Junior-Thistle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.33K

Unrealized P&L

+$120

Hit rate

21.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,526

lifetime

Volume

$134.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$2.62K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-60

Politics

48% 25% $-2,272

Sports

4% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,000	55¢	$1.1K	+$90	06-04 18:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	+1,000	$900	94¢	$935	+$35	06-06 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$490	46¢	$455	$-35	06-06 12:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+400	$100	32¢	$130	+$30	06-08 22:37
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	+21	$13	62¢	$13	+$0	06-09 14:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	77	$16.5K	14,320	12,420	+1,900	Yes	$-387	05-08 18:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	247	$13.8K	80,508	66,932	+13,577	open	—	04-28 10:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	49	$9.2K	11,023	11,009	+14	open	—	04-28 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	32	$7.9K	14,580	11,880	+2,700	open	—	04-30 15:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	18	$7.1K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	05-06 15:36
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	31	$5.5K	4,966	6,698	-1,732	open	—	05-23 22:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	18	$5.0K	3,100	3,100	+0	Yes	+$255	04-09 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$4.5K	8,033	3,033	+5,000	open	—	05-25 22:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	36	$3.8K	2,837	3,222	-385	open	—	04-21 22:41
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	22	$3.4K	3,653	0	+3,653	open	—	04-11 23:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	6	$3.1K	1,900	1,400	+500	open	—	04-16 18:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	25	$2.9K	4,075	4,075	+0	open	—	04-08 16:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-22 15:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	5	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-16 19:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	20	$2.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-12 11:24
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva	11	$1.8K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-30 15:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$1.7K	1,723	200	+1,523	open	—	05-01 20:12
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	35	$1.7K	17,274	14,745	+2,529	open	—	01-31 05:09
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	18	$1.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-10 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	44	$1.5K	16,350	16,550	-200	open	—	04-30 12:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	32	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-06 12:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.4K	861	861	+0	open	—	05-22 19:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.3K	2,450	1,250	+1,200	Yes	$-1,080	05-08 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	22	$1.3K	2,588	218	+2,370	Yes	$-1,061	05-08 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	04-29 17:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-09 14:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$1.2K	900	400	+500	open	—	04-08 20:37
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	39	$1.1K	800	789	+11	open	—	04-29 22:55
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	23	$1.1K	1,234	809	+425	open	—	04-26 01:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$1.1K	5,600	5,600	+0	open	—	04-01 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:13:07	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdf7a08…
06-09 08:50:27	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc37c31…
06-09 07:55:19	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe42455…
06-09 04:16:16	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc8571f…
06-08 22:37:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x9fe927…
06-08 00:06:51	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf97ae9…
06-06 14:31:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	964	90¢	$867	0xcecb7d…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xd0a8b3…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x82849f…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x7b06f2…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x552811…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0x27edd3…
06-06 12:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x08319d…
06-06 12:25:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	49¢	$57	0x7ebddb…
06-06 12:24:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xbc747e…
06-06 12:24:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0xb127cb…
06-06 12:24:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x607a60…
06-06 12:24:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x11464f…
06-06 12:10:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x3ebf3a…
06-06 11:57:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0xbcdb6c…
06-06 11:57:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	49¢	$46	0x10ecc4…
06-06 11:57:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	49¢	$58	0xe91218…
06-06 10:20:49	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x41254a…
06-05 22:19:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$33	0xf1192e…
06-04 18:31:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,773	50¢	$887	0xa5c2f7…
06-03 19:44:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaa78c4…
06-03 19:28:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6a5ef…
06-03 19:24:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce5b3f…
06-03 19:24:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x15c127…
06-03 16:12:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x511a75…
06-03 14:20:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xed02d7…
06-03 13:26:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xc83628…
06-03 13:26:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x9f463a…
06-03 13:03:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x509c97…
06-03 11:34:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x893317…
06-03 10:46:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2f5630…
06-03 10:22:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x87f5f3…
06-03 08:07:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x75e3ed…
06-03 07:49:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x358403…
06-03 06:45:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd22ea7…
06-03 06:36:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0xa1061d…
05-25 22:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$12	0xb1b660…
05-25 22:25:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3,990	2¢	$80	0x28878a…
05-25 22:25:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x06e13b…
05-25 22:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x44a689…
05-25 22:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	414	2¢	$8	0xed394d…
05-23 22:41:51	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	290	90¢	$261	0xea8f48…
05-23 22:41:51	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	446	90¢	$401	0x24e804…
05-23 22:41:42	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0092e9…
05-23 22:41:38	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x2c9d18…
05-23 22:41:33	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xabd934…
05-23 22:41:31	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xdfe955…
05-23 22:41:30	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0x5e9858…
05-23 22:31:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xeda4cc…
05-23 22:31:08	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x348a72…
05-23 22:31:05	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xce4ddc…
05-23 22:31:03	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	154	10¢	$15	0xa8f688…
05-23 22:31:00	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xbcb668…
05-23 22:30:56	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x9f1fbe…
05-23 22:30:54	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	1,283	10¢	$128	0x74ee42…
05-23 22:30:54	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x2b3d2c…
05-23 22:30:54	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x16f576…
05-23 22:30:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x389399…
05-23 22:30:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	950	10¢	$95	0x1865e9…
05-23 22:30:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x07ac21…
05-23 21:47:23	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	1,666	6¢	$100	0xe3b62c…
05-23 17:35:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf526db…
05-22 20:11:14	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0xc9c800…
05-22 20:06:29	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	598	92¢	$551	0xad5821…
05-22 20:06:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x9422e5…
05-22 20:02:10	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	1,413	92¢	$1,300	0x29b944…
05-22 19:58:37	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	763	92¢	$702	0xbeee8d…
05-22 19:56:43	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdd53bb…
05-22 19:45:05	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x82de4b…
05-22 19:43:46	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x810747…
05-22 19:43:44	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	904	92¢	$832	0x20602c…
05-22 19:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	861	82¢	$706	0x0276a3…
05-22 15:15:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x660bc2…
05-22 15:05:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	140	86¢	$120	0x702672…
05-22 14:59:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0x8ad0be…
05-22 14:52:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	121	86¢	$104	0xb9ce3a…
05-22 14:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,772	92¢	$1,631	0x434029…
05-22 14:49:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	105	92¢	$97	0x911932…
05-22 14:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	323	92¢	$298	0xb9cb3a…
05-22 13:23:38	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	700	75¢	$525	0x72b8bc…
05-22 13:19:56	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb19aef…
05-21 15:26:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x784b29…
05-21 14:55:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x1d30f5…
05-17 22:43:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0x0d9349…
05-17 22:36:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0x05acec…
05-17 22:35:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0x89b658…
05-17 22:33:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	653	2¢	$13	0x74402c…
05-13 18:21:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	875	1¢	$9	0x436556…
05-13 17:11:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x52b1e2…
05-10 02:39:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	309	2¢	$6	0xe15eff…
05-10 02:29:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,114	2¢	$20	0x02f61b…
05-10 02:19:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	662	2¢	$12	0xf42dca…
05-10 02:16:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0xb56a70…
05-10 02:07:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb2ced1…
05-10 02:06:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xa53b17…