Sugary-Donation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$300

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-13 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	-1	$-1	76¢	$-1	+$0	06-02 07:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	-1	$-0	64¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 09:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	-1	$-1	36¢	$-0	+$0	06-11 09:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-14 06:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 06:28
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	01-14 03:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 07:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 08:55
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:28
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:31
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-25 05:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 09:26
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 08:07
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 07:36
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:07
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 2 and 3	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 08:42
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 8c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 07:11
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 130 159	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 03:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:51
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:17
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 06:42
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 07:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-12 03:24
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 03:49
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 06:05
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 09:03
will oman strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 09:28:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xea7902…
06-12 09:41:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x93de19…
06-12 09:29:04	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa468cb…
06-12 09:10:18	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cc759…
06-12 09:02:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8273f6…
06-11 09:47:36	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb23967…
06-11 09:34:13	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc6bb4…
06-11 09:21:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x95ca0c…
06-11 09:21:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd51a0c…
06-09 06:31:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x88cc9e…
06-09 06:16:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x117bbd…
06-09 06:09:40	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x21f735…
06-09 04:33:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbe6cd1…
06-09 04:26:51	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x18ca59…
06-08 06:10:27	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x42b0c4…
06-08 06:09:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x681d51…
06-08 04:30:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x170d72…
06-08 04:27:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb111d5…
06-06 08:55:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2031f6…
06-06 08:41:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x61fae7…
06-05 08:10:12	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x002411…
06-05 08:08:55	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9d800d…
06-05 07:47:10	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6da0ee…
06-05 07:43:48	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e485c…
06-04 08:47:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6fe9e0…
06-04 08:43:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdd6ac2…
06-04 08:18:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34a40f…
06-04 08:12:37	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6ef380…
06-03 08:31:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8cb74d…
06-03 08:13:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x179978…
06-02 07:49:35	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa7acb9…
06-02 07:48:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x490926…
06-01 08:55:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc99290…
06-01 08:54:47	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaad90a…
06-01 08:41:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8d77f2…
06-01 08:38:22	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca8a32…
05-30 08:37:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0352d…
05-30 08:35:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x45855f…
05-30 08:20:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0926a7…
05-30 08:14:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb778a2…
05-29 07:17:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbfa9f4…
05-29 07:15:18	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcfa9e6…
05-29 07:04:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x00205b…
05-29 06:56:24	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf94ced…
05-28 08:17:28	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x92c42e…
05-28 08:01:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47d4ac…
05-26 07:28:59	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8da51b…
05-26 07:27:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb1713d…
05-26 07:18:48	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf8e45d…
05-26 07:10:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf66012…
05-25 07:17:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x289e61…
05-23 07:56:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10a9b2…
05-23 07:31:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1cffac…
05-22 09:46:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x321603…
05-22 09:45:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9306ab…
05-22 09:30:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae77a9…
05-21 08:57:02	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x00742a…
05-20 08:11:56	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa74610…
05-20 08:08:27	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x199573…
05-20 08:07:10	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1ff2be…
05-19 07:35:04	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5d5b4…
05-19 07:29:07	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x90c394…
05-18 09:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2836b3…
05-18 09:31:33	Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfd47fa…
05-18 09:26:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb7a66…
05-18 09:17:59	Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x41716a…
05-18 09:13:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd842be…
05-16 07:53:48	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x735565…
05-16 07:44:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x324180…
05-15 07:51:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9af2c0…
05-15 07:48:18	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb3d8c1…
05-15 07:41:53	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x029460…
05-15 07:28:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xade421…
05-14 07:38:57	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xeb04b8…
05-14 07:38:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3b970…
05-14 07:36:48	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x27cb81…
05-14 07:30:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94a469…
05-14 07:19:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x475fd7…
05-13 09:07:31	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x06910b…
05-13 08:54:20	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f3d28…
05-13 08:51:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd50ad6…
05-13 08:48:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0b6540…
05-13 08:44:53	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0cc922…
05-09 07:29:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xce84b8…
05-09 07:16:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x58f1e8…
05-07 06:52:34	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6e78c4…
05-07 06:44:41	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdee4ab…
05-06 07:24:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c43c6…
05-06 07:23:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1eb5ad…
05-06 07:09:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ea040…
05-06 07:06:58	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd81dd6…
05-04 06:49:46	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x87b80d…
05-04 06:49:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6db1c1…
05-04 06:39:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc0017a…
04-30 08:07:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcb2af1…
04-30 08:03:44	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7f9714…
04-30 07:55:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d212d…
04-30 07:50:24	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5da25f…
04-29 08:13:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08d80e…
04-29 08:13:06	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdc0e7a…