Uncommon-Orange — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-11 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% $-1

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$949	530	1,236	-706	open	—	05-23 22:02
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$561	350	350	+0	open	—	02-26 05:39
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	1	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	02-12 20:59
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 1pt5	17	$463	350	350	+0	open	—	02-17 21:40
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	1	$446	768	0	+768	open	—	05-24 18:13
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 total 1pt5	2	$417	217	217	+0	open	—	01-25 17:16
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$373	400	0	+400	open	—	02-27 17:17
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$300	311	0	+311	open	—	02-01 16:39
will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	4	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	04-02 16:13
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	7	$272	287	0	+287	open	—	02-20 08:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	9	$238	220	220	+0	open	—	04-03 08:21
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	5	$222	205	54	+151	open	—	04-08 19:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$222	234	0	+234	open	—	01-31 10:06
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 total 1pt5	2	$219	119	119	+0	open	—	01-24 18:13
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 total 1pt5	2	$211	109	109	+0	open	—	01-28 22:03
epl bre not 2026 01 25 total 4pt5	2	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	01-25 16:09
ucl gal atm 2026 01 21 total 1pt5	2	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	01-21 18:15
uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	6	$205	230	0	+230	open	—	04-01 17:24
epl bur tot 2026 01 24 total 4pt5	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	01-24 16:59
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 total 1pt5	3	$201	230	0	+230	open	—	03-22 13:19
epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	04-12 16:40
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$195	200	0	+200	open	—	02-24 18:45
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	04-25 19:53
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	5	$186	128	128	+0	open	—	03-15 18:06
epl mac not 2026 03 04 total 4pt5	2	$179	112	112	+0	open	—	03-04 21:21
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 18:28
will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	5	$152	179	60	+119	open	—	06-10 14:53
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 total 1pt5	4	$131	160	0	+160	open	—	03-10 12:12
epl mac new 2026 02 21 total 1pt5	5	$129	150	0	+150	open	—	02-20 20:58
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	4	$124	318	300	+18	open	—	04-27 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:13:48	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x26ac35…
06-10 19:13:09	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x61d296…
06-10 18:08:06	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	Yes	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0xcf8bc3…
06-10 14:53:55	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x7df4c8…
06-10 14:46:04	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x176772…
06-10 14:43:54	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xa52ccf…
06-10 14:33:24	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xda9abc…
06-10 08:46:07	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x079724…
06-09 18:25:25	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0x222ff9…
06-09 17:50:43	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	59	65¢	$39	0x7552db…
05-26 12:42:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x9749d6…
05-24 18:13:39	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	Yes	BUY	768	58¢	$446	0xc5dcb3…
05-23 22:02:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	816	54¢	$443	0xc073d1…
05-23 21:41:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	330	54¢	$180	0x11c6d8…
05-23 11:49:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	410	53¢	$216	0x500797…
05-23 10:54:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$105	0xf695af…
05-23 07:49:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x6a314d…
05-18 20:11:56	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xc4d5da…
05-14 19:54:50	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x233575…
05-13 19:18:55	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x57cfd2…
05-12 15:07:51	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x305794…
05-10 19:03:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbc96d4…
05-06 18:38:51	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xcab2d5…
05-06 18:29:03	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x53e6a3…
05-03 15:55:52	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x509b95…
04-29 19:45:22	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa1297a…
04-29 19:19:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc33491…
04-27 14:52:32	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xf58aa0…
04-27 14:35:32	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x10c15b…
04-27 14:34:36	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xbca6ba…
04-27 14:31:24	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	BUY	318	20¢	$64	0xd9a5d1…
04-27 13:00:16	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe2b2db…
04-25 19:53:54	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xffb09b…
04-22 20:25:30	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x15ba4e…
04-22 19:18:50	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x10bf5b…
04-22 11:28:38	will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6ac40e…
04-21 20:12:56	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x17f88c…
04-20 14:12:44	will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x05435f…
04-18 20:03:12	epl che mun 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x209912…
04-18 17:17:28	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0xca3995…
04-18 17:17:28	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x78e896…
04-15 03:36:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf55caf…
04-14 03:00:31	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3e2eed…
04-12 16:44:15	epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xd51cb9…
04-12 16:40:13	epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x941c9c…
04-12 15:48:51	epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x135c77…
04-12 14:35:07	epl sun tot 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x692139…
04-11 18:27:15	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa57189…
04-11 16:48:49	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6abf9f…
04-10 11:24:25	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xce5016…
04-09 17:23:01	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x32d499…
04-08 19:55:45	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	54	87¢	$47	0xc64584…
04-08 19:19:59	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x7399ea…
04-08 19:19:49	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x1bc0e4…
04-08 19:16:47	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xa51f70…
04-08 19:15:01	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x68aef8…
04-08 12:32:17	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x348b0a…
04-08 10:30:39	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1e934f…
04-08 05:46:27	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	85	10¢	$8	0x560187…
04-08 02:51:03	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xc010ff…
04-08 01:51:03	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf1258f…
04-07 20:04:19	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x93b3a3…
04-07 19:21:13	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x82fccb…
04-07 17:56:57	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0x647492…
04-07 17:38:43	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x27904e…
04-07 17:03:45	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x37e227…
04-06 10:20:59	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x4bfda6…
04-04 18:28:11	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd63cf9…
04-04 18:12:23	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0e2050…
04-04 14:40:13	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9c9645…
04-04 13:40:57	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x26ae22…
04-04 12:46:29	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8e6460…
04-03 08:56:25	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x482d52…
04-03 08:21:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	SELL	220	29¢	$64	0x511115…
04-03 04:22:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xcd22cd…
04-03 03:13:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x6c922d…
04-03 03:12:35	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0xb4094b…
04-03 03:08:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xab03cc…
04-02 16:13:45	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	Yes	SELL	73	89¢	$65	0x3b7fbc…
04-02 15:52:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xd1bc93…
04-02 15:04:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xb4dc4a…
04-02 14:30:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7c2628…
04-02 14:30:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x3b70ff…
04-02 14:26:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x073019…
04-01 17:24:51	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0xcf93b7…
04-01 17:24:49	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x617dbd…
04-01 17:24:45	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xcc49b5…
04-01 17:24:41	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2a0e30…
04-01 17:24:25	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x760e6a…
04-01 16:56:21	uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x900fe9…
04-01 16:19:39	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	Yes	SELL	77	93¢	$72	0xc50fa0…
04-01 13:43:29	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x863942…
04-01 13:21:05	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x1e2e73…
04-01 13:10:05	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0x4739df…
04-01 12:22:47	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3cf23f…
04-01 12:20:41	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1c383a…
04-01 09:36:57	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x56ab29…
04-01 09:25:47	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xf9183a…
04-01 03:03:45	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x4256d2…
04-01 03:03:37	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x85d6fc…