Primary-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

193

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-08 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 63% -$26

Other

27% 52% +$2

Politics

10% 27% -$38

Sports

6% 27% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	04-29 20:19
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	3	$56	31	31	+0	EDward Gaming	+$6	04-30 15:06
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	9	$42	58	58	+0	No	-$18	04-29 12:38
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$39	30	30	+0	No	-$1	05-05 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$35	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	04-28 20:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	7	$32	100	100	+0	No	-$6	05-05 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	04-28 22:30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$29	19	19	+0	LGD Gaming	+$9	04-30 11:57
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$28	24	24	+0	Pistons	+$8	05-02 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$26	29	15	+14	Down	-$4	04-30 12:29
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	2	$26	16	16	+0	Sentinels	+$6	04-29 22:13
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrino	9	$26	34	23	+10	Roman Andres Burruchaga	-$10	04-30 18:19
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	5	$25	32	32	+0	No	-$7	05-05 20:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$13	04-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	04-28 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 20:55
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$20	11	11	+0	Dplus KIA	+$0	04-30 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 20:35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	3	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	05-05 14:38
Spezia Calcio vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$6	05-01 14:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$19	38	38	+0	No	-$1	05-01 13:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$19	32	32	+0	open	—	05-02 21:50
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	04-27 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 11:31:34	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x24a68a…
05-08 10:44:03	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x5d1065…
05-08 10:44:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4734f3…
05-07 16:40:13	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0a9c71…
05-05 20:31:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8c44a4…
05-05 20:30:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x52fd47…
05-05 20:30:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0x029ed0…
05-05 14:55:58	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x40c1ae…
05-05 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc03466…
05-05 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9604a6…
05-05 14:48:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x659c9c…
05-05 14:48:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x596069…
05-05 14:46:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x4ef9ba…
05-05 14:38:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xc3d128…
05-05 14:38:20	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x2b6967…
05-05 14:38:18	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xeeb311…
05-05 14:24:12	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa6db87…
05-05 14:23:46	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf92872…
05-05 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x18e17a…
05-05 13:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x807124…
05-05 13:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dd302…
05-05 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb6831e…
05-05 12:00:50	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62e2d5…
05-05 11:58:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x9e217e…
05-05 11:57:02	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x941cc2…
05-05 11:56:00	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1973f1…
05-05 11:55:54	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa15dd8…
05-05 11:54:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5c7439…
05-05 10:42:20	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x3d28e2…
05-05 01:51:22	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xa18008…
05-05 01:27:46	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x45231f…
05-05 01:22:32	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9ca690…
05-05 01:16:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0xe01843…
05-05 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6b2747…
05-05 00:24:30	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8e5eb8…
05-04 22:59:26	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x171c67…
05-04 22:54:38	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x02e50d…
05-04 22:53:54	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4709ee…
05-04 22:51:40	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa61e9d…
05-04 22:45:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8d569f…
05-03 19:04:50	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x3849ce…
05-03 19:03:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x842775…
05-03 17:23:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa48a69…
05-03 17:23:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x321a40…
05-03 17:22:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	82	12¢	$10	0x13b9c5…
05-03 02:49:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9fad33…
05-03 02:49:32	LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	INTZ e-Sports	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x23f80b…
05-03 02:46:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb9c519…
05-03 02:46:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1f01eb…
05-03 02:32:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2c6637…
05-03 01:02:44	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x3b9282…
05-02 23:44:20	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf6f3e4…
05-02 23:43:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe77971…
05-02 23:41:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x96733e…
05-02 23:36:22	LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	INTZ e-Sports	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0c88d8…
05-02 23:27:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x438cec…
05-02 23:27:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbb0cf4…
05-02 22:08:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c8f06…
05-02 22:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb58d8d…
05-02 22:07:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc140a4…
05-02 21:50:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x7e7737…
05-02 21:50:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0x56c68b…
05-02 15:33:16	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x513708…
05-02 15:28:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0x05a908…
05-02 15:27:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x35ff01…
05-02 15:20:32	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x16c2aa…
05-02 11:41:38	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa5fc0c…
05-02 11:40:24	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1b562a…
05-02 11:39:10	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6d425f…
05-02 11:31:44	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x98f071…
05-02 11:30:30	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc421e2…
05-02 11:27:02	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5137c0…
05-02 11:25:22	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa13abf…
05-02 11:23:16	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6d434d…
05-02 11:20:24	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x00ab6e…
05-02 11:15:52	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x532198…
05-02 11:14:44	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb11a38…
05-02 11:10:36	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe2016b…
05-02 11:10:24	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1bb67e…
05-02 11:09:46	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7fffb…
05-02 11:08:30	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x96cdb2…
05-02 03:57:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x48f348…
05-02 03:45:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd6d920…
05-02 03:42:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xcd187c…
05-02 03:40:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x8c11a8…
05-02 03:40:06	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x193d12…
05-02 03:26:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc4f8e3…
05-02 03:24:06	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1b5720…
05-02 01:20:44	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xcb64d4…
05-02 01:18:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x2d8c80…
05-02 01:06:36	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x64e796…
05-02 01:05:24	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xb96e6c…
05-01 15:10:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xce2d8f…
05-01 15:10:24	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x142c1b…
05-01 15:08:22	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc0a79f…
05-01 14:42:06	Spezia Calcio vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x50c4ca…
05-01 13:38:16	Spezia Calcio vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8e326b…
05-01 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b154c…
05-01 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfa6f13…
05-01 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaf77f6…