Colorful-Shoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-16 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$36

Politics

23% 100% +$17

Crypto

10% 100% +$7

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$305	179	130	+49	No	+$4	06-26 15:12
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$280	281	0	+281	No	+$1	01-09 04:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$251	256	0	+256	No	+$5	07-22 05:36
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$248	251	0	+251	No	+$3	03-11 05:12
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$211	213	0	+213	No	+$2	08-02 06:58
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	1	$210	215	0	+215	Hanwha Life Esports	+$5	07-02 01:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	05-19 06:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	06-02 08:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	05-15 13:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$171	175	0	+175	No	+$4	04-21 06:29
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	08-02 07:00
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	1	$170	172	0	+172	Yes	+$2	04-14 18:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$161	162	0	+162	No	+$1	05-15 13:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$160	162	0	+162	Yes	+$2	04-14 17:59
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$150	151	0	+151	Yes	+$1	07-02 01:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$144	148	0	+148	No	+$4	05-19 06:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$138	141	0	+141	No	+$3	09-16 10:25
nvda close above 175 on february 10 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	Yes	+$0	02-10 03:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$123	124	0	+124	Yes	+$1	06-26 15:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$122	124	0	+124	No	+$2	09-16 10:25
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$118	119	0	+119	No	+$1	09-16 10:26
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	07-22 05:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	03-11 05:13
ethereum above 2100 on march 25	1	$80	83	0	+83	Yes	+$3	03-25 12:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-16 05:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	01-23 06:53
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	01-09 04:00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-16 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 05:49:39	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x25ab96…
10-16 05:49:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x6c157d…
09-16 10:26:49	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x6e48e9…
09-16 10:25:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0xbe8f0c…
09-16 10:25:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0xfee2fd…
08-02 07:00:23	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x62d55d…
08-02 06:58:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0x3c970e…
07-22 05:36:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	256	98¢	$251	0x7d3ab8…
07-22 05:35:42	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xba6b1c…
07-02 01:59:28	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0x7495ea…
07-02 01:57:35	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x17d299…
06-26 15:13:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xb36a9b…
06-26 15:12:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x6f58d2…
06-02 08:32:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	179	98¢	$175	0x9d9ad2…
06-02 08:31:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xa09dea…
05-19 06:34:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x943a56…
05-19 06:32:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x8c9786…
05-15 13:24:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x7a6360…
05-15 13:23:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$180	0x4afb33…
04-21 06:29:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0x110127…
04-14 18:01:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xa0a198…
04-14 17:59:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x172e25…
03-25 12:42:15	ethereum above 2100 on march 25	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x011d05…
03-11 05:13:29	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xf1450b…
03-11 05:12:41	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x5ee72a…
02-10 03:12:49	nvda close above 175 on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd7d724…
02-10 03:11:51	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x570dc2…
01-23 06:53:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3fe01c…
01-09 04:00:58	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x3a0970…
01-09 04:00:24	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x763d69…