Quirky-Peak 0x8b72cb…476dbe Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.57K
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved (7d)
24
Trades (7d)
150
9,917 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$14.3K
$591.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$3.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-12 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Politics
49% 56% +$6,962
Other
46% 33% -$10,557
Crypto
3% 52% +$1,738
Sports
2% 38% +$4,942
Tech
0% 25% -$165
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -884 -$707 96¢ $-848 -$142 07-14 02:41
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +417 $164 86¢ $357 +$193 11-12 11:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +562 $397 60¢ $334 -$62 11-03 13:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +800 $271 32¢ $260 -$11 11-12 20:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +259 -$283 96¢ $247 +$530 10-25 21:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +220 $134 98¢ $215 +$80 11-06 21:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +664 $180 25¢ $164 -$16 11-08 14:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +570 $598 27¢ $155 -$443 11-12 13:11
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +3,188 $1,307 4¢ $143 -$1,163 11-08 18:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,223 $218 10¢ $118 -$100 08-11 22:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +1,011 $167 11¢ $106 -$60 11-11 19:23
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner Mena Warriors +100 $75 100¢ $100 +$24 11-12 15:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +500 $110 16¢ $78 -$32 11-07 19:53
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? Yes +146 $74 51¢ $74 +$0 11-12 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +72 $54 94¢ $68 +$15 11-09 20:02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $80 8¢ $60 -$20 11-06 16:02
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +400 $64 14¢ $56 -$8 11-10 18:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +600 $102 8¢ $51 -$51 11-07 22:49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? No +98 $45 47¢ $46 +$1 11-12 21:55
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +603 $124 6¢ $39 -$85 07-17 04:00
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +340 $80 10¢ $32 -$48 07-21 11:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +297 $85 6¢ $16 -$68 06-18 14:33
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +334 $87 5¢ $16 -$71 07-07 13:40
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +633 $110 2¢ $15 -$96 07-23 13:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +139 $324 6¢ $9 -$315 10-10 21:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +439 $57 2¢ $7 -$50 07-08 14:34
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $36 2¢ $4 -$32 10-26 08:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +1,578 $467 0¢ $4 -$463 09-28 19:03
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +162 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 11-12 20:55
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +150 $75 1¢ $1 -$74 05-18 12:03