Narrow-Partnership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-29 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 67% +$19

Politics

24% 0% $-8

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 82k on february 7	3	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	02-06 15:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 7	2	$300	200	100	+100	open	—	02-07 13:48
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$202	150	150	+0	open	—	01-15 01:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	12	$181	196	152	+44	open	—	04-29 01:55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$171	183	115	+68	open	—	03-06 04:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	9	$149	324	162	+162	open	—	04-27 01:17
btc updown 5m 1773838800	16	$107	60	59	+0	open	—	03-18 13:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 13:37
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	4	$90	0	94	-94	open	—	02-05 00:54
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 04:42
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$78	0	80	-80	open	—	01-26 12:12
us government funding lapse on january 31	5	$73	124	124	+0	open	—	01-29 08:42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$70	77	77	+0	open	—	04-27 01:17
btc updown 5m 1772591100	9	$68	42	41	+1	open	—	03-04 02:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$61	80	80	+0	Yes	$-8	03-23 11:00
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$59	0	60	-60	open	—	01-05 06:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 06:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	01-27 03:04
btc updown 5m 1772766600	5	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	03-06 03:13
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	2	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	01-29 04:28
ethereum above 2700 on february 8	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 01:47
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 17:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$38	240	210	+30	open	—	03-07 12:33
btc updown 5m 1772765700	7	$35	59	7	+51	open	—	03-06 02:59
btc updown 5m 1772764800	6	$34	22	14	+9	open	—	03-06 02:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$33	60	0	+60	open	—	01-20 09:36
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$29	0	30	-30	open	—	01-26 12:12
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$27	46	0	+46	open	—	03-22 08:11
btc updown 5m 1773060900	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-09 12:59
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$25	42	0	+42	No	+$17	04-04 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 01:55:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x252f7d…
04-29 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3a3bed…
04-29 01:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeb5a3c…
04-29 01:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x17a159…
04-29 01:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x53808f…
04-29 01:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x9b3721…
04-29 01:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x649495…
04-29 01:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xe24732…
04-29 01:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xf70a5d…
04-29 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4e55ec…
04-29 01:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa4e606…
04-29 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe84f5f…
04-29 01:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x701673…
04-29 01:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9532a2…
04-29 01:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3d22f1…
04-29 01:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x36e174…
04-29 01:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x5be159…
04-29 01:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6307e7…
04-29 01:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x0f6e03…
04-29 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6b6c56…
04-29 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1c450b…
04-29 01:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0fdd99…
04-27 01:17:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0xe393bc…
04-27 01:17:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	162	41¢	$66	0x4b544f…
04-15 04:30:04	btc updown 5m 1776227100	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x74600f…
04-15 04:27:54	btc updown 5m 1776227100	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ace12…
04-15 04:27:46	btc updown 5m 1776227100	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa31c9a…
04-12 01:45:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x35dcd8…
04-12 01:45:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x1222fd…
04-09 14:49:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x3d08bd…
04-09 02:26:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	152	59¢	$90	0x39f41f…
04-04 07:13:19	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe6d780…
04-04 07:13:11	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb13b7d…
04-04 07:13:05	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x93dd56…
04-02 09:17:57	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfd108b…
03-31 01:55:57	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0xaadbfd…
03-29 04:44:40	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xad23ef…
03-29 04:42:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf004dd…
03-29 04:42:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa53928…
03-24 00:59:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x83f704…
03-24 00:59:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6407ac…
03-24 00:58:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xdddf5b…
03-24 00:58:05	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2231e0…
03-23 12:51:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xa3a44c…
03-23 12:51:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x3b91de…
03-23 12:49:55	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x7168f7…
03-23 12:49:39	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x8c94ed…
03-23 12:49:31	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x89243b…
03-23 12:48:23	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x208b61…
03-23 12:47:17	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8b11a9…
03-23 12:46:45	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb4d7d7…
03-23 12:46:29	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf0f70a…
03-23 12:46:21	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49b875…
03-23 12:46:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf1e03b…
03-23 12:46:13	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf06daa…
03-23 12:46:01	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x074dd3…
03-23 12:45:55	btc updown 5m 1774269900	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x00e272…
03-23 12:41:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x892a66…
03-23 12:38:29	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc3c474…
03-23 11:03:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x366e46…
03-23 11:02:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0e9bb8…
03-23 11:02:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1179df…
03-23 11:02:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x81faa9…
03-23 11:01:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb026b7…
03-23 11:01:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1d3f4b…
03-23 11:01:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd6c556…
03-23 11:00:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0x300579…
03-22 08:11:03	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc15c7f…
03-18 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x982aaf…
03-18 13:04:17	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1fc9dd…
03-18 13:04:01	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb51f19…
03-18 13:03:53	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x400ccf…
03-18 13:02:51	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9f1e6d…
03-18 13:02:47	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x589284…
03-18 13:02:45	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xad0061…
03-18 13:02:05	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xebde1e…
03-18 13:01:59	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x614408…
03-18 13:01:55	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8166b9…
03-18 13:01:47	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xafca5c…
03-18 13:01:47	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8a96a6…
03-18 13:00:59	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x06003d…
03-18 13:00:57	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x90c9b8…
03-18 13:00:49	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3a1349…
03-18 13:00:41	btc updown 5m 1773838800	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdf042c…
03-18 12:57:55	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xdbbcb8…
03-18 12:57:41	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3b9285…
03-18 12:56:21	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9b359a…
03-18 12:56:17	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0da868…
03-18 12:55:35	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc1f044…
03-09 12:59:17	btc updown 5m 1773060900	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe32ee6…
03-09 12:54:17	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8417c1…
03-09 12:52:57	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xbcf9be…
03-09 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x27cc76…
03-09 12:49:21	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x625859…
03-09 12:48:59	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6c72c1…
03-09 12:48:53	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd136f2…
03-09 12:48:47	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xec153c…
03-09 12:48:39	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7907b5…
03-09 12:48:27	btc updown 5m 1773060300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x62b8d1…
03-07 12:33:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0xd4363a…