Turbulent-Beef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$393

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$507.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.76K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-14 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% — —

Politics

32% 100% +$393

Other

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$51.1K	26,559	26,559	+0	open	—	03-25 09:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	7	$41.4K	24,219	24,219	+0	open	—	05-23 00:05
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$40.2K	20,297	20,297	+0	open	—	03-14 03:19
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$26.1K	26,490	0	+26,490	open	—	03-27 08:36
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 19	1	$25.0K	25,064	0	+25,064	open	—	03-19 22:55
bitcoin above 66k on april 12	1	$25.0K	25,036	0	+25,036	open	—	04-12 03:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$25.0K	25,025	0	+25,025	open	—	03-04 19:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$20.7K	10,792	10,738	+54	open	—	04-26 17:15
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$20.0K	20,265	0	+20,265	open	—	03-05 15:15
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$20.0K	20,021	0	+20,021	open	—	02-28 02:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$17.8K	23,840	0	+23,840	open	—	05-17 23:50
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	1	$16.5K	16,525	0	+16,525	open	—	03-02 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$15.2K	15,648	7,824	+7,824	open	—	05-25 12:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$15.0K	18,751	0	+18,751	open	—	04-14 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$14.8K	10,741	10,741	+0	open	—	05-25 12:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$12.0K	13,932	13,932	+0	open	—	06-14 21:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	5	$10.7K	11,962	11,962	+0	open	—	04-25 12:40
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$10.6K	5,565	5,565	+0	open	—	06-11 23:37
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$10.3K	6,038	6,038	+0	open	—	06-13 18:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$9.6K	5,243	5,243	+0	open	—	02-27 02:12
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	27	$8.9K	7,421	7,421	+0	open	—	06-12 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$8.8K	5,952	5,952	+0	open	—	06-14 21:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$7.5K	7,407	7,407	+0	open	—	06-12 03:58
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	2	$6.8K	5,495	5,495	+0	open	—	02-18 17:55
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,321	0	+5,321	open	—	04-26 23:34
mwoh fin swi 2026 02 18	1	$5.0K	5,086	0	+5,086	open	—	02-18 19:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$5.0K	6,271	0	+6,271	open	—	06-06 22:53
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	02-11 05:14
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$4.1K	2,962	2,962	+0	open	—	06-13 18:26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$3.3K	2,354	2,354	+0	open	—	06-12 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:43:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,952	64¢	$3,830	0xfcfc6d…
06-14 21:42:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13,932	15¢	$2,044	0x5912d6…
06-13 18:26:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2,962	70¢	$2,073	0x9c2e20…
06-13 18:26:00	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	6,038	87¢	$5,271	0xd52b88…
06-12 08:45:33	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3,711	55¢	$2,033	0x4ad6fc…
06-12 06:16:06	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3,091	54¢	$1,669	0x80a603…
06-12 06:16:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8f5cad…
06-12 06:16:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x6eb578…
06-12 06:16:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x44139e…
06-12 06:16:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x308fa8…
06-12 06:16:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x2e7e78…
06-12 06:16:03	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	182	54¢	$98	0xd4e8fd…
06-12 06:16:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa70755…
06-12 06:16:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x85f79d…
06-12 06:16:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x84dd75…
06-12 06:16:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x84608d…
06-12 06:16:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x4f0e4a…
06-12 06:15:57	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x40f03f…
06-12 06:15:57	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2ee900…
06-12 06:15:36	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xccc21d…
06-12 06:15:34	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xe112c5…
06-12 06:15:34	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc00bca…
06-12 06:15:34	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	182	54¢	$98	0x4e821f…
06-12 06:15:33	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0587cf…
06-12 06:15:31	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x5cf369…
06-12 06:10:28	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x1c633b…
06-12 06:10:25	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0xf17c7c…
06-12 05:46:42	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	93	54¢	$50	0x79e53e…
06-12 05:44:27	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	93	54¢	$50	0x91c906…
06-12 05:41:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x1bbd67…
06-12 03:58:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,738	34¢	$931	0x94511b…
06-12 03:58:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,490	34¢	$507	0x57ab09…
06-12 03:58:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,178	34¢	$1,081	0xce5576…
06-12 02:16:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	469	57¢	$267	0xb53bde…
06-12 02:14:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,885	57¢	$1,075	0xa51ac3…
06-11 23:38:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,353	68¢	$5,000	0x6029fd…
06-11 23:37:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5,565	100¢	$5,559	0xe3abd6…
06-10 23:28:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2,354	85¢	$2,000	0xf22ce5…
06-07 20:57:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,565	90¢	$5,000	0x8f8920…
06-06 22:53:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	6,271	79¢	$4,954	0x92e9f4…
06-06 17:40:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,962	67¢	$1,992	0xbbc134…
06-06 16:23:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,407	68¢	$5,000	0x45a22b…
06-06 07:43:39	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	7,421	66¢	$4,904	0x47644f…
06-05 02:19:25	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6,038	83¢	$5,000	0x874247…
06-05 02:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,952	84¢	$5,000	0x963875…
06-05 02:18:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,579	76¢	$5,000	0xafc6da…
06-02 14:19:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,167	1¢	$25	0xf31267…
05-25 12:07:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,824	67¢	$5,207	0xb7bde9…
05-25 12:07:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10,741	91¢	$9,775	0x006af5…
05-24 08:17:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,648	64¢	$10,000	0x1e7f8f…
05-23 23:28:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10,741	47¢	$5,000	0xe50152…
05-23 00:05:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	7,453	82¢	$6,111	0x2d6cdc…
05-17 23:50:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	15,294	85¢	$13,000	0xe1e76a…
05-16 07:04:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x6faea9…
05-16 07:04:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x405ad2…
05-16 07:04:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	16,509	84¢	$13,868	0xb11df2…
05-16 07:04:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4a414e…
05-16 07:04:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	247	84¢	$208	0x0b10c7…
05-11 08:38:21	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xb3f6e1…
05-11 08:37:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x888eb6…
05-10 17:57:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	24,219	88¢	$21,247	0x7abad4…
05-08 04:39:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	8,546	56¢	$4,826	0x2bc812…
05-08 04:13:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,235	97¢	$1,196	0x5a2810…
05-08 04:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,083	72¢	$1,500	0x92e431…
05-08 03:55:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,136	95¢	$1,077	0x1b9b52…
05-08 03:20:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1,844	9¢	$173	0xb623bc…
05-02 20:06:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x8934b6…
05-02 01:25:20	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3,331	2¢	$63	0x5ce9b7…
05-02 01:22:12	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xf14ae0…
05-02 00:18:34	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3,334	3¢	$100	0x293dbf…
05-01 06:55:10	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,180	90¢	$1,068	0x1f53d3…
04-30 23:07:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	616	73¢	$450	0x8d3b6f…
04-30 17:48:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,844	54¢	$1,000	0x7a90dd…
04-30 07:53:42	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1,180	85¢	$1,000	0xa94c12…
04-30 04:36:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,053	99¢	$1,039	0x69e691…
04-29 18:45:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	1,477	93¢	$1,374	0xfe6135…
04-29 06:11:12	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	1,477	68¢	$1,000	0xe9b16b…
04-28 22:33:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	1,015	98¢	$1,000	0x1b7011…
04-28 22:26:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xd0467d…
04-28 19:29:02	will elon musk testify against altman	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x35bd52…
04-28 19:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0xcd0e95…
04-28 16:43:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,099	98¢	$1,078	0xf7ebbf…
04-28 05:59:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,714	60¢	$1,029	0x4affe2…
04-28 02:20:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x29ecdb…
04-28 02:20:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,714	58¢	$1,000	0x7ff017…
04-27 22:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$15	0x18ac10…
04-27 06:55:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xb5153d…
04-27 06:49:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$20	0x0faaab…
04-27 01:11:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0xbe8517…
04-26 23:34:10	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,321	94¢	$5,000	0x8b4952…
04-26 17:15:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	10,738	100¢	$10,695	0xc95a8f…
04-25 12:40:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7,647	48¢	$3,670	0xbf6d37…
04-25 12:31:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xfa00e3…
04-25 12:30:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	4,242	48¢	$2,036	0x4e92c9…
04-25 10:44:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	64	48¢	$31	0x901cc7…
04-25 09:26:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11,962	42¢	$5,002	0x3917de…
04-14 18:41:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	10,792	93¢	$10,037	0x0b9632…
04-14 18:40:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	18,751	80¢	$15,000	0xf4b1c2…
04-12 03:32:29	bitcoin above 66k on april 12	Yes	BUY	25,036	100¢	$25,011	0x8d130a…
04-07 21:13:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	507	22¢	$112	0xc62747…