Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
25.1%
Resolved
127
Trades
4,190
lifetime
Volume
$4.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-09 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
91% 63% -$15
Other
8% 94% -$3
Sports
1% 75% +$0
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 -$8 86¢ $-9 $0 07-01 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +9 $3 18¢ $2 -$2 06-08 13:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 07-01 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 06-11 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 06-26 07:03