Truthful-Thermostat 0x8aa7df…8dd7b1
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$598
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$19
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-20 03:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
92% 100% +$3
Other
6% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -10 $-8 92¢ $-9 $-1 05-29 03:55
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-10 22:20
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 03:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-10 22:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-08 14:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-10 22:21
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-10 22:25
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:53