Legitimate-Chives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

Trades

609

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-11 22:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Other

36% 78% +$16

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No		+14	$10	80¢	$11	+$1	06-25 20:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No		+13	$10	78¢	$10	+$0	07-08 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	5	$215	112	112	+0	open	—	02-03 04:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$92	140	140	+0	open	—	06-15 04:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$75	66	66	+0	open	—	04-04 03:06
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$56	159	159	+0	open	—	04-14 13:34
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	7	$51	218	1	+217	open	—	06-30 19:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$51	80	0	+80	open	—	02-28 06:18
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	4	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	02-27 06:29
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$50	100	69	+31	open	—	02-27 21:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$50	45	45	+0	open	—	02-28 17:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$49	46	5	+41	open	—	02-27 19:35
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	2	$48	103	103	+0	open	—	01-30 11:40
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-17 14:08
will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	15	$44	45	13	+32	open	—	04-19 21:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$43	42	42	+0	open	—	04-12 19:04
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	6	$43	43	43	+0	open	—	03-01 20:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$42	82	82	+0	open	—	03-06 03:42
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$40	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 20:52
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-27 04:05
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-12 21:18
will gerb udf gerb sds finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	8	$39	45	14	+31	open	—	04-19 20:55
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	05-11 19:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	04-06 15:53
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$34	19	18	+0	open	—	04-28 00:25
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$33	75	49	+26	open	—	06-15 18:27
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	05-11 19:35
bitcoin up or down february 28 3am et	6	$30	31	7	+24	open	—	02-28 08:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	3	$30	251	251	+0	open	—	04-05 21:22
val tl1 kc3 2026 01 27 game2	6	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	01-27 17:26
will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on january 31	3	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	01-31 00:06
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	2	$29	160	149	+11	open	—	04-11 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 22:24:59	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd4ad66…
07-11 19:37:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xca7885…
07-11 18:06:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe3a5a6…
07-10 03:51:19	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa08e07…
07-08 02:05:13	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb9b13d…
07-06 13:00:50	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8417a1…
07-06 08:37:38	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xd8f80e…
07-03 00:19:04	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xc60c09…
07-02 06:27:56	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbfc05e…
07-02 06:26:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0x5370b0…
07-01 22:04:53	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x404310…
07-01 17:51:26	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x5794cf…
07-01 16:55:41	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x0bd415…
07-01 08:51:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x776d58…
07-01 08:38:07	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in july 20260626154217438	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x990960…
07-01 08:35:50	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7cc728…
06-30 19:17:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xec02e5…
06-30 04:14:37	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe6f01a…
06-30 04:11:32	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x20d175…
06-30 00:59:43	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x985c0f…
06-29 18:21:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc99591…
06-29 02:00:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x199fd9…
06-28 23:59:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x18bedf…
06-28 23:55:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x904f60…
06-28 23:45:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xe4f7dd…
06-28 23:16:16	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x29b313…
06-28 23:14:07	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x7ff19e…
06-28 22:48:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3363d8…
06-28 20:51:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe3f91d…
06-26 21:13:25	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x5401f6…
06-26 20:59:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xef6a13…
06-26 17:12:13	will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044256	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x17a74d…
06-26 15:54:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc09099…
06-26 04:25:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x36264a…
06-25 23:28:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e4f44…
06-25 22:36:20	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x30eca8…
06-25 20:57:13	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x184b5b…
06-25 19:19:43	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x25cea9…
06-25 17:22:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4f7391…
06-25 14:34:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x942dab…
06-25 11:58:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd6bdfc…
06-25 11:54:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x97c827…
06-25 11:52:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcb3a48…
06-25 11:51:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcaae89…
06-25 11:38:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x456afc…
06-25 11:29:31	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe44208…
06-24 21:17:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0d2a59…
06-24 17:40:01	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3e5917…
06-24 13:59:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8dbc66…
06-24 03:25:32	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x6de7f9…
06-22 20:12:29	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	3¢	$9	0x3fe498…
06-22 16:30:17	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	239	4¢	$10	0x0ee6d7…
06-22 16:08:50	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0x3848f0…
06-19 18:14:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8ff76f…
06-19 18:07:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb92c32…
06-19 14:06:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xbdc324…
06-19 04:35:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x007622…
06-18 22:28:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8be413…
06-18 20:36:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x589afb…
06-18 18:03:35	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4d30e1…
06-18 01:18:43	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x9aed6c…
06-18 01:11:26	will pakistan be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522910	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x38ed11…
06-17 23:50:32	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xcb9bbc…
06-17 23:45:46	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x1db296…
06-17 23:21:28	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	270	6¢	$16	0x03c6d2…
06-17 18:34:35	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe353ff…
06-17 18:28:29	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x64a201…
06-16 20:49:50	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x0ca550…
06-16 19:42:08	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xfec3ac…
06-16 18:53:08	will king abdullah ii attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204728	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x397d30…
06-16 18:33:34	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xc75399…
06-16 17:39:08	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc9b8b9…
06-16 17:24:20	will king abdullah ii attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204728	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xc62774…
06-16 17:19:59	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x403bc5…
06-16 15:55:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xfb85b5…
06-16 15:32:19	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x662196…
06-16 15:06:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x412a81…
06-16 15:05:37	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x7b5834…
06-15 18:27:12	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xa1f29f…
06-15 18:18:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	49	24¢	$12	0x85e6c0…
06-15 17:14:22	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x4f2a21…
06-15 17:13:58	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xac27da…
06-15 17:11:57	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0x9b092c…
06-15 16:57:00	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xe5ac73…
06-15 16:12:58	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xa21a3e…
06-15 15:39:55	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x0ee9f0…
06-15 15:39:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0xe87fcb…
06-15 08:00:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd65f90…
06-15 08:00:33	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0xc75885…
06-15 07:25:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd18749…
06-15 07:22:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x83ea9c…
06-15 07:22:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x27f52e…
06-15 04:11:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	54	82¢	$45	0x16e71b…
06-14 21:22:04	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xdf3b96…
06-14 16:22:45	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x96ef77…
06-13 20:06:24	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xea8c30…
06-13 20:05:25	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb07f99…
06-13 16:54:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	86	38¢	$32	0x89a80e…
06-13 13:50:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0x9e1d57…
06-12 23:42:10	will malik tillman be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532030	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x63b7ec…