Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
-$394
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
68
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$64
3 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-13 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
56%
13%
+$59
Other
30%
11%
-$197
Sports
10%
14%
-$12
Tech
2%
0%
-$7
Crypto
1%
23%
-$34
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | +1,330 | $310 | 4¢ | $47 | -$263 | 05-20 18:19 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | +157 | $37 | 6¢ | $9 | -$29 | 05-20 22:25 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | +524 | $110 | 2¢ | $8 | -$102 | 04-30 05:20 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 5 | $913 | 1,203 | 181 | +1,022 | Yes | +$315 | 02-27 23:47 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | 3 | $799 | 1,032 | 1,032 | +0 | Yes | -$177 | 04-24 04:33 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 4 | $711 | 1,282 | 1,282 | +0 | open | — | 05-20 18:18 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 2 | $565 | 577 | 577 | +0 | Yes | -$35 | 02-23 06:32 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | 2 | $310 | 1,330 | 0 | +1,330 | open | — | 05-20 18:19 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 2 | $216 | 300 | 300 | +0 | Yes | -$12 | 02-23 06:32 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | 8 | $193 | 134 | 134 | +0 | Golden Knights | +$47 | 04-30 06:44 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | 3 | $152 | 107 | 107 | +0 | Yes | +$62 | 04-30 15:15 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | 2 | $119 | 206 | 206 | +0 | Yes | -$7 | 04-30 15:54 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | 1 | $110 | 524 | 0 | +524 | open | — | 04-30 05:20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 4 | $77 | 271 | 115 | +157 | open | — | 05-20 22:25 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | 3 | $76 | 64 | 64 | +0 | Sean Strickland | +$50 | 05-10 04:48 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et | 3 | $60 | 1,015 | 1,015 | +0 | No | -$4 | 02-20 02:01 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31 | 1 | $57 | 284 | 0 | +284 | No | -$57 | 02-23 06:35 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et | 2 | $51 | 1,249 | 1,249 | +0 | No | +$11 | 02-22 07:31 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | 2 | $51 | 107 | 107 | +0 | Yes | -$11 | 02-22 07:31 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et | 3 | $48 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$48 | 02-20 01:29 |
| UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | 5 | $45 | 57 | 20 | +37 | Alexander Volkov | -$5 | 05-10 02:58 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $43 | 515 | 0 | +515 | No | -$43 | 06-13 19:32 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et | 2 | $42 | 1,005 | 0 | +1,005 | No | -$42 | 02-20 01:28 |
| will israel or the us target tehran 812 | 2 | $41 | 126 | 126 | +0 | Yes | -$5 | 02-23 06:32 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | 1 | $38 | 224 | 0 | +224 | No | -$38 | 05-14 23:16 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | 1 | $30 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | -$30 | 04-30 16:18 |
| will jason myers win the super bowl lx mvp | 2 | $29 | 196 | 0 | +196 | No | -$29 | 02-09 03:00 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et | 3 | $22 | 3,288 | 0 | +3,288 | No | -$22 | 02-20 01:28 |
| ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06 | 1 | $22 | 105 | 0 | +105 | Alessandro Costa | -$22 | 06-06 23:20 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 1 | $15 | 136 | 0 | +136 | No | -$15 | 02-20 01:04 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $14 | 84 | 0 | +84 | Yes | +$70 | 06-13 19:36 |
| ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06 totals 2pt5 | 1 | $13 | 42 | 0 | +42 | Over | -$13 | 06-06 23:25 |
| ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06 | 1 | $13 | 26 | 0 | +26 | Gabriel Bonfim | -$13 | 06-06 23:23 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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