Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-20

last 09-03 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

54% 6% -$18

Politics

22% 0% -$23

Sports

18% 0% -$3

Tech

7% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	$0	09-02 21:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	11	$222	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	08-27 11:36
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	10	$167	160	160	+0	open	—	09-03 05:38
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$166	117	117	+0	No	$0	09-01 01:04
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	21	$160	300	300	+0	open	—	08-28 03:48
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	5	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	09-02 19:59
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	5	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	09-03 11:03
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?	6	$136	80	80	+0	open	—	08-23 15:08
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	5	$135	80	80	+0	open	—	08-30 23:09
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	7	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	08-23 02:20
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	7	$121	80	80	+0	open	—	09-02 18:12
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	09-02 11:06
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?	4	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	09-02 15:57
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?	4	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	08-31 18:01
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	5	$103	80	80	+0	open	—	08-21 12:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	4	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	08-30 14:10
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	5	$99	80	80	+0	open	—	08-20 20:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	08-30 13:28
Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	4	$82	48	48	+0	No	-$3	09-02 19:56
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	6	$71	40	40	+0	open	—	09-02 12:41
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	3	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	09-01 16:29
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	3	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	09-02 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?	3	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	09-02 22:10
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	3	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	08-31 22:41
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?	3	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	08-31 18:38
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	6	$65	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-03 09:55
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	3	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	09-01 01:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	9	$53	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 05:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$49	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	09-02 19:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	7	$43	80	80	+0	open	—	09-02 19:26
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	09-01 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 12:21:45	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x541ec4…
09-03 11:03:39	Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0x9810df…
09-03 11:02:45	Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe77b0b…
09-03 09:55:07	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3f4672…
09-03 09:54:48	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaf82af…
09-03 09:54:48	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0x790885…
09-03 09:54:40	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xddbce6…
09-03 09:37:15	Will Calvin Ridley have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x03f458…
09-03 09:30:31	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x4c8355…
09-03 09:30:24	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xbce97d…
09-03 09:06:04	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x584ca4…
09-03 09:06:00	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd44fbc…
09-03 09:00:37	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x780827…
09-03 09:00:25	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x292e7f…
09-03 07:52:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x8fc137…
09-03 07:52:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xb3f523…
09-03 07:52:01	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9f13c7…
09-03 07:51:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x8e5134…
09-03 06:28:39	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xbcebc1…
09-03 06:28:33	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x79a0ca…
09-03 06:04:57	Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xcdb32b…
09-03 06:04:49	Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x019e42…
09-03 06:04:39	Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xc05e7b…
09-03 06:04:33	Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2f448c…
09-03 05:38:15	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0xb41cbf…
09-03 05:38:07	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb499c6…
09-03 05:19:43	Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 1,099.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xf052ee…
09-03 05:19:37	Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 1,099.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc3a708…
09-03 03:14:07	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x358213…
09-03 03:14:00	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xacc570…
09-03 02:39:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x19076e…
09-03 02:39:22	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf8cc7d…
09-03 02:01:37	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xc2f4a3…
09-03 02:01:33	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x76d90a…
09-03 02:00:27	Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x13b83f…
09-03 02:00:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfec421…
09-03 02:00:13	Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x188db1…
09-03 02:00:09	Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x285aef…
09-03 01:31:21	Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xa0a408…
09-03 01:31:16	Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x861d82…
09-02 23:10:03	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xca972e…
09-02 22:10:55	Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xca8170…
09-02 22:10:51	Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x27bb0a…
09-02 21:50:33	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x40c40d…
09-02 21:50:27	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x4e4def…
09-02 21:44:46	Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	39	87¢	$34	0x0df6c0…
09-02 21:44:21	Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0x1c80d6…
09-02 21:20:13	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xe85c00…
09-02 21:20:07	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfff0c9…
09-02 21:06:13	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xc112cd…
09-02 21:06:07	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x78f6a7…
09-02 19:59:55	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0x617319…
09-02 19:59:51	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf5335e…
09-02 19:56:09	Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	48	82¢	$40	0xdab19a…
09-02 19:26:10	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8a29a3…
09-02 19:25:55	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xd2301f…
09-02 19:25:51	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbc1043…
09-02 19:25:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8d107d…
09-02 19:17:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x7f58b5…
09-02 19:17:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4440df…
09-02 18:12:34	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x4a0863…
09-02 18:12:21	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	70	75¢	$53	0x73ac7b…
09-02 18:11:37	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x1c750a…
09-02 18:11:03	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x9c8191…
09-02 17:43:31	Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x72733a…
09-02 17:43:28	Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfeec0f…
09-02 17:40:22	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xfd41b2…
09-02 17:19:25	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x802018…
09-02 17:19:21	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x80a907…
09-02 15:57:43	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xb12e0e…
09-02 15:57:31	Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xa54cdd…
09-02 15:57:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0d51a1…
09-02 15:57:28	Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe2ac64…
09-02 15:43:15	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xf30215…
09-02 15:43:04	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$7	0x753d62…
09-02 15:43:04	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x416ccb…
09-02 15:42:57	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xefd77e…
09-02 15:42:55	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x9e6c80…
09-02 15:42:55	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x8546f6…
09-02 15:39:18	Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8018a4…
09-02 15:39:16	Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x40978d…
09-02 15:39:15	Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd42dd7…
09-02 15:32:30	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xb5c0a4…
09-02 15:32:21	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x71baa5…
09-02 13:07:19	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x3c9d5b…
09-02 13:07:12	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc91c59…
09-02 12:48:52	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xde0de5…
09-02 12:48:46	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x0e6c6b…
09-02 12:41:22	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x511b61…
09-02 12:41:06	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xfe780c…
09-02 12:41:03	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xd0435d…
09-02 12:41:01	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x641044…
09-02 12:41:01	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x4cf8b0…
09-02 12:15:33	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x8d34ce…
09-02 12:15:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xfaab12…
09-02 11:06:30	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc86d27…
09-02 11:06:25	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9123d1…
09-02 11:04:21	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x174a8d…
09-02 11:04:13	Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7a51f4…
09-02 10:19:04	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x274ff6…