Negligible-Census — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

2,083

Trades

2,152

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$3

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 96% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:49
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	2	$20	20	0	+20	Learner Tien	+$0	10-10 11:12
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
cs2 cw nsn1 2026 04 05	2	$20	20	0	+20	Chinggis Warriors	+$0	04-05 17:22
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 02:50
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39287e…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e4a3e…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b3883…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x384cb7…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f22d2…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48ddee…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x415a45…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9f677…
10-15 20:32:42	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d5cea…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf877c…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68c257…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf5016…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc350f5…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfec0af…
10-13 15:56:03	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57ae77…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f61e4…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x673cf8…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b3286…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x325df6…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe78c19…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90ab90…
10-10 11:12:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfcb9d2…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x53582c…
10-09 02:10:02	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd77c…
10-08 07:31:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a4d1e…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7eb7c1…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05bedc…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea2ea2…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdcccf…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98cb52…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a92e…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cc0f8…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb52e…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd8df1e…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cea2a…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e86b8…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1779bf…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaafa3c…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x464f7d…
10-02 13:29:44	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x372254…
10-01 22:30:35	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05230e…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd30e6a…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9353cc…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7ec6d…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26da3a…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf74368…
10-01 11:33:09	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb90f8a…
10-01 07:33:17	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6eed2…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x419e54…
10-01 06:02:53	atp silv almeida 2026 09 30	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeb2da…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x935dce…
09-30 23:54:57	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb5b36…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x973251…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1632d5…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57aac0…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xadbd89…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd10dc8…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee706e…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c6d7a…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01cc3d…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b215a…
09-28 03:36:12	atp tsitsip nishiok 2026 09 27	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x394c41…
09-27 20:40:09	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb53284…
09-27 20:12:00	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd47e0f…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d8834…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4b44f…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x918174…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30ee22…
09-27 00:20:33	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a4493…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf5de1…
09-26 22:50:59	TCU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff30b5…
09-26 19:57:29	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x553b8f…
09-26 19:57:08	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc7c3…
09-26 19:22:47	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1f209…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd122f2…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb66d12…
09-25 10:12:51	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26145e…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff2aac…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa97902…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332818…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12c665…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb961ae…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6940…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a64f0…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bb84e…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2326f…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7931f…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe83b50…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5612c5…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1fec4…
09-19 22:11:06	daviscup fery guillen 2026 09 19	Arthur Fery	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x436f52…
09-19 01:33:04	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf660a6…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xce3897…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ef424…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c641e…
09-17 12:54:37	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbf525…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81a125…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbf000…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x769dab…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c4df…