Ugly-Turning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,512

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc38f21…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5755…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddf7c3…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd870e…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0b509…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5412a3…
06-29 19:42:49	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe29c16…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b5705…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x783461…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f1930…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81d40c…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba0275…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6ba46…
06-27 19:47:55	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bd4eb…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaca55c…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5e759…
06-27 12:57:02	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b8be8…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f150…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ee256…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a2d4b…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a2b92…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4996e6…
06-25 00:02:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9a76a…
06-24 14:47:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefc8c9…
06-24 01:00:56	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a3ccd…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc7df5…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09899b…
06-23 19:01:25	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9100d9…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f6fba…
06-23 12:39:16	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56b0ad…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd86ab3…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7213eb…
06-21 18:20:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf5363…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x367c7f…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5d21…
06-20 20:06:35	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4243f3…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11ae28…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42c84…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5fe6…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60a2f0…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8a49e…
06-18 13:15:17	kbo kiw sam 2026 06 18	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ef4a4…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bef9a…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b96ae…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x150719…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cc570…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d496a…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec90e7…
06-17 16:07:02	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecad22…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb327d…
06-16 13:39:04	kbo kt doo 2026 06 16	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x708053…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41737d…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e27a2…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6351ed…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f2ab0…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd12d4f…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64ec5b…
06-13 21:18:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners team away 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2824d7…
06-13 18:04:00	atp galan balshaw 2026 06 13 set handicap away 1pt5	Galan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2fde9…
06-13 01:54:57	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aef98…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x366739…
06-12 20:27:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaffc43…
06-12 20:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf72247…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecb57a…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc49771…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0991ae…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d23e4…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aa2d0…
06-11 16:03:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2156e8…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd521…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c24a…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x416c73…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3e0b9…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c3a22…
06-07 23:59:21	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c3171…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c845f…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0e729…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4358c7…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c9b73…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17691c…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a4288…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x101e87…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f078c…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aeca8…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fcfe8…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07eb19…
06-05 18:19:13	will meta dip to 590 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe46298…
06-05 15:45:19	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e4a80…
06-05 01:48:04	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5a5cd…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b8115…
06-04 04:48:10	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7e0a18…
06-03 19:23:34	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic	Aoyama/Liang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d25a9…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66de1a…
06-03 12:06:32	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4ef35…
06-03 11:31:46	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a4c10…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5ac15…
06-03 05:37:55	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc10c5c…
06-03 00:47:04	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	QoR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf1689…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26d756…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa4fbf…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 22:19
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:55
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 23:24
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
cricpsl que mul 2026 04 05	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 17:40
Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 16:31
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
wttmen kaellbe harimot 2026 03 10	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 08:37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 17:04
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20
Santillan vs. Wong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	05-05 11:03
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04