Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
326
Trades
366
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$565
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-06 01:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
57% 58% -$1,261
Sports
28% 68% +$690
Politics
7% 100% +$31
Pop-Culture
4% 78% +$364
Crypto
4% 80% +$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +235 $100 76¢ $180 +$80 07-15 20:28
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +312 $100 56¢ $173 +$73 07-15 20:28
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +607 $100 21¢ $128 +$28 08-04 03:16
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +483 $100 17¢ $84 -$16 11-06 01:17