Definitive-Atheist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$186

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-01 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$2

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 12:20
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	01-18 19:55
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$10	117	0	+117	open	—	01-18 19:55
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 15:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	2	$6	154	146	+8	open	—	04-23 17:21
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	3	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	01-11 20:15
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$5	102	0	+102	open	—	01-16 09:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 15:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 16:13
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	2	$4	40	38	+2	open	—	04-23 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 26?	2	$3	3	2	+0	open	—	04-26 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 17:17
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	01-16 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 21:39
Will Trump say "Scotland" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 16:14
Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	3	$2	20	12	+8	open	—	04-27 18:14
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	111	111	+0	No	+$0	04-26 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 16:15
James Comey arrested by April 29?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-29 16:14
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 27)	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 20:54:36	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x873c56…
05-01 20:50:12	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc13513…
04-30 15:57:02	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x18bcb2…
04-30 15:40:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c0470…
04-29 18:40:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xcd63af…
04-29 18:39:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x059001…
04-29 18:36:46	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x07e754…
04-29 16:14:50	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x558ca3…
04-29 16:03:30	Will MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ede38…
04-28 18:51:30	Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x703e5e…
04-28 18:21:38	Will Trump say "Scotland" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x05cd50…
04-27 18:14:28	Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe54d0f…
04-27 18:13:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0f55e9…
04-27 18:03:36	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e785c…
04-27 17:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1f6a0d…
04-27 16:18:56	Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 27)	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x00e42c…
04-27 16:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71190b…
04-27 16:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbd3f0d…
04-27 16:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf275ed…
04-27 16:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd9a393…
04-27 16:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x013995…
04-27 16:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x73a531…
04-27 16:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcb3a0c…
04-27 16:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbafac8…
04-27 16:03:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4478de…
04-27 16:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4e130c…
04-27 15:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9b9937…
04-26 20:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c25ff…
04-26 20:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda8db3…
04-26 20:23:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0c4860…
04-26 17:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa65923…
04-26 17:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbaaf59…
04-26 17:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcfa262…
04-26 17:23:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x46b7d4…
04-26 17:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4e1f9…
04-26 17:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2d27b0…
04-26 17:17:10	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x02bf0c…
04-26 17:12:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0x11a6fc…
04-26 17:09:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5ed948…
04-26 16:25:10	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xefadc8…
04-26 16:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9bb654…
04-26 16:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x06a6e4…
04-26 16:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcd89c3…
04-26 09:38:34	Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdfe95f…
04-26 09:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2cd40…
04-26 09:13:20	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0741a9…
04-26 09:04:24	Will Trump say "Scotland" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd45145…
04-26 09:02:42	Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x962532…
04-26 09:02:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e2dfe…
04-26 08:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x34abfb…
04-26 08:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xcc817b…
04-26 08:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbda26d…
04-26 08:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xee6557…
04-25 22:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x103df7…
04-25 21:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0d395e…
04-25 21:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb38970…
04-25 21:53:54	Will Trump post "Poll" or "Polling" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf33e55…
04-25 21:53:18	Will Trump post "Book" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7db305…
04-25 21:52:46	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x12ba3c…
04-25 21:44:28	Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x84e605…
04-25 21:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb3230d…
04-25 21:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3b3fa8…
04-25 21:38:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9c8d6d…
04-25 13:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8b40b0…
04-25 13:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5be830…
04-25 13:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe565d4…
04-25 13:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x820ef4…
04-25 13:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfce294…
04-25 13:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x000972…
04-25 13:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xff13e4…
04-24 19:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe0295f…
04-24 19:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x20e8c1…
04-24 15:44:20	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6df4a3…
04-24 15:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x76f3a4…
04-24 15:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf6ef36…
04-24 15:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3529ec…
04-24 15:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d3210…
04-24 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x809433…
04-24 15:36:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb1d13f…
04-24 15:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x232939…
04-24 15:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7ff1af…
04-24 15:31:50	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6bd934…
04-24 15:31:36	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb2ff20…
04-23 21:33:56	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe7826f…
04-23 21:31:46	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc5036b…
04-23 21:29:28	highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb596a0…
04-23 17:48:54	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf81f2f…
04-23 17:43:20	Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3f32ca…
04-23 17:41:32	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfa2e29…
04-23 17:41:08	Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86386d…
04-23 17:40:12	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa01d66…
04-23 17:34:28	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x41fb21…
04-23 17:33:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x630eb4…
04-23 17:21:52	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0xecdb37…
04-23 17:21:32	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x3221d0…
04-23 17:07:58	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1d1b9a…
04-23 17:05:42	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x3723c6…
04-23 17:02:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6ccbf5…
04-23 12:22:48	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x3d2663…
04-23 12:21:18	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$3	0x164490…