Staid-Rain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

162

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-30 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

64% 68% +$256

Politics

32% 70% -$282

Sports

4% 50% -$136

Tech

1% 100% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	7	$1.5K	755	755	+0	No	+$36	06-10 01:28
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$1.0K	592	592	+0	No	+$162	06-01 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$769	405	405	+0	No	+$11	06-03 18:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$761	393	393	+0	No	+$23	06-13 05:22
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$748	767	553	+213	Yes	-$406	06-30 17:59
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	6	$583	435	275	+160	Yes	-$97	06-13 05:25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$463	268	268	+0	No	+$73	06-01 17:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$463	282	282	+0	No	+$17	06-07 03:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	6	$428	229	229	+0	No	+$18	06-07 03:22
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$423	246	246	+0	No	+$37	05-26 15:25
wti closes above 95 on june 3 2026	3	$411	227	227	+0	Yes	+$41	06-03 21:07
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	4	$396	510	510	+0	Yes	-$374	06-16 21:29
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$392	382	382	+0	No	-$78	04-27 16:01
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$340	172	172	+0	Yes	+$4	05-17 16:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 28?	2	$339	244	239	+5	Yes	+$125	04-28 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$336	196	196	+0	No	+$18	04-29 20:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$309	162	162	+0	No	+$9	06-03 13:00
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	5	$294	164	164	+0	No	+$18	03-31 15:27
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$279	157	157	+0	No	+$10	03-26 20:34
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	2	$277	147	147	+0	Ngannou	+$16	05-17 03:45
wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	2	$275	141	141	+0	No	+$7	06-04 21:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on April 29?	4	$264	187	187	+0	Yes	-$56	04-29 21:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 28?	2	$261	176	173	+3	Yes	+$74	04-28 19:10
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	4	$246	297	18	+279	No	+$65	06-30 18:02
wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	2	$241	141	141	+0	Yes	+$41	06-04 21:02
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$240	128	128	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 14:34
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$234	120	120	+0	No	+$3	01-16 21:40
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	2	$222	122	122	+0	Rousey	+$22	05-17 05:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$216	117	117	+0	No	+$16	06-07 03:19
wti closes above 86 on june 9 2026	2	$215	115	115	+0	Yes	+$15	06-09 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:02:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0x4f9cf5…
06-30 17:59:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0x1bb8b3…
06-16 21:29:07	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	510	2¢	$11	0xd11035…
06-13 05:30:54	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Josh Hokit	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4de59c…
06-13 05:30:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb14f55…
06-13 05:27:49	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	51	81¢	$41	0xdd743f…
06-13 05:26:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x35205f…
06-13 05:25:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x1ee47a…
06-13 05:24:12	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x389e3d…
06-13 05:23:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x7b10f0…
06-13 05:22:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	393	100¢	$392	0x36ed33…
06-12 00:52:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xf5fab6…
06-11 18:44:55	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xb25c1b…
06-11 18:18:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	32	58¢	$18	0x54fa25…
06-11 15:07:00	wti closes above 92 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x3c330a…
06-11 15:06:19	wti closes above 90 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcb0dd7…
06-11 15:05:00	wti closes above 89 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0xe3f84d…
06-10 21:48:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points victor wembanyama 27pt5	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf6915e…
06-10 21:48:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points jalen brunson 26pt5	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9e4728…
06-10 21:12:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	252	95¢	$239	0xd8d2f6…
06-10 21:10:34	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe45dee…
06-10 21:10:22	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xd4d4a9…
06-10 21:10:10	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xcdb1ca…
06-10 21:10:00	wti closes above 88 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x96adc0…
06-10 16:33:27	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	279	77¢	$215	0x0eb538…
06-10 16:32:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	153	83¢	$127	0x626778…
06-10 16:24:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	78	93¢	$72	0xd03813…
06-10 16:24:30	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x50eb94…
06-10 16:02:58	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6be19b…
06-10 15:52:10	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb14af7…
06-10 15:51:09	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x1e4d1a…
06-10 15:48:42	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xe4b745…
06-10 15:47:37	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	21	78¢	$17	0x1a825b…
06-10 15:36:06	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0x2a8653…
06-10 15:28:25	wti closes above 88 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3ef5f0…
06-10 04:49:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x1605c3…
06-10 04:43:42	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	441	79¢	$350	0xacd5b2…
06-10 01:28:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	621	100¢	$620	0x7b622e…
06-09 21:53:06	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x2a4e8c…
06-09 21:32:09	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x16107a…
06-09 21:28:09	wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x58f430…
06-09 21:27:58	wti closes above 86 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x059e2a…
06-09 15:48:52	wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x8b3b06…
06-09 15:48:30	wti closes above 86 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xabcb83…
06-09 15:47:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	197	87¢	$171	0x384b80…
06-07 15:41:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xff327d…
06-07 15:39:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	134	97¢	$129	0x15a596…
06-07 03:36:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x73cb22…
06-07 03:29:51	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x9cbd01…
06-07 03:29:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x6688d7…
06-07 03:23:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	89	84¢	$75	0xe56c22…
06-07 03:22:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xb09a2d…
06-07 03:21:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	282	85¢	$240	0x0e9c9a…
06-07 03:19:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x51d078…
06-06 06:56:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0x78ccec…
06-06 06:56:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0x80c160…
06-06 04:01:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x60e6ed…
06-06 04:00:19	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	31¢	$11	0x71e1ee…
06-06 03:35:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x0a8db3…
06-05 21:23:22	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x13a45e…
06-05 21:23:07	wti closes above 90 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xccd00c…
06-05 14:16:30	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x83ac24…
06-05 14:16:12	wti closes above 90 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x99f0fd…
06-05 14:14:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x442842…
06-05 01:18:19	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc3ea75…
06-05 01:11:54	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x52b123…
06-05 01:11:45	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xb82009…
06-04 21:50:09	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1f74a6…
06-04 21:24:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x713ba0…
06-04 21:23:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0xff467c…
06-04 21:02:31	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x702641…
06-04 21:02:18	wti closes above 91 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x115aa7…
06-04 21:02:00	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x6fdc3d…
06-04 20:49:00	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfdb1f3…
06-04 20:47:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	95¢	$83	0xd967bc…
06-04 15:31:46	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x16f2c5…
06-04 15:31:09	wti closes above 91 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x1f0cb6…
06-04 15:30:48	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x21aecb…
06-04 01:19:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb1a3d5…
06-03 21:24:06	wti closes above 96 on june 3 2026	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x69be93…
06-03 21:07:51	wti closes above 95 on june 3 2026	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x7e5217…
06-03 18:22:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x12c6dc…
06-03 18:21:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x8ead88…
06-03 18:21:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x734cc7…
06-03 18:19:13	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	89	84¢	$75	0x3093ff…
06-03 18:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb074f3…
06-03 18:14:33	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xf6323c…
06-03 18:12:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xc61574…
06-03 18:03:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xfc8d99…
06-03 18:02:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	405	96¢	$390	0x1cc40b…
06-03 18:01:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xcc5456…
06-03 18:01:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xf2f4a6…
06-03 13:02:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x803009…
06-03 13:02:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x734540…
06-03 13:01:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0x86614a…
06-03 13:01:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbd8dcc…
06-03 13:00:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0x0c46a3…
06-03 02:01:47	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xd9aa82…
06-02 21:21:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x301773…
06-02 18:09:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x077a72…