Prudent-Flanker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$760

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-04 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% 67% $-0

Politics

33% 50% $-3

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		-18	$-3	42¢	$-7	$-5	05-27 23:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		-16	$-3	12¢	$-2	+$1	06-01 07:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$40	55	55	+0	open	—	05-28 07:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	10	$36	44	44	+0	open	—	05-10 13:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	7	$33	32	39	-7	open	—	05-12 02:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	6	$22	33	33	+0	open	—	05-24 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-24 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	7	$22	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 05:47
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 03:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$20	40	24	+16	open	—	05-20 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 19:39
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-13 03:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	4	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-12 20:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	05-08 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$16	29	29	+0	open	—	05-24 06:07
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 03:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$15	32	32	+0	open	—	04-28 20:28
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 23:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$14	49	49	+0	open	—	05-04 20:50
Kash Patel out by May 31?	4	$13	36	36	+0	open	—	05-18 19:41
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$13	215	215	+0	open	—	04-28 20:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	3	$12	14	6	+8	Yes	+$2	05-05 03:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$12	21	21	+0	open	—	05-07 23:12
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	3	$12	23	7	+16	open	—	05-19 01:16
Nothing Ever Happens: May	4	$12	34	34	+0	open	—	05-28 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	3	$11	29	15	+13	Yes	$-3	05-09 23:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$11	31	31	+0	open	—	04-28 20:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$9	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 12:18
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-10 16:45
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-30 16:01
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 00:49
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	3	$8	13	6	+8	Yes	$-3	04-28 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x27d554…
06-30 16:01:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xae2c6f…
06-29 09:01:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x752b52…
06-26 21:01:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x8daf03…
06-26 03:01:26	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd46bb8…
06-25 19:31:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb78df9…
06-24 22:31:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa53fcb…
06-19 11:01:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x676579…
06-19 01:31:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xc10ad0…
06-18 22:01:29	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xf192c7…
06-18 18:01:23	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe3a3ee…
06-16 12:31:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x1dbc8b…
06-14 23:31:13	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x14209e…
06-14 23:01:37	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9222d9…
06-14 21:31:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x8b4459…
06-13 18:31:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x83eece…
06-13 14:31:34	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x09e2e6…
06-13 11:31:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x052a4f…
06-12 17:01:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xecc727…
06-12 16:31:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x181a31…
06-12 05:31:36	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2fe22c…
06-11 20:31:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x02003e…
06-11 18:01:42	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xdcaccb…
06-11 17:32:00	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x72b58f…
06-08 23:06:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x02ff9a…
06-08 15:11:04	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xf68a1c…
06-08 14:44:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x844a73…
06-08 14:35:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x02bb09…
06-08 10:46:48	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x617021…
06-07 22:32:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa80bf3…
06-07 20:46:48	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x459b34…
06-07 20:40:07	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7d397e…
06-07 11:08:37	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xb60d66…
06-07 10:07:12	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb733e7…
06-06 20:48:33	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x9918ef…
06-06 09:53:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x203e02…
06-06 08:17:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x25ea70…
06-06 02:50:54	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4122ff…
06-05 21:21:01	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x879c71…
06-05 15:17:45	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbd9420…
06-05 05:53:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x852bf3…
06-04 11:21:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xab4427…
06-03 17:33:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x654b19…
06-03 03:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x654419…
06-02 23:04:41	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8e692b…
06-02 06:02:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xc28902…
06-02 01:32:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xfa8153…
06-01 07:27:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x861978…
05-29 19:42:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x0860a8…
05-29 15:40:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x046f24…
05-29 08:32:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xc9d949…
05-28 21:22:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x1ee515…
05-28 08:27:06	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xcd04b6…
05-28 07:51:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x2f8f07…
05-28 04:47:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x0b9964…
05-28 01:51:46	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7955f6…
05-28 01:51:30	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xa11470…
05-27 23:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x4df904…
05-27 22:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x20a83d…
05-25 07:45:56	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x07038d…
05-24 15:35:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x76a7f0…
05-24 09:16:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x027a7a…
05-24 06:07:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xdb73bb…
05-23 23:32:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x738f23…
05-22 19:14:48	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x273e9b…
05-22 18:52:21	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x3ec69c…
05-21 09:35:18	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xdc05f0…
05-21 01:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xa650ce…
05-20 21:31:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe88fbd…
05-20 16:13:39	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x4bf2a0…
05-20 14:16:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x2f9623…
05-19 08:40:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0x630141…
05-19 02:45:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x86789a…
05-19 01:16:49	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x6cd3c6…
05-18 21:49:40	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4a44a1…
05-18 21:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xc83439…
05-18 20:04:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xc4fae7…
05-18 19:42:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x78c1cc…
05-18 19:42:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x78b628…
05-18 19:42:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xa48c76…
05-18 19:41:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x447bac…
05-18 19:41:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x9e8ec3…
05-18 19:40:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfdbe40…
05-18 19:40:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$4	0x467bc3…
05-18 19:40:24	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x5110a4…
05-18 19:40:14	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x56bf0e…
05-18 19:39:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x846aa6…
05-14 05:47:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xc9094e…
05-13 03:17:38	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xee098c…
05-12 20:34:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x931e67…
05-12 02:03:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xac7b02…
05-11 22:05:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x39dd6a…
05-11 07:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xb81b30…
05-11 02:10:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xf976ad…
05-11 01:44:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x8bed33…
05-11 01:08:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x37d7ad…
05-10 23:57:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x6591f9…
05-10 16:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xafb89c…
05-10 16:45:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x4e0f50…
05-10 13:55:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x177b90…