Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

427 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$20.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 08-17 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

60% 75% +$121

Politics

20% 18% -$179

Sports

11% 31% -$117

Tech

5% 50% +$57

Crypto

4% 69% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	24	$1.3K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	08-16 05:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$1.2K	1,254	1,254	+0	No	-$21	08-12 00:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$868	726	726	+0	Yes	-$10	08-11 02:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$705	655	655	+0	Yes	-$15	08-15 20:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$680	777	777	+0	Yes	+$16	07-24 22:25
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	12	$616	729	729	+0	Yes	-$19	08-05 04:04
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	10	$553	592	592	+0	Yes	-$7	08-05 19:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	12	$516	616	616	+0	open	—	08-16 13:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$436	478	478	+0	open	—	07-30 02:21
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$344	316	316	+0	Yes	-$2	07-14 02:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$260	296	296	+0	open	—	08-05 02:14
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$248	336	336	+0	No	-$4	07-09 14:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$243	287	287	+0	open	—	07-26 12:05
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	4	$240	184	184	+0	Yes	+$6	07-22 20:02
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	4	$214	275	275	+0	No	+$8	07-26 23:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	4	$212	221	221	+0	No	-$12	07-27 14:23
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	4	$204	206	206	+0	cancelled	-$2	07-27 02:05
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	4	$203	274	274	+0	open	—	07-19 15:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$200	219	219	+0	Yes	-$15	07-21 07:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$198	225	225	+0	Yes	+$2	07-30 02:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	4	$196	277	277	+0	No	-$1	07-25 17:44
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	2	$190	172	172	+0	Yes	+$59	07-23 10:21
will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	3	$178	169	86	+82	No	+$17	08-08 18:21
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	4	$167	165	165	+0	cancelled	-$2	07-26 23:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	3	$155	116	51	+65	Yes	+$5	07-22 14:09
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	2	$145	144	144	+0	Yes	+$33	08-14 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 22?	2	$130	72	72	+0	No	+$9	07-22 03:16
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	2	$126	132	132	+0	open	—	07-08 03:47
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$125	111	111	+0	No	-$6	08-06 18:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$125	156	156	+0	open	—	07-23 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 23:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x465744…
08-17 22:51:57	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x971097…
08-17 14:55:36	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17 points gabby williams 12pt5	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x8c4a0e…
08-17 01:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	56	83¢	$47	0xe62f2b…
08-17 01:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x3fd420…
08-17 01:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0x486f63…
08-17 01:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x3dddf1…
08-16 22:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	58	89¢	$51	0xfd65fc…
08-16 21:43:06	val c9 eg2 2026 08 16 game3 round total 20pt5	Over	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0xaf8709…
08-16 19:50:15	mlb mil lad 2026 08 16 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x3041fb…
08-16 16:07:46	mlb nyy tor 2026 08 16 extra innings	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x04108d…
08-16 13:54:13	val ff3 jl 2026 08 16 game3 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xdca57b…
08-16 13:52:37	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	120	47¢	$56	0xc9ff8a…
08-16 05:44:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	129	44¢	$57	0xf55ade…
08-15 21:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0x8fd537…
08-15 20:24:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	45¢	$46	0x115e2f…
08-15 19:13:36	lol t1 gen 2026 08 16 game2 first blood	T1	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x9ed8c4…
08-15 17:58:49	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0x77fbff…
08-15 16:12:27	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	138	44¢	$61	0x41ef45…
08-15 16:12:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	129	47¢	$61	0x7805eb…
08-15 15:32:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0x1d840f…
08-15 12:41:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	45¢	$49	0x05932a…
08-15 09:03:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	114	40¢	$46	0x4ba57e…
08-15 06:24:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	72	61¢	$44	0xe245d5…
08-15 01:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xd4f2b6…
08-15 01:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$47	0x744c27…
08-14 23:47:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	114	41¢	$47	0xbcc91b…
08-14 21:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x6c7a62…
08-14 15:43:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	72	65¢	$47	0x99741a…
08-14 13:37:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x2495a7…
08-14 07:35:16	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	144	62¢	$89	0xe6115a…
08-13 13:25:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	144	39¢	$56	0x4d99c8…
08-13 11:31:34	will trump say crime 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234680	No	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x21efe7…
08-12 21:42:13	will trump say crime 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234680	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x16234e…
08-12 21:31:31	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xac05d5…
08-12 00:53:43	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	77	61¢	$47	0xa2e5aa…
08-12 00:25:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	59¢	$65	0x0b46bf…
08-11 13:24:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	59¢	$65	0x3114c4…
08-11 02:48:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	63¢	$60	0x84b1c1…
08-10 13:20:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0xc17541…
08-10 08:54:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	136	48¢	$65	0x981f89…
08-10 01:10:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	48¢	$65	0x807ab4…
08-10 00:58:40	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	128	44¢	$56	0x8c75a5…
08-09 13:24:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	128	44¢	$56	0xd46737…
08-09 03:23:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	54¢	$50	0x3bed22…
08-08 18:21:52	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x435ed0…
08-08 15:03:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	55¢	$51	0x7d1f24…
08-08 14:09:57	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	No	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0xd88c4e…
08-08 11:32:30	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	148	19¢	$28	0xfb9a13…
08-08 05:04:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	89	62¢	$55	0xfa92b5…
08-08 00:24:52	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0x3bdbff…
08-07 23:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0x5a1ca3…
08-07 14:27:39	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	148	38¢	$56	0xc91256…
08-07 14:04:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0x6a0ea6…
08-07 13:17:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	69	88¢	$61	0xfb197e…
08-07 07:06:58	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	86	65¢	$56	0x16ab0e…
08-07 01:32:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	102	45¢	$46	0x05e982…
08-06 19:00:12	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0x47fabb…
08-06 18:03:02	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	111	54¢	$60	0x724844…
08-06 15:44:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0x35c286…
08-06 13:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	69	88¢	$61	0x6a45ad…
08-06 13:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x3ee0a3…
08-06 02:56:06	lol drx dnf 2026 08 06 game1 first blood	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x4ce32a…
08-05 23:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0x41d598…
08-05 19:15:42	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	111	59¢	$65	0x915dca…
08-05 19:07:44	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	78	57¢	$44	0x2ba99c…
08-05 18:27:24	Will Arsenal FC vs. Real Betis Seville end in a draw?	No	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0xde4c62…
08-05 13:25:42	Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	BUY	161	41¢	$65	0x375fc0…
08-05 04:04:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	114	48¢	$55	0x14c9af…
08-05 02:26:11	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	49¢	$56	0x593e06…
08-05 02:14:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	109	60¢	$65	0x55a2c4…
08-05 00:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x84b506…
08-04 23:51:36	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xc3c4c0…
08-04 19:47:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	109	60¢	$65	0x84e1a9…
08-04 19:12:23	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	60¢	$47	0x6da3c6…
08-04 18:18:41	wti closes above 78 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xee7138…
08-04 16:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	74	89¢	$65	0x4c3e7d…
08-04 15:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0xaccd04…
07-30 02:21:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	112	48¢	$54	0xfab411…
07-30 02:21:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	106	53¢	$57	0x1e9f3c…
07-27 21:36:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	80	82¢	$65	0x56a916…
07-27 17:06:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	111	46¢	$51	0x774c10…
07-27 15:41:54	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	139	47¢	$65	0x80e1f6…
07-27 15:11:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0x4c91cd…
07-27 14:27:21	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	114	45¢	$51	0xac43a1…
07-27 14:23:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	102	49¢	$50	0x520e89…
07-27 14:21:27	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	Yes	BUY	69	75¢	$51	0x5bbf4b…
07-27 05:40:52	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	SELL	99	50¢	$49	0x557cef…
07-27 02:54:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	102	55¢	$56	0x78fb02…
07-27 02:05:37	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	103	49¢	$50	0x7cff34…
07-27 01:48:49	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0xab0e84…
07-27 00:35:39	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	99	52¢	$51	0xb324aa…
07-26 23:55:46	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	112	50¢	$56	0xfd9879…
07-26 23:29:22	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	119	50¢	$60	0xc0cad1…
07-26 23:26:43	Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	SELL	132	44¢	$58	0xfcc759…
07-26 19:46:15	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	112	50¢	$56	0x1c440d…
07-26 18:09:24	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26 f5 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0xf72616…
07-26 16:28:51	Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	BUY	132	39¢	$51	0x6f4663…
07-26 15:27:07	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	119	51¢	$61	0x8afdc6…
07-26 13:27:00	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	103	50¢	$51	0x829d2e…