449…
06-28 20:31:04	crint cze srb 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb74fcc…
06-28 09:42:14	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7abe45…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x806993…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ba06f…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf03fd…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69fb6a…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1e969…
06-27 02:11:10	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 goals alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f02d…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53d671…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c37f0…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2975d3…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x870586…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc16ea0…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e5587…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x649f3e…
06-25 00:05:34	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9caec4…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9d598…
06-24 21:15:04	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals plus assists ermedin demirovic gte4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85083e…
06-24 21:00:40	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce0769…
06-24 19:59:05	itf delattr torcq 2026 06 24 set handicap away 1pt5	Delattre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9be47d…
06-24 12:34:52	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ca443…
06-24 04:03:11	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4480a3…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2190…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1537…
06-23 15:27:11	atp burruch fery 2026 06 22 set 2 winner Burruchaga vs Fery	Burruchaga	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0921b…
06-22 00:06:16	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd93627…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01bce8…
06-20 21:42:02	es2 alm mal 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x091971…
06-20 21:07:23	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7619c1…
06-20 20:06:40	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5038cf…
06-20 19:13:19	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd28d09…
06-20 19:09:29	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaba6a6…
06-20 19:06:56	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5c9fa…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x499937…
06-20 02:55:20	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1893a…
06-20 02:37:11	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dfb3f…
06-20 01:49:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed6183…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c3572…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bcbcd…
06-19 01:55:11	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 18 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6cfc1…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b322…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf29d17…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77d6a2…
06-18 18:01:41	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48f83f…
06-18 14:16:01	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8b14e…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cc31e…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7da8a0…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aad86…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f6212…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x642fd9…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16a372…
06-17 16:07:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd0f51…
06-17 16:06:35	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb966bc…
06-17 03:10:43	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x161801…
06-17 00:11:23	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaebdcc…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53169c…
06-16 13:44:25	r6siege ep arc 2026 06 16	ENTERPRISE Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa3c4e…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbefd36…
06-15 18:27:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x496af8…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48767…
06-15 03:59:03	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaab1ff…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1007ae…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2df3f…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x921f64…
06-14 19:02:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c3750…
06-14 03:32:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 6pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x139712…
06-14 03:29:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeefb10…
06-13 22:38:34	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13 game3 round total 18pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48be87…
06-13 21:26:57	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x871d49…
06-13 11:31:34	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e3d48…
06-13 11:10:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fb559…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10888…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf91ff…
06-12 23:27:33	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe094f0…
06-12 21:55:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18ed55…
06-12 20:26:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8afd13…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aa927…
06-12 20:17:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eb8ae…
06-12 13:30:07	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2f8fc…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcdaa2…
06-12 10:42:01	cs2 ruby1 g2a 2026 06 12 game2 round handicap ruby1 6pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x536d8c…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36f5cc…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc02f0d…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec0251…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67c42a…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe23714…
06-10 12:09:04	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfcd06c…